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2026 Mid-Atlantic Severe Storm General Discussion


Kmlwx
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for @MN Transplant

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
617 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  The District of Columbia...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  Northwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland...
  Arlington County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia...
  Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia...

* Until 645 PM EDT.

* At 617 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over American
  University, or near Howard University, moving southeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Arlington, Bethesda, Annandale, College Park, Greenbelt, Langley
  Park, Vienna, Falls Church, Coral Hills, Bladensburg, Pimmit Hills,
  Mclean, University of Maryland, Nationals Park, Fedex Field, Howard
  University, Gallaudet University, American Legion Bridge, Fort
  Totten, and Rosslyn.
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12 minutes ago, tstate21 said:

Some rotation enhancement with the line coming through down near Riviera Beach. Curious to see the next few scans. 

 

Edit: Now tornado warned, but seems to have fallen apart now. Seems to be a recurring theme today. 

Screenshot_20260728_180630_WeatherWise.jpg

That area doesn’t need more damage. I called my mom, who was already downstairs in her safe space as she’s in that warning area 

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5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Banger of a storm here imby. 

Heck yeah it was! Those winds were impressive. And then the area of rotation went right over us! You have any damage? I don't see any from the windows but the power was flickering a ton. I wonder how the Waugh Chapel Substation fared. 

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Just now, Kmlwx said:

Heck yeah it was! Those winds were impressive. And then the area of rotation went right over us! You have any damage? I don't see any from the windows but the power was flickering a ton. I wonder how the Waugh Chapel Substation fared. 

Looks like a fair bit of damage in Gaithersburg per LSRs

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11 minutes ago, yoda said:

for @MN Transplant

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
617 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  The District of Columbia...
  Southeastern Montgomery County in central Maryland...
  Northwestern Prince Georges County in central Maryland...
  Arlington County in northern Virginia...
  The City of Falls Church in northern Virginia...
  Northeastern Fairfax County in northern Virginia...

* Until 645 PM EDT.

* At 617 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over American
  University, or near Howard University, moving southeast at 40 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Damaging winds will cause some trees and large branches
           to fall. This could injure those outdoors, as well as
           damage homes and vehicles. Roadways may become blocked by
           downed trees. Localized power outages are possible.
           Unsecured light objects may become projectiles.

* Locations impacted include...
  Arlington, Bethesda, Annandale, College Park, Greenbelt, Langley
  Park, Vienna, Falls Church, Coral Hills, Bladensburg, Pimmit Hills,
  Mclean, University of Maryland, Nationals Park, Fedex Field, Howard
  University, Gallaudet University, American Legion Bridge, Fort
  Totten, and Rosslyn.

Trace

IMG_3199.thumb.jpeg.18ebc29a320275258424ef229640fce2.jpeg

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For @CAPE and our Eastern Shore/DE crew

mcd1790.png

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1790
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0527 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Maryland into Delaware

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 529...

   Valid 282227Z - 282330Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 529 continues.

   SUMMARY...A locally higher tornado threat may materialize in the
   next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured ahead of an
   approaching MCS. These supercells are intensifying within a very
   moist low-level environment, where 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE is present, and
   where the DOX VAD shows a modestly sized/curved low-level hodograph
   and over 200 m2/s2 0-3 km SRH. In addition to showing a modest
   increase in low-level rotation within the supercells, the absorption
   of these supercells into the MCS may promote conditionally favorable
   storm interactions which may briefly heighten the tornado threat.
   The best chance for a tornado will likely be within the next 2
   hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/28/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

   LAT...LON   38387643 38987602 39267570 39317549 39197530 38907522
               38607538 38437559 38247591 38387643 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN
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8 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

Heck yeah it was! Those winds were impressive. And then the area of rotation went right over us! You have any damage? I don't see any from the windows but the power was flickering a ton. I wonder how the Waugh Chapel Substation fared. 

None that i see but there is a report of a tree into a home in gambrills off burns crossing rd.

