Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

12z guidance all showing the piece of nrn stream vort coming due south into New England does not phase in to the west, but moves on top and helps squash this.

yup GEFS also heading east a bit.. hopefully the Euro holds .. but then again this also happens with winter storms sometimes just to bring it back

[kdxken]

6 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

CoastalWx is "the boss" in this subforum

a torchy 66/55 currently in my hood

@powderfreakI turned my heat on this morning

 

Dendrite holds the power. Don't piss him off or he'll ban you. Not much of a sense of humor.

[Typhoon Tip]

12z UKMET's your dealer if you're seeking a d-drip hit off this thing ...

[Masswx]

Watch gfs come 200 miles west at 18z

[ineedsnow]

1 minute ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z UKMET's your dealer if you're seeking a d-drip hit off this thing ...

that track with a lower pressure would be fun

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

22 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Canadian east too. He's got this. 

You know this is going to find a way to miss. I’ve seen posts about this for what seems like a week now.

Im sure I’ll be apple picking with the kid on Saturday with mostly cloudy sky’s and a stiff breeze.

Hoping to salvage some of the weekend 

[ma blizzard]

18 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

12z UKMET's your dealer if you're seeking a d-drip hit off this thing ...

6z EURO most impressive with the LLJ 

[dendrite]

Hopefully a very safe weekend for apple picking. 

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, ma blizzard said:

6z EURO most impressive with the LLJ 

Gonna be a forest flattener

[weatherwiz]

GEFS east but still a ton of spread and some interesting members. 

The GFS does have an east or OTS bias with coastal's though not sure if really only applies with winter and dealing with Arctic airmasses. If 12z euro is similar to at least yesterday's runs this is going to be a hell of a battle between the suites. One of them is going to get totally schooled 

[SouthCoastMA]

The 12Z CMC would be a winter wet dream down here and EMA

[weatherwiz]

Polo looks about ripe for IR 

[Bostonseminole]

Euro AI has heading west into LI


.

[ineedsnow]

4 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

Euro AI has heading west into LI


.

a bit weaker compared to 6z though

[Masswx]

Euro ai a little west and less wind and rain

[Masswx]

Euro ai has a 992 low and 6z had 988 low

[WxWatcher007]

25 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

Polo looks about ripe for IR 

Easy money C5

[CoastalWx]

Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.

[WxWatcher007]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.

Absolutely. A stronger low with a graze track does nothing for most of us. The hook west is key to expanding and extending impacts.

[Masswx]

Euro is going to be east

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Care more about track vs strength though. AI a nice hit.

Yup and at this point strength is not necessarily important. In fact, if one is looking for prolonged impacts you'd probably not want this getting as deep as it can get because that would probably result in a quicker occlusion. But because of the potential anomalous track of this system, the angle in which this may bank in is going to be more of a player versus strength.

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, Masswx said:

Euro is going to be east

Yep.   Fun while it lasted!   On a serious note this is the range when models lose the storm.

[tamarack]

59 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Gonna be a forest flattener

Sable Island has trees?

[weatherwiz]

IDK...Euro has that look of backing in. Maybe it ends up east of previous runs but that H5 look through 120-126 seems to scream getting tugged in

[CoastalWx]

Euro backing in a little later. Definitely a precarious setup.

[Damage In Tolland]

Here she comes 
 

 

[SouthCoastMA]

Good to see winter tracking for 26/27 has begun - i.e. whether or not the rain and wind misses us or goes OTS at Day 4. 

[ineedsnow]

Euro ends up being a good hit

[ineedsnow]

I would lock this Euro run

[Damage In Tolland]

Poor GFS .. just completely alone and lost at sea