Rjay Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 7 minutes ago, psv88 said: Yes was sick. Lighting bolts and fireworks Was watching morons shoot off fireworks into the strong winds and they were getting blown sideways 2 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Another miss..just a bit of light rain as storm scooted to south 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 17k without power now. Connecticut got crushed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternLI Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 This Suffolk storm was far more robust than hi res models had it. The models show the stuff to the west swing through during the overnight. So there probably will be more a little later. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Suffolk gets these sneaky severe storms every summer. Usually not forecasted. They drop down from the sound and crush 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Missed the heavy storms but thankfully some decent rain moving in now. Looks like high end moderate rain. Should get at least a quarter inch from this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Prue11 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 1 hour ago, Cfa said: It felt like a microburst in Coram. Branches down all over the place. That looked like a different cell that developed right over you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Today's Highs: ACY: 106\ BLM: 101 PHL: 101 New Brnswck: 100 JFK: 100 EWR: 99 TTN: 98 LGA: 97 TEB: 97 ISP: 96 NYC: 94 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brasiluvsnow Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 well all the prayers paid off as we had to take 2 breaks but we were able to get the the party and the fireworks in,,,,, that said Northern New City lost power for a while and congers also,,,,,,that first batch of storms passed thru with some serious wind that brought trees and branches down,,,,,,,afterwards the wind never got crazy here and the rain for the most part held off,,,,,I hope everyone has their power back ,,,Happy 4th All 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Happy Independence Day all! Some thoughts on this holiday evening: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 After the rain we were socked in fog in Chicago. I think the city did its fireworks show but you couldn't see it and could barely hear it. Sad/ridiculous. Should've been postponed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Only 0.18" here tonight. Better than nothing but I hope we have better luck tomorrow. HRRR did a good job with the timing of tonight's rain, and I see the 0z run is showing a repeat tomorrow with our area getting hit around 10pm. I'm hoping to have better luck with heavy rain tomorrow night. If not I know it looks like a pretty good soaking on Monday. I am desperate for a good amount of rain -- hopefully this dry stretch is about to end. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Thank god this heatwave is over. This was incredibly intolerable. 1 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 What happened to the njweather.org site Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 This is just like the old times when we get a deluge following record heat. The current heavy rain flash flood potential looks like it could be the most significant event here since the last ones in August 2024 and July 2023. Widespread 2-4” and localized pockets over 5”+ where the best training set up. This is also the most juiced that we have seen the SPC HREF since then. This will be the first chance NYC and some other spots see a wetter than average month since way back in May 2025. The heat over the next 10 days will shift to the West with the potential for over a 600 dm ridge. In the past when we have had 103°+ major heatwaves and heavy rains, the maximum temperatures remained the highest of the summer. So hopefully this will turn out to be the highest temperatures which reached 105°-106°of the entire summer. While this doesn’t rule out more 95° to around 100° heat, the patterns in the past haven’t been able to follow up with as much heat in the following extreme heat to very wet. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 .14" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 As had likely been the case during the record June 2025 heatwave, Central Park likely had two 100° or above days during the most recent heatwave. Only one such day was recorded due to Central Park's well-documented tree overgrowth. Moreover, July 3, 2026 was likely one of Central Park's hottest days on record, as was the case at surrounding sites: JFK Airport: 102°; LaGuardia Airport: 104°; and, Newark: 105°. As noted previously in this thread, I would run the statistical analysis based on the most recent 30-year period prior to the issue of tree overgrowth. The numbers are below. Since 2010, numerous summer records have been affected by the tree overgrowth. Based on the statistical calculation, below are the summer records that would likely have been tied or broken without the tree overgrowth issue: June 8 — 2011— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1933 June 9 — 2011— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1933 June 11 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1973 