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JBG

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  1. JBG
    Your lips to G-d's ears.
  2. JBG
    February 30, 2024. Only kidding, thinking January 15, 2024.
  3. JBG
    I don't know. In my neck of the woods, the New York area, 1972-3 could not have been more different than 2009-10, even though both were cold-phase El Niños. 1982-3 and 2015-6 at least had one huge KU, unlike 1972-3 or 1997-8.
  4. JBG
    1972 had a couple; December 15, 1972, which IIRC hugged the coast, causing a changeover, and January 29, 1973 (same story). There were two biggies that plastered the Southeast, from Atlanta to Charleston to Wilmington (NC). There was one in mid-to-late March 1992. I don't remember if the "Storm of the Century" circa March 12, 1993 was during a Niño or it it was already neutral.
  5. JBG
    Don't forget 2015-6 and 1972-3. 1982-3 may be similar though that was following a warm-neutral (right after the Great Pacific Shift) from mid-1979 through April 1982.
  6. JBG
    In Westchester County on the Connecticut line, we're lucky if we got six. More like four or five.
  7. JBG
    On February 11, 1983 I remember watching the slow advance from the law library on Vesey Street. I saw the curtain of snow envelope the Verrazano. I grabbed the subway to my office on 40th street where it barely started snowing about 30 minutes later. The edge of the snow really crawled.
  8. JBG
    I "third" you. I lost my real Dad at 15, he was 47, in 1973. Fortunately it was from great to greater, but I lost my next Dad after almost 41 years knowing him and being his stepson my of the time in 2013.
  9. JBG
    Sweet. And my condolences.
  10. JBG
    That's a keeper, and going out to my mailing list!
  11. JBG
    You are quite right. I was referring to "Doria" as "Edith." Courtesy of my bad memory.
  12. JBG
    What about February 1983?
  13. JBG
    If I'm not mistaken both Edith and Agnes made landfall as high-impact tropical storms. Both had epic rains. A warm front spawned by Agnes had greater rain impact than Agnes' rain did directly in the New York City area. We had about 7-8" in Westchester from that, and another 3" or so from Agnes. This is just going off memory. A lot else was happening in my life on the day of the pre-Agnes storm, including a near-expulsion from High School. Agnes' impact in upstate New York and interior Pennsylvania was devastating. When I went to the Corning Glass Factory in August 1972 the ground floor was still inaccessible. When I went back with my family in April 2007 we saw the waterline. Too bad I don't have a picture. Edith was mostly a very rainy windstorm. Also, Edith in an indirect was worsened the impact of Agnes. Despite the prevailing La Niña (which ended in the Spring of 1972) the months after Agnes, including especially late spring of 1972 left the East so waterlogged as to really increase Agnes' flooding potential.
  14. JBG
    There was nothing at all lackluster about 1977-8 (HECS in early February and important event in late January) or 1978-9 (one of the biggest cold waves in history capped off by a HECS on President's Day 1979, usually known as PD I, not be be confused with PD II in 2003). Even 1970-1 had a decent event New Year's Eve, and 1971-2 had a storm that gave mixed precip to NYC but crushed the Appalachians. Ithaca had its all-time record of 26" (I think) inches. All those aside, aside from notable cold waves in January 1970, January 1971, and December 1976-January 1977 the 1970's were nothing to write home about. Hurricane Edith (1971) and Belle (1976) did hit the metro area.
  15. JBG
    Quite true. It was a strong La Niña. The winters before, 1971-2 and 1972-3 were notoriously "unsnowy." The numbers look better for 1971-2 but almost all were front loaders with rain washaways. 1974-5 had a 10" storm in early February and a surprise 6" in late March with a forecast changeover that largely busted. 1975-6, 1976-7 and 1979-80 were total busts. The 1980's had similar patterns. It wasn't really until "the storm of the century" in mid-March 1993 did we start getting decent winters. 1993-4 and 1995-6 were historic. From then on, every few winters were decent. But the 1970s and 1980s; the less said about them the better.
  16. JBG
    Just about. The snow started at about noon, kicked over to ZR around 2:30-3:00 p.m. and rained heavily for a while, at 23°-27°, then tapered off to freezing drizzle around 10:00 a.m. the next day, and ended as a tiny amount of snow, really flurries. If you want to check the news there was a Jets game that day and a truck plunged through the decking of the overhead West Side Highway, causing its permanent closure and ultimate demolition. Ironically DC stayed all snow and got something like 6"-8", but I was in suburban New York, not there.
  17. JBG
    December 1973 had that. 3" ice (literally skate-able in the backyard (I was in high school and skated between mine and a friend/neighbor's yards the day after), then three days in the teens-low twenties, then rain with no snow to start.
  18. JBG
    Ditto 2006-7. November 7, 2012 wasn't bad though.
  19. JBG
    Just got a new pair of cross-country ski boots; wait till next year I guess.
  20. JBG
    The early July and the August/September heat waves were dry. The late July one, not so much. And this summer's warmth (very little heat) were humid.
  21. JBG
    From my memory eight sounds about right. We had the 100+ wave in early July, another intensely hot spell in late July and another in late August/early September.
  22. JBG
    From what I remember Joseph D'Aleo has said, 1980 and 1991 were "failed El Niños." 1993 was a crumbling El Niño leading to a "cold-neutral" for 1993-4, which is short of a La Niña. I personally think the trend, i.e. with cooling in Niñ0 is more important than the actual state. For example 1973 and 2010 were rapid plunges from fairly significant El Niños to significant La Niñas, as was one summer we haven't discussed, 1970. 1970 was a drop, not plunge, from a moderate El Niño to a moderate La Niña. During periods when the Pacific is warming, though still at Niña levels the summers are not back-to-back hot. Examples are 1974, 1984 and 2008. Niño 3.4 temperatures were quite "droppy" during 1980, though not to Niña levels.
  23. JBG
    2002 did not, from what I remember, have a hot September. I remember August being hot, until a rainy and cool last week. I agree with you about April, late June, July and most of August. 1994 was quite hot through the end of July; as if the weather G-ds had access to a calendar. The cooldown actually signaled the 1994-5 El Niño, and 1996's cool summer presaged the super El Niño of 1997-8. Second La Niña summers are also frequently hot in May or early June, cool thereafter. Examples of this are 1974, 1984, 1989 (though with one July and one September heat wave), 1990, 2000 (brrrr), and 2008 (almost a match with 1925 and 1984 for the big June heat wave). 2011 kept the heat going a while longer than most second-summer La Niñas.
  24. JBG
    1995 had a few hot days in advance of a back-door cold front in July, and a substantially above-normal August and early September.
  25. JBG
    1977 was one of those rare El Niño summers with big heat. 2002 is the only other one I can think of. El Niño is usually a cool signal for summers. Think 1969 (one four-day heat wave, a fair number of individual hot days but lots of cool weather and rain), 1972 (June and early-mid August very cool though July and September each had hot weeks), 1979 (one three-day heat wave in May), 1982 (one very hot week in July, otherwise cool), 1992 (historically cool, three-day waves in May and July, with some cooling help from Pinatubo), 2003, 2004, and 2009 (June and July historically cool, three-day heat waves in April and August). 1977 was in many ways a lot like 1969 and 1982, just with a bigger temperature spike. That is why we remember 1977 as a hot summer even though it really wasn't.
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