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1 minute ago, snowfan said:

None that i see but there is a report of a tree into a home in gambrills off burns crossing rd.

Yeah I just saw that on PulsePoint! 

Power outage counts from BGE are surprisingly tame given that wind. Looks like some wires down on Patuxent Rd down near Woodwardville as well. 

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Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

MDC003-005-510-290015-
/O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260729T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Anne Arundel MD-Baltimore MD-Baltimore City MD-
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL ANNE ARUNDEL AND SOUTHEASTERN BALTIMORE
COUNTIES AND BALTIMORE CITY...

At 644 PM EDT, emergency management reports multiple roads closed
due to flooding in Baltimore City. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Baltimore...                       Pikesville...
Middle River...                    Riviera Beach...
Sparrows Point...                  Back River...
North Point State Park...          Fort Smallwood State Park...
Millers Island...                  Glen Burnie...
Dundalk...                         Towson...
Catonsville...                     Essex...
Woodlawn...                        Parkville...
Carney...                          Perry Hall...
Lochearn...                        Pasadena...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3914 7661 3925 7671 3929 7672 3941 7673
      3940 7639 3924 7640 3918 7645 3918 7646
      3921 7652 3917 7646 3914 7648

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE
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Just now, yoda said:
Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

MDC003-005-510-290015-
/O.CON.KLWX.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-260729T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Anne Arundel MD-Baltimore MD-Baltimore City MD-
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 815 PM EDT THIS
EVENING FOR NORTH CENTRAL ANNE ARUNDEL AND SOUTHEASTERN BALTIMORE
COUNTIES AND BALTIMORE CITY...

At 644 PM EDT, emergency management reports multiple roads closed
due to flooding in Baltimore City. Between 2 and 3.5 inches of rain
have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts up to 0.5 inches are
possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is already occurring.

HAZARD...Life threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Emergency management reported.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of creeks and streams,
         urban areas, highways, streets and underpasses.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Baltimore...                       Pikesville...
Middle River...                    Riviera Beach...
Sparrows Point...                  Back River...
North Point State Park...          Fort Smallwood State Park...
Millers Island...                  Glen Burnie...
Dundalk...                         Towson...
Catonsville...                     Essex...
Woodlawn...                        Parkville...
Carney...                          Perry Hall...
Lochearn...                        Pasadena...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don`t drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood
deaths occur in vehicles.

Move to higher ground now. Act quickly to protect your life.

Be aware of your surroundings and do not drive on flooded roads.

&&

LAT...LON 3914 7661 3925 7671 3929 7672 3941 7673
      3940 7639 3924 7640 3918 7645 3918 7646
      3921 7652 3917 7646 3914 7648

FLASH FLOOD...OBSERVED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

Flash flood in DC English Basement Apartment confirmed. 

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33 minutes ago, yoda said:

For @CAPE and our Eastern Shore/DE crew

mcd1790.png

 

Mesoscale Discussion 1790
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0527 PM CDT Tue Jul 28 2026

   Areas affected...portions of eastern Maryland into Delaware

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 529...

   Valid 282227Z - 282330Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 529 continues.

   SUMMARY...A locally higher tornado threat may materialize in the
   next 1-2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells have matured ahead of an
   approaching MCS. These supercells are intensifying within a very
   moist low-level environment, where 2000+ J/kg MLCAPE is present, and
   where the DOX VAD shows a modestly sized/curved low-level hodograph
   and over 200 m2/s2 0-3 km SRH. In addition to showing a modest
   increase in low-level rotation within the supercells, the absorption
   of these supercells into the MCS may promote conditionally favorable
   storm interactions which may briefly heighten the tornado threat.
   The best chance for a tornado will likely be within the next 2
   hours.

   ..Squitieri.. 07/28/2026

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...LWX...

   LAT...LON   38387643 38987602 39267570 39317549 39197530 38907522
               38607538 38437559 38247591 38387643 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-125 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN

Storms keep rotating but not warned except for the one

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