June 12 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 93, record year(s): 1933, 1973, 2017 June 13 — 2017— Calculated 100, record 96, record year(s): 1961 June 20 — 2012— Calculated 98, record 98, record year(s): 1923 June 21 — 2012— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1953, 1988 June 23 — 2025— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1888, 2025June 24 — 2025— Calculated 102, record 99, record year(s): 2025 ***New June Monthly Record*** June 25 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1943, 1952 June 28 — 2010— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1969, 1991 June 30 — 2021— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1964 July 2 — 2026— Calculated 104, record 100, record year(s): 1901, 1966, 2026 July 7 — 2010— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2010 July 18 — 2012— Calculated 102, record 101, record year(s): 1953July 22 — 2011— Calculated 106, record 104, record year(s): 2011 ***Tied All-time Record*** July 23 — 2011— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2011 July 24 — 2022— Calculated 100, record 97, record year(s): 1999, 2010 July 25 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1999 July 29 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1949 July 30 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 98, record year(s): 1917, 1933, 1940, 1988 August 12 — 2016— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 12 — 2021— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 25 — 2021— Calculated 95, record 95, record year(s): 1948 In sum, the tree overgrowth has already affected a growing number of records. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 8 hours ago, TheClimateChanger said: Happy Independence Day all! Some thoughts on this holiday evening: It’s crazy record warmth during an Super Nino Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 25 minutes ago, qg_omega said: It’s crazy record warmth during an Super Nino The Euro update from a few minutes ago now has the strongest traditional ONI on record near +3.8 to +3.9. June set new all-time SST records for developing El Niños in all Nino regions except 1+2. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/data/indices/ersst5.nino.mth.91-20.ascii All-Time June SST records in bold YR MON NINO1+2 ANOM NINO3 ANOM NINO4 ANOM NINO3.4 ANOM 2026 6 25.94 2.82 28.33 1.71 30.19 1.22 29.17 1.44 2023 6 25.63 2.50 27.88 1.26 29.55 0.58 28.57 0.84 2015 6 25.32 2.19 28.07 1.45 29.88 0.92 28.90 1.18 1997 6 26.12 3.00 28.13 1.51 29.23 0.26 28.82 1.09 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 1 hour ago, bluewave said: This is just like the old times when we get a deluge following record heat. The current heavy rain flash flood potential looks like it could be the most significant event here since the last ones in August 2024 and July 2023. Widespread 2-4” and localized pockets over 5”+ where the best training set up. This is also the most juiced that we have seen the SPC HREF since then. This will be the first chance NYC and some other spots see a wetter than average month since way back in May 2025. The heat over the next 10 days will shift to the West with the potential for over a 600 dm ridge. In the past when we have had 103°+ major heatwaves and heavy rains, the maximum temperatures remained the highest of the summer. So hopefully this will turn out to be the highest temperatures which reached 105°-106°of the entire summer. While this doesn’t rule out more 95° to around 100° heat, the patterns in the past haven’t been able to follow up with as much heat in the following extreme heat to very wet. Is that accurate. That's 10"+ in central NJ over the next 2 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 5 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: Is that accurate. That's 10"+ in central NJ over the next 2 days Seems overdone but going to be some local 5” totals in spots I think. How bad any flooding might be will depend on rainfall rates / training. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheClimateChanger Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 58 minutes ago, donsutherland1 said: As had likely been the case during the record June 2025 heatwave, Central Park likely had two 100° or above days during the most recent heatwave. Only one such day was recorded due to Central Park's well-documented tree overgrowth. Moreover, July 3, 2026 was likely one of Central Park's hottest days on record, as was the case at surrounding sites: JFK Airport: 102°; LaGuardia Airport: 104°; and, Newark: 105°. As noted previously in this thread, I would run the statistical analysis based on the most recent 30-year period prior to the issue of tree overgrowth. The numbers are below. Since 2010, numerous summer records have been affected by the tree overgrowth. Based on the statistical calculation, below are the summer records that would likely have been tied or broken without the tree overgrowth issue: June 8 — 2011— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1933 June 9 — 2011— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1933 June 11 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 95, record year(s): 1973 June 12 — 2026— Calculated 97, record 93, record year(s): 1933, 1973, 2017 June 13 — 