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March Madness


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3 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

That is a nasty nasty BD on the NAM... has Boston plummeting to the upper 30s on Wed ... 24 hour ahead of the main front.  

It's probably got boundary layer lag bias.   It's the same reason why it can't warm the BL sufficiently at this time of year in general - today, etc..; they've sort of designed a model that over assesses the Ekman stuff. 

That said... it's also hard to argue BDs in eastern NE at any time of year, let alone f'um March.  

The NAM is also a bit more robust with clouds/precip Wednesday too 

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6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Torch on Wednesday especially CT. 

 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Fook we porked Wednesday. 

LOL....its like seeing the NAM before a SWFE hammering H75 with 2C.....you know you're screwed when it shows BDF/CAD too

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23 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This isn’t something that is just within reach, this is a whole significant pattern change… It’s completely different in my opinion. And if you read my previous post, I said we better see some big changes at 12z today. It’s about 7ish days out. Big difference from 10 days out. 

Of course I read your post..I responded to it.  And that was one run, the runs before were conducive.  And it’s not just one chance either…so there’s that option.
 

But Personally after being outside here just now…to hell with more snow.  This is fabulous..and I’m ready to move on to the next season.  But I also know it’s March 9th…

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6 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ya think Wednesday’s will suck out here WOR Wednesday?   It will we escape it and have a good day? 

NAM says we all porked. I'd like to think it may be too aggressive, but it tends to sniff these out. 

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2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

NAM says we all porked. I'd like to think it may be too aggressive, but it tends to sniff these out. 

It's going to be super close WOR. Looking at some soundings from the NAM WOR you can see a more SE component to the wind but (Even though its March) if the NAM is overdoing the clouds/AM precip, it would not take much to mix out that shallow and subtle layer. Could be a day where DXR gets to like 66 and BOS 41

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I’ve already resigned myself to losing Wed here. This is rough though. Haha.

Date: 54 hour NAM valid 18Z WED 11 MAR 26
Station: 42.92,-71.81
Latitude:   42.92
Longitude: -71.81
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
LEV PRES  HGHT  TEMP  DEWP  RH  DD   WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E   W
     mb     m     C     C    %   C     C  deg knt   K     K     K     K    g/kg
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
  0 1000   130                                                                 
SFC  984   256   1.6   1.0  96  0.6   1.4  90   7 276.0 276.7 275.3 287.4  4.19
  2  950   542  -0.9  -1.1  98  0.3  -1.0 107  19 276.3 276.9 274.8 286.5  3.70
  3  900   984  11.2   9.7  90  1.6  10.3 193  43 293.1 294.6 287.8 317.1  8.40
  4  850  1461  10.3  10.0  98  0.3  10.1 211  50 296.9 298.6 289.8 323.3  9.10
  5  800  1964   7.1   5.8  91  1.4   6.3 218  51 298.8 300.1 288.8 320.0  7.23
  6  750  2492   4.0   0.9  80  3.2   2.4 226  44 301.0 302.0 287.9 317.3  5.45
  7  700  3051   1.6  -5.6  59  7.2  -1.6 235  41 304.2 304.9 287.2 315.3  3.59
 
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