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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


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This is looking increasingly more synergistic in nature as the time nears. 

It’s kind of funny too because just last week or maybe the week before… we were sort of questioning whether this could ever happen here  hm

Nothing’s happened yet so we’ll see what this looks like over the next couple days of new modeling solutions but… this has inched into a remarkable situation for the time being 

 the strongest signal for >100 degree temps
lies in interior river valleys and larger urban areas. Equally
concerning is the signal for limited cooling at night mid week.
The NBM shows a widespread 60-80% chance for low temperatures
above 70 degrees Wednesday to Friday, with a 50-70% chance for
lows greater than 75 degrees for much of Southern New England!
Seeing signals for extreme heat impacts appear in Heat Risk
guidance with widespread Major (3/4) impacts expanding over much
of the CWA on Wednesday. By Thursday, several urban areas
including Boston and portions of the CT River Valley may see
Extreme (4/4) heat impacts. Levels like these are typically
reserved for rare and/or long duration heat with little
overnight relief.
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29 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is looking increasingly more synergistic in nature as the time nears. 

It’s kind of funny too because just last week or maybe the week before… we were sort of questioning whether this could ever happen here  hm

Nothing’s happened yet so we’ll see what this looks like over the next couple days of new modeling solutions but… this has inched into a remarkable situation for the time being 

 the strongest signal for >100 degree temps
lies in interior river valleys and larger urban areas. Equally
concerning is the signal for limited cooling at night mid week.
The NBM shows a widespread 60-80% chance for low temperatures
above 70 degrees Wednesday to Friday, with a 50-70% chance for
lows greater than 75 degrees for much of Southern New England!
Seeing signals for extreme heat impacts appear in Heat Risk
guidance with widespread Major (3/4) impacts expanding over much
of the CWA on Wednesday. By Thursday, several urban areas
including Boston and portions of the CT River Valley may see
Extreme (4/4) heat impacts. Levels like these are typically
reserved for rare and/or long duration heat with little
overnight relief.

I'm scared 

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Some special Miami style nights coming up. 

Forecast low temperatures in the lower 80s across NE NJ and NYC Thu night and Fri night. Heat index values not expected to drop below the lower 80s in NYC and immediate surrounding areas Wed night through Fri night, making for little to no recovery from
heat stress Wed through the day Sat.
 

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Holy crap…… 

 

Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. West wind 5 to 8 mph. 
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West wind 3 to 5 mph. 
Friday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. 
 

 

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37 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

Holy crap…… 

 

Thursday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 103. West wind 5 to 8 mph. 
Thursday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 76. West wind 3 to 5 mph. 
Friday
Sunny and hot, with a high near 101. Northwest wind 3 to 8 mph. 
 

 

Danger ahead 

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10 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

This is looking increasingly more synergistic in nature as the time nears. 

It’s kind of funny too because just last week or maybe the week before… we were sort of questioning whether this could ever happen here  hm

Nothing’s happened yet so we’ll see what this looks like over the next couple days of new modeling solutions but… this has inched into a remarkable situation for the time being 

 the strongest signal for >100 degree temps
lies in interior river valleys and larger urban areas. Equally
concerning is the signal for limited cooling at night mid week.
The NBM shows a widespread 60-80% chance for low temperatures
above 70 degrees Wednesday to Friday, with a 50-70% chance for
lows greater than 75 degrees for much of Southern New England!
Seeing signals for extreme heat impacts appear in Heat Risk
guidance with widespread Major (3/4) impacts expanding over much
of the CWA on Wednesday. By Thursday, several urban areas
including Boston and portions of the CT River Valley may see
Extreme (4/4) heat impacts. Levels like these are typically
reserved for rare and/or long duration heat with little
overnight relief.

In other words days and days of shirtlessness (perhaps down to short shorts?) with several packages of hard mikes and dude wipes on standby. Lfg baby!

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I’m still feeling mostly 98-100 in the hot spots right now…not buying the 2m 103-105 stuff with 850s of only 22-23C. I’m sure EWR will drop a 104° one day over the tarmac though.

Just imagine all of those sweathogs in DC later next week for the 250th. No thanks. 

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