2017— Calculated 100, record 96, record year(s): 1961 June 20 — 2012— Calculated 98, record 98, record year(s): 1923 June 21 — 2012— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1953, 1988 June 23 — 2025— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1888, 2025June 24 — 2025— Calculated 102, record 99, record year(s): 2025 ***New June Monthly Record*** June 25 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1943, 1952 June 28 — 2010— Calculated 97, record 96, record year(s): 1969, 1991 June 30 — 2021— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1964 July 2 — 2026— Calculated 104, record 100, record year(s): 1901, 1966, 2026 July 7 — 2010— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2010 July 18 — 2012— Calculated 102, record 101, record year(s): 1953July 22 — 2011— Calculated 106, record 104, record year(s): 2011 ***Tied All-time Record*** July 23 — 2011— Calculated 101, record 100, record year(s): 2011 July 24 — 2022— Calculated 100, record 97, record year(s): 1999, 2010 July 25 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 97, record year(s): 1999 July 29 — 2025— Calculated 100, record 99, record year(s): 1949 July 30 — 2025— Calculated 99, record 98, record year(s): 1917, 1933, 1940, 1988 August 12 — 2016— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 12 — 2021— Calculated 97, record 97, record year(s): 1944 August 25 — 2021— Calculated 95, record 95, record year(s): 1948 In sum, the tree overgrowth has already affected a growing number of records. Don, rankings for average high temperature for the season to date (June 1 to July 4). One of these is certainly not like the others - and it's not because of a longer period of record. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 8 minutes ago, MANDA said: Seems overdone but going to be some local 5” totals in spots I think. How bad any flooding might be will depend on rainfall rates / training. This may be similar to last July 14 , 2025 T-storms/Heavy Rains in Central NJ which delivered over 5+ inches - than the rest of the summer was very dry Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 78 / 72 some breaks of sun. The strong / record heat wanes back south and a hung up boundary front remains over / nearby through Wed/Thu with 1 - 3+ inches of rain in localized areas where training rain. Mon-Tue the worst/wettest days with Wed/THu some longer breaks and perhaps stretches of sun. Wed-Fri warmup with straggler 90 in the hottest areas. Ridge in the west balloons and expands east into the plains 7/7 - 7/14 , heats pushes east. Overall warmer 7/15 - beyond with next chance of stretch of heat with core of the storngest heat west and south but approaching the area later in the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Records: Highs: EWR: 103 (1999) NYC: 101 (1999) LGA: 100 (1999) JFK: 102 (1999) New Brnswck: 100 (1999) Lows: EWR: 54 (1979) NYC: 53 (1979) LGA: 56 (1979) JFK: 56 (1979) New Brnswck: 47 (1909) Historical: 1643: A violent windstorm hit the Plymouth Colony. The "sudden gust" downed trees and killed one Native American. This may have been the first documented American tornado or microburst. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1816: In parts of New England and the Middle Atlantic, crop damage was severe and fruit trees were killed. In PA ice was found the thickness of window glass. In Savannah, Georgia the temperature dropped into the 40's on July 4th. (p. 33 Washington Weather Book 2002 by Ambrose, Henry, Weiss) 1882: A trace of snow was observed at Newton, NJ and other locations in the northeast. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1891 - Sixteen horses were killed by hail, and many more have to be put to death due to injuries from a hailstorm at Rapid City, SD. (The Weather Channel) 1900 - A spectacular three day fire began when a bolt of lightning struck a refinery in Bayonne NJ. (David Ludlum) 1905: Washington Weather Bureau Office had 2.77 inches rain in one hour, 3.33 inches in two hours and 4.01 inches in 12 hours. The storm total was 4.64 inches in Baltimore, MD (Ref. Washington Weather Records - KDCA) 1916 - A hurricane produced 82 mph winds, an 11.6 foot tide, and a barometric pressure of 28.92 inches at Mobile, AL. (David Ludlum) 1936: South Dakota recorded its hottest temperature ever with a reading of 120° at Gannvalley. This same day Sioux Falls reached 109°, their second hottest temperature on record. Three of the 4 hottest days on record in Sioux Falls occurred during the Dust Bowl summer of 1936. (Ref. Lowest and Highest Temperatures for the 50 States) 1937 - The temperature at Medicine Lake, MT, soared to 117 degrees to establish a state record. (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) 1937 - Midale and Yellow Grass in Saskatchewan hit 113 degrees to establish an all-time record high for Canada that same day. (The Weather Channel) 1967: Canadian high pressure continued to bring record lows to parts of the upper Midwest. Daily record lows included: Duluth, MN: 36°, Rochester, MN: 42°, Rockford, IL: 43°, Asheville, NC: 46°, Bristol, TN: 48°, Richmond, VA: 52°, Knoxville, TN: 54°, Wallops Island, VA: 56°, Charlotte, NC: 57 °F. