DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, dendrite said: There will be some surprises with this. I haven't even given up all hope here. I just don't expect to see modeling bring me any encouragement up until go-time. True. I guess I should preface it by saying I'd only want snow if it was double digit mashed potatoes with shotgun blasts. Anything short of that I'm all set. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BombsAway1288 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 58 minutes ago, moneypitmike said: Oneonta ftw there--wow. More like Jewett, NY or Hunter, NY ftw. They are right under that 4-foot mark in SW Greene County there. That's the place to be for this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Reggie was much less progressive and more stall like the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Box just said BOS very well may break tidal record, as many of us thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 It’s definitely warm at 925 as Ryan said. Tough to know how real that is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 12 minutes ago, dendrite said: Good trends today. If I can't have a biggie I'm cheering on the lower QPF. 0.35" on the GFS would be a big win. Freshet cancel. I think Central NH on North should have higher totals with this. Monadnocks could do really well also. With the further east track early on, the mid levels don't get torched. This is true for VT and North Western ME as well. I think a lot of the qpf early on could fall as snow. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
highways1 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Should be fairly interesting here, not that 500' is a lot but it will make tomorrow evening fun hopefully. Like others have said, big question is how efficiently does it accumulate after the flip given we have about a 9 hour window to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 7 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s definitely warm at 925 as Ryan said. Tough to know how real that is. The meso lows rotating in from the east.... This storm is going to be absolutely wild. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sugarloaf1989 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 NWS has Mount Snow forecast for 12", should be good skiing this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: It’s definitely warm at 925 as Ryan said. Tough to know how real that is. It has the T-TD spread at 925 too...it basically starts around 900mb and gets worse as you go down the column. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: It has the T-TD spread at 925 too...it basically starts around 900mb and gets worse as you go down the column. Yeah we toss that part. I can’t recall this before? Usually it’s just biased mild, but what is up with that? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Y'all gotta peek at the 500mb setup for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Just now, CoastalWx said: Yeah we toss that part. I can’t recall this before? Usually it’s just biased mild, but what is up with that? I haven't the slightest idea. It's really bizarre. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 At least this time the flooding will not include giant floating chunks of ice battering everything. Hopefully that helps some folks dealing with the water and wave action. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 16 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I think Central NH on North should have higher totals with this. Monadnocks could do really well also. With the further east track early on, the mid levels don't get torched. This is true for VT and North Western ME as well. I think a lot of the qpf early on could fall as snow. Thoughts? This was so close in orh hills and esp up towards Monads going wall to wall. In fact thats prolly a monads mauler Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
STILL N OF PIKE Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 26 minutes ago, DomNH said: True. I guess i should preface it by saying I'd only want snow if it was double digit mashed potatoes with shotgun blasts. Anything short of that I'm all set. Move gfs 20 miles east and its close for ash Should it be pounding Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 3 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said: Move gfs 20 miles east and its close for ash Should it be pounding Will be down at a party in Braintree so maybe I'll get to experience winds instead...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 If the 12z Euro holds serve, game over... but the other models keep bringing me back in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 45 minutes ago, sbos_wx said: I'm dying not being able to see models Do you have a flip phone, what the heck with all these I am on mobile I can't see this or that. I rarely am on a PC, bet 95% mobile. Rays manbeast in the shed storm looks like a doozy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 11 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said: Y'all gotta peek at the 500mb setup for next week. Nice dumbbell at H5............ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 26 minutes ago, jbenedet said: I think Central NH on North should have higher totals with this. Monadnocks could do really well also. With the further east track early on, the mid levels don't get torched. This is true for VT and North Western ME as well. I think a lot of the qpf early on could fall as snow. Thoughts? I think this will be like Dec 92 where I sit and watch on radar as the precip line stop 5 miles from my house and I smoke cirrus with occasional flurries while 25 miles south gets a foot,. On the plus side my driveway will not need cleaning off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxsniss Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Wish I had more time to analyze and contribute this morning... 12zNAM standing it's ground, 12z RGEM caving to a more intense and stalled solution... all I needed to see. As discussed last night, evolution / timing / consolidation of the various low centers makes all the difference Those meso-lows hurled into eSNE esp on the 3K NAM and RGEM will worsen wind impacts, reminds me of meso-lows in a hurricane Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Man this is becoming surreal . Really starting to believe we are leading up to a much windier version of 97 storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 hour ago, tamarack said: The "experimental" snow forecast on GYX's website looks bizarre, but probably only reflects the low confidence of forecasts for this event. The "most likely" for Farmington is <1", but there's a 10% chance of 14". (And a 10% chance of nada.) I expect some sheet drizzle on 30 mph gusts - lovely. The reality is that the distribution curve is shifted to sit on our snowfall forecast. So if you picture a bell curve, or something similar, there is a tail that is well below zero. But since you can't get negative snowfall (unless someone steals it), it comes out as 0. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthCoastMA Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 And then you have the high res RGEM. Id hit it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 Wildly irritating to be editing forecast grids for coastal flooding tomorrow and miss the high water this morning. Hampton went over flood stage by 0.1' At least there was no wave action today, and little impact to infrastructure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 5 minutes ago, SouthCoastMA said: And then you have the high res RGEM. Id hit it The poor folks in that SW CT hole would object- rightfully Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 My fave hdrps is a massive hit for the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 1 minute ago, klw said: The poor folks in that SW CT hole would object- rightfully Codfishsnowman would delete his account Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jbenedet Posted March 1, 2018 Share Posted March 1, 2018 17 minutes ago, klw said: I think this will be like Dec 92 where I sit and watch on radar as the precip line stop 5 miles from my house and I smoke cirrus with occasional flurries while 25 miles south gets a foot,. On the plus side my driveway will not need cleaning off. I think you do well before this closes off... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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