Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 If I get 1-3 then plenty of ice ending as snow. I'd sign for that right now. Dealit would be sleet it seems before precip goes to frdz Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 I wish folks would get a grip. GFS continues theme of liking a zone from my area points west to about Ayer for naked twisty time. Everyone should just except whatever falls there way, 10 days ago, It looked like most would not see snow until sometime in Jan, But that's how these events go, They can come out of nowhere when not expected Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 If I get 1-3 then plenty of ice ending as snow. I'd sign for that right now. Deal Where do you see this going back to snow? I must be missing something. On the 18z, does that changeover to ip, zr or rain up this way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Just like an inch or so on backside with lingering moisture / lift. These always like to flip back to that small flake sized snow for a few hours after dry slot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Just like an inch or so on backside with lingering moisture / lift. These always like to flip back to that small flake sized snow for a few hours after dry slottoo warm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
USCAPEWEATHERAF Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 18z GFS is back to giving CHH about 7" of snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 James those are weenie algorithms. It didn't give you that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Not as weenieish Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Well at least the LR NAM is being it's usual absurd self(and really slow also -- precip is just breaking out at hour 84 when it's a pingfest for all). It should go without saying though that this has about as much meteorological skill though as the pixels that are displaying these images, that is, zero, so consider it entertainment and that's it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Well at least the LR NAM is being it's usual absurd self(and really slow also -- precip is just breaking out at hour 84 when it's a pingfest for all). It should go without saying though that this has about as much meteorological skill though as the pixels that are displaying these images, that is, zero, so consider it entertainment and that's it. Well, at least the NAM at hour 84 had the high centered over ME as opposed to the hour 90 GFS which had it to the east of ME. Also, the NAM had the high pressing further south and stronger at 1044 mb vs the GFS 1036 mb. Lastly, the 0° 850 line on the NAM went through central NJ to central PA and then north, while the GFS had it going through central CT and SW MA. But the NAM is 9 hr slower bringing in the precip. But I know, it is the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Lolz the NAM......over Green Bay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
albanywx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 just got the popcorn! Lets go GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Not feeling too confident. I like warning snows berks n orh country and into NNE. Concerned about warming temps at or around 700mb as per euro. Obviously many start as snow but that just screams bad snow growth. Might hurt the WAA thump and lead to a good sleet smashing vs. snow. Colder low levels but somewhat toasty mid levels. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 GFS came in a hair colder than the 18z run but very similar look overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 GFS looks maybe a hair colder..... But overall almost the same to 18z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 GFS came in a hair colder than the 18z run but very similar look overall. yeah at all levels.. 925/850/700 colder Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 GFS seemed like it was a hair cooler again, but it may have been just a wee bit slower too. It was better with the cold tuck though afterwards it seems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Tick colder but really neglible for CT. We will struggle to snow as it quickly goes to sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 GFS seemed like it was a hair cooler again, but it may have been just a wee bit slower too. It was better with the cold tuck though afterwards it seems. I think we are honing in. Great call on the tuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Clown map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Tick colder but really neglible for CT. We will struggle to snow as it quickly goes to sleet.its colder for the thumper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 I think we are honing in. Great call on the tuck. I'm waiting until SUN to feel confident with a wobble N-S of 50 miles making all the difference. But confidence is moderate (and rising) for at least plowable HFD-PVD and north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 sleet as snow crap map Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Yeah that was really close to 18z. Maybe a negligible amount colder. Pretty nice hit pike north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 its colder for the thumper Yea places N of 84. Still time for a couple more ticks, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Hair slower as mentioned tic colder as well, Overall a decent hit in the same areas from 18z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Clown map. Love that little finger down into SE Mass with heavier amounts lol. Still time for colder ticks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 if you're going to look at a clown map use earl barker's 10:1 ratio maps http://www.wxcaster.com/regional_snowfall.htm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheCloser24 Posted December 26, 2015 Share Posted December 26, 2015 Still plenty of time for this trend colder or warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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