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1970: The morning low at Death Valley, CA was 103 degrees and the high that afternoon was 120 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1972: Temperatures fell to record lows in the upper 30s and lower 40s across the Great Lakes region. The 37° at Lansing, MI was their coldest July reading of the 20th century. Other daily records included: Alpena, MI: 37°, Casper, WY: 38°, Sioux Falls, SD: 39°, Ste. St. Marie, MI: 39°, Huron, SD: 40°, Madison, WI: 40°, North Platte, NE: 42°, Topeka, KS: 43 °F.(Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link) 1970 - The morning low at Death Valley CA was 103 degrees, and the high that afternoon was 120 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1974: Connecticut--A line of thunderstorms moved southeastward across the state. Lightning caused two deaths, one at Brookfield in Fairfield County and one at Bloomfield in Harford County. New Jersey--A line of thunderstorms moved eastward across the state in the afternoon. One man in Trenton was killed by lightning. New York City--A thunderstorm passed northeastward across the south and central sections of the city. Lightning struck three girls in Central Park, killing one and injuring two. Wilmington, Del.--A mother was killed by lightning while standing on her porch. (Ref. Lightning-The Underrated Killer.pdf) 1980: The “More Trees Down” started in western Iowa and tracked eastward affecting several states along its past before dissipating in eastern Virginia. 1987 - Severe thunderstorms raked south central Kansas for the second morning in a row. Thunderstorm winds again gusted to 80 mph at Clearwater, and in the Wichita area reached 100 mph. Twenty-five persons were injured at a trailer park at El Dorado Lake. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms spawned eleven tornadoes in Montana and three in North Dakota. Baseball size hail was reported at Shonkin, MT, and wind gusts to 85 mph were reported south of Fordville, ND. Twenty cities in the north central U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date, including Fargo ND with a reading of 106 degrees. Muskegon, MI, equalled their July record with a high of 95 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1989 - Moisture from what once was Tropical Storm Allison triggered thunderstorms over the Middle Atlantic Coast Region, which deluged Wilmington, DE, with a record 6.83 inches of rain in 24 hours, including 6.37 inches in just six hours. Up to ten inches of rain was reported at Claymont, northeast of Wilmington. July 1989 was thus the wettest month in seventy years for Wilmington, with a total of 12.63 inches of rain. Alamosa CO reported an all-time record high of 94 degrees, and Pierre, SD, hit 113 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1994: Thunderstorms, mainly packing high winds, erupted over north central Nebraska into south central South Dakota. As the storms moved east, 60 to 70 mph winds were common across the tri-state area. In Iowa, 65 mph winds were clocked in Monona County wrecking havoc with power lines. In Crawford County, 80 mph winds broke windows out of houses and caused some barn damage southwest of Charter Oak. Winds of 75 mph also swept into Sioux County causing significant damage to buildings on a farmstead near Hawarden. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 1999: July 4th and 5th ........"The Boundary Waters-Canadian Derecho" States that were affected --- ....ND, MN, ON, QB, NH, VT, ME (Ref. For More Information) 2001: International Falls, MN set a record low with 34°. 2.20 inches of rain fell in just 15 minutes at Pine Mountain, CA in Kern County. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2003: Rockford, Illinois: An early morning band of severe thunderstorms blows across Northern Illinois with peak winds reported at 104 mph. Over 80,000 people are without power for various durations after the storm. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2004: For the second day in a row a derecho, a line of thunderstorms that produces widespread damaging winds, tracked from southeast Kansas into central Missouri across the Lake of the Ozarks region. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) 2008: A streak of 26 consecutive days of 90°+ heat beginning on June 13th ended on this date at Denver, CO, shattering the previous record of 18 consecutive days established in 1874 & 1901. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JBG Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 1 hour ago, qg_omega said: It’s crazy record warmth during an Super Nino 1972 and 1987 had some incredible summer warmth despite vigorous El Niños. Ditto 1983 but that was as the Super El Niño was fading. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 10 hours ago, psv88 said: 17k without power now. Connecticut got crushed Yep alot of damage here and no power for 8 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Damaged traffic light from last night’s severe thunderstorms in Larchmont, NY (photo from my brother). 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BoulderWX Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 38 hours and counting with no power 5 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 5 Share Posted July 5 Very cloudy here in Brooklyn Temp 80 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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