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October Discobs 2026

JenkinsJinkies

By JenkinsJinkies,
in Mid Atlantic

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mdhokie

mdhokie

Posted
Posted
1 hour ago, Interstate said:

Looks like after the line of storm goes through tomorrow night... there might be some back building of precipitation for the early morning hours.

My daughter is 0 for 3 finishing tournaments this fall. 3 bracket days all cancelled. I'm about to finish my season in the night mist which keeps back building over howard county. 

Baltimore Marathon is Saturday as well. Sounds like it might be a bit wet to start. 

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SnowenOutThere
SnowenOutThere

Also, went out and drove 30 minutes to the Rockfish Valley Overlook off the blue ridge parkway! Got an amazing sunrise knowing the valley's would be in the cloud deck. 

SnowenOutThere
SnowenOutThere

I win! 28 degrees down in Cannan valley this morning. House we rented was on a hill and stayed above freezing, while the valley had pockets of freezing fog and frost. Will find some more pictures from

Eskimo Joe
Eskimo Joe

Happy Friday weenies. @wxmeddler and I did a thing. These are the first two tripod stations in the network. I'm excited that we'll get some better data at the southern end of Parr's Ridge, where the G

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mdhokie

mdhokie

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, mappy said:

Misty this morning. Last regular season game for fall softball tonight. Methinks I won’t be playing but guess we shall see

Drove all the way to the field last night to find out it was closed. Weather line not updated nor any email from our league director. How is Baltimore Co with that kind of stuff? Do they keep your fields in good shape?

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Terpeast

Terpeast

Posted
Posted
14 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Both HRRR and NAM show first snows for the mountains this Saturday morning. Considering a hike out there but the soundings seem fishy. 

snku_acc-imp.us_state_wv.png

snku_acc-imp.us_state_wv.png

hrrr_2026101518_042_38.55--79.98.png

Would there even be enough of a layer for precipitation to occur? If so, would any snowflakes even form or would I get to hike in cloudy drizzle? Don't know the answers would love some help from our mets @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx @Eskimo Joe I plan to head out and try and hike early Saturday morning at the Cheat Mountain range at 4200-4400 feet and would love to make sure I don't drive 3 hours to hike in a cold, windy, freezing rain fog. 

Personally I wouldn’t take that drive. Save it for later. 

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mappy

mappy

Posted
Posted
8 minutes ago, mdhokie said:

Drove all the way to the field last night to find out it was closed. Weather line not updated nor any email from our league director. How is Baltimore Co with that kind of stuff? Do they keep your fields in good shape?

Oh that sucks! We play summer ball in the county, thru our rec program. Fields are so so since they are on school properties lol 

We are playing fall ball in PA on a lighted field and they do a good job keeping it in good shape. 

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Rhino16

Rhino16

Posted
Posted
14 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Both HRRR and NAM show first snows for the mountains this Saturday morning. Considering a hike out there but the soundings seem fishy. 

snku_acc-imp.us_state_wv.png

snku_acc-imp.us_state_wv.png

hrrr_2026101518_042_38.55--79.98.png

Would there even be enough of a layer for precipitation to occur? If so, would any snowflakes even form or would I get to hike in cloudy drizzle? Don't know the answers would love some help from our mets @WxUSAF @MillvilleWx @Eskimo Joe I plan to head out and try and hike early Saturday morning at the Cheat Mountain range at 4200-4400 feet and would love to make sure I don't drive 3 hours to hike in a cold, windy, freezing rain fog. 

Looks slightly too warm here, and this morning I don’t think has gone the right direction so far.
I need to see if I can make a trip next month when the good stuff starts happening at elevation.

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mdhokie

mdhokie

Posted
Posted
19 minutes ago, mappy said:

Oh that sucks! We play summer ball in the county, thru our rec program. Fields are so so since they are on school properties lol 

We are playing fall ball in PA on a lighted field and they do a good job keeping it in good shape. 

My daughter plays some tournaments in PA and the fields are always well taken care of. Even in small towns.. AACo also seems to take pride in their field maintenance. 

