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Junorch obs and discussion 2026


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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro says 100 degrees and running. 
 

 

 

Road trip for Scott?  Of course the MSM will ignore this atypically late season S+ even for the Northern Rockies (up to -4.7 sigma hgt anomaly at 500) and just talk about what has not even happened yet w/ its obvious E Coast bias, rather than talk about what is occurring in the here and now.
 

hrrr.png

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16 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

we are never getting a 1996 summer again

 

Do you mean 1995?  That's when BOS hit 100 for the first time since July 21, 1977 (102 that day).  It took that long for the UHI to catch up so they could reach 100 again.  The temp sensor was moved from tucked back near the WSFO at Logan to the middle of the runways surrounded by water on 3 sides in the late 70s.

July 14, 1995 was the 100 in BOS.  July 15 is when CT tied their all-time record high of 106.  In between this early on the 15th, the WxWiz and CoastalWx "fantasy" derecho occurred in NY and western New England.  Easily the worst derecho in the last 50 years for the NEUS.
https://www.weather.gov/aly/derecho1995
 

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44 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Road trip for Scott?  Of course the MSM will ignore this atypically late season S+ even for the Northern Rockies (up to -4.7 sigma hgt anomaly at 500) and just talk about what has not even happened yet w/ its obvious E Coast bias, rather than talk about what is occurring in the here and now.
 

hrrr.png

When it snows above 2,000ft even in New England (anytime of year), no one really cares lol.

Above 8,000ft in the Bitterroot Mtns isn’t going to move the public interest needle much.

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21 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

 

Do you mean 1995?  That's when BOS hit 100 for the first time since July 21, 1977 (102 that day).  It took that long for the UHI to catch up so they could reach 100 again.  The temp sensor was moved from tucked back near the WSFO at Logan to the middle of the runways surrounded by water on 3 sides in the late 70s.

July 14, 1995 was the 100 in BOS.  July 15 is when CT tied their all-time record high of 106.  In between this early on the 15th, the WxWiz and CoastalWx "fantasy" derecho occurred in NY and western New England.  Easily the worst derecho in the last 50 years for the NEUS.
https://www.weather.gov/aly/derecho1995
 

my area barely hit 90 in 1996. that type of cool is gone

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55 minutes ago, vortex95 said:

Road trip for Scott?  Of course the MSM will ignore this atypically late season S+ even for the Northern Rockies (up to -4.7 sigma hgt anomaly at 500) and just talk about what has not even happened yet w/ its obvious E Coast bias, rather than talk about what is occurring in the here and now.
 

hrrr.png

6500’ in the Rockies? It happens there. 

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6 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I honestly think if MSM polled the public they would say it snows year round in the northern Rockies peaks.

When I was in Rocky mtn national park I saw hail, flakes, and rain all at once in a nice tstm. Pretty cool weather. 

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8 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That is pretty dam cold air though. It actually helps pump up the ridge for us next week. 

Oh that trough means business.  I understand completely what Vortex means by bias.  If MWN was going to see freezing temps with highs in the 60s in New England, it would be talked about.

It’s just really hard to get the public to give two shits about anything high elevation in the Rockies… maybe some passing footage of snow on the tail end of a newscast while credits role. 

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4 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Oh that trough means business.  I understand completely what Vortex means by bias.  If MWN was going to see freezing temps with highs in the 60s in New England, it would be talked about.

It’s just really hard to get the public to give two shits about anything high elevation in the Rockies… maybe some passing footage of snow on the tail end of a newscast while credits role. 

Compare the Standard Deviations ... 

Instead of personal bug-up-butts about whether other people have biases or not, why don't we put some sort of math to the test and figure out which anomaly is greater?  I dunno.  If modeled 100, three days in a row, is a smaller SD than modeled snowing at 6K+ in the west under 560 dm core than okay.   

I wonder if the anomaly is more so in the heat side of things tho -

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