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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


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10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I’ll stick with my upper 90s

Good.  That just makes it "nearly unprecedented!"  Seriously, I have seen that in media headlines.  Any excuse to sneak the word "unprecedented."  They love their buzzwords.

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1 hour ago, vortex95 said:

Where exactly?  Which day(s)?  Generic statements like this do not cut it these days.  The details count and the models can parse these out much better these days.

From a MSM media standpoint, it likely is going this way, "NYC is going to be very hot, so that mean *all* the East Coast is going to be a super torch."  Never underestimate the power of thinking a location is the center of the universe!

What?

image.thumb.png.4706c3962bd3c2b12ac5775323231e77.png

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6 minutes ago, qg_omega said:

What?

image.thumb.png.4706c3962bd3c2b12ac5775323231e77.png

This is apparent temp, not actual air temp.  Apparent temp is a biological factor only.  A world exists beyond the biological.  And we assume everyone has the same tolerance to heat, which is false.  It varies widely.

There are been a noticeable shift focusing way more on apparent temp than the actual air temp, which is what matters most in the end.  We do not have a solid climo history of apparent temp either for historical perspective. 

And ever notice apparent temp is only talked about when it is higher than the air temp?  I wonder why.  I'll tell you why, for a dew point of about 58 or less, the apparent temp is actually *lower* than the air temp, so it feels better/less bad.  Can't hype that.  The door swings both ways here.
 

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I have been looking at the GFS and Euro on Weatherbell.  The maximum 6 hour temperatures for later this week.  Lots of 100 to 105F in the major cities. Ouch, a 108F in DC. I think this is the day of maximum heat but Boston cools down with a seabreeze.  Also of note but I didn't post is the crazy minimums in some of the major cities.  It's going to be tough to get down below 80F in places like NYC to DCA.

0Z July 4th.jpg

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3 hours ago, vortex95 said:

Where exactly?  Which day(s)?  Generic statements like this do not cut it these days.  The details count and the models can parse these out much better these days.

From a MSM media standpoint, it likely is going this way, "NYC is going to be very hot, so that mean *all* the East Coast is going to be a super torch."  Never underestimate the power of thinking a location is the center of the universe!

don’t waste your keystrokes responding to that troll. he does not post in good faith, never has.

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