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SnowenOutThere

SnowenOutThere

Posted
Posted
12 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

@SnowenOutThere I think your instinct is right. That’s a very marginal sounding between drizzle and a little snizzle. 

1 hour ago, Terpeast said:

Personally I wouldn’t take that drive. Save it for later. 

50 minutes ago, Rhino16 said:

Looks slightly too warm here, and this morning I don’t think has gone the right direction so far.
I need to see if I can make a trip next month when the good stuff starts happening at elevation.

Thank you all. Agree that the 6z run really didn't go the right way... but, the 12z runs are interesting. They manage get a band of precip with lift from a deeper H5 trough and saturate the DGZ. Will need to monitor and if the 18z and 0z runs show it then I think it might be worth it. Wouldn't really be upslope, but just orthographic cooling of a band of precip which feels less risky to chase. 

hrrr_2026101612_023_38.66--79.64.png

ref1km_ptype.us_state_wv.png

snku_acc-imp.us_state_wv.png

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H2O

H2O

Posted
Posted

CAD cloud wedge slowly eroding.  My guess is noon at the earliest, 1.16pm is my call.  Temps will jump 20F in 90 min and Bel Air will be the jackpot today even if they only see 5 min of sun.  DC split with one decent cell going south over Orange

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yoda

yoda

Posted
Posted 
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1238 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

MDZ003-501-502-509-510-VAZ025>031-503-504-507-508-WVZ050>053-055-
501>506-170045-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FZ.A.0006.261018T0500Z-261018T1200Z/
Washington-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Garrett-Eastern Garrett-Augusta-Rockingham-Shenandoah-
Frederick-Page-Warren-Clarke-Western Highland-Eastern Highland-
Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-Central Virginia Blue Ridge-
Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-Hardy-Western Grant-Eastern
Grant-Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-Eastern
Pendleton-
Including the cities of Ruddle, Landes, Clary, Mill Gap, Chester Gap,
Fort Ashby, Harrisonburg, Skyland, Grantsville, Buckton, Ranson,
Seymourville, New Creek, Strasburg, Berryville, Sirons Mill, Sugar
Grove, Romney, Winchester, Ingham, Kline Gap, Sulphur City, Liberty,
Woodstock, Riverton, Bayard, Mountain Lake Park, Frostburg,
Ellerslie, Masonville, Rawlings, Welton, Stuarts Draft, Monterey,
Three Churches, McDowell, Brake, Keyser, Halfway, Oakland,
Brandywine, Hagerstown, Hawkinstown, New Hampden, Spottswood,
Moorefield, Headsville, Churchville, Rileyville, Front Royal, Paw
Paw, Westernport, La Vale, Reynolds, Purgitsville, Wapocomo,
Kitzmiller, Cedarville, Beechwood, Glen Echo, Petersburg, Cumberland,
Bean Settlement, Berkeley Spgs, Luray, Albin, Mustoe, Possum Trot,
Brady, Christian, Springfield, Shenandoah Junction, Points,
Stringtown, Frenchburg, Wilsonia, Martinsburg, Oak Flat, Middleway,
McNeill, Waynesboro, Fisher, Antioch, Smith Crossroads, Howellsville,
Fairview, Hamburg, Mount Jackson, Piedmont, Cedar Grove, Ridgeville,
Hancock, Hightown, Gainesboro, Kimball, Arco, Charles Town, Franklin,
Bakerton, Alonzaville, Russelldale, Staunton, Shady Grove, Compton,
Linville, Clover Creek, Magnolia, Bloomery, Mount Clifton, Cabins,
Bentonville, Montebello, McCoole, and Millville
1238 PM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026

...FREEZE WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY
MORNING...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures in the upper 20s and low 30s are
  possible.

* WHERE...Portions of north central and western Maryland, central,
  northwest, and western Virginia, and the eastern panhandle of West
  Virginia.

* WHEN...From late Saturday night through Sunday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops, other
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.
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