March Madness

[Brian5671]

4 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Don’t worry buddy, we’ll get ya to snow one more time.

doubt it-bad pattern and climo gets worse by the day.  I'm ready for spring...

[MJO812]

6 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said:

Don’t worry buddy, we’ll get ya to snow one more time.

Brian loves the warmth. Use to be a snow weenie.

[Brian5671]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Brian loves the warmth. Use to be a snow weenie.

Seasons in seasons.   got my snow now I want warmth.

[tamarack]

6 hours ago, CoastalWx said:

2023 ruined a lot of apple crops here with a horrible May freeze. However, not sure if the issue was early season blooming vs a really anomalous cold snap. Maybe a little of both.

We were in PA for a family reunion when the mid-20s morning hit on May 18, 2023, but somehow we avoided serious damage. 

Our quinces and apples generally have peak blossoms in the May 15-25 period and last year they were right on time.  Unfortunately, the weather wasn't - 19-25 had potentially over 100 hours of sunlight but that week had less than 30 minutes in total, and the average maxima was 50.6, which was 16° BN with nearly 3" of cold RA.  The poor pollinators were absent for the most part until long after blossom peak, so fruit set was awful for the quinces and 2 of the 3 apples, barely reaching mediocre for the 3rd.  Those few fruits had all the nutrients, however, for some of the biggest and nicest we've grown (though few and far between).

2010 was a different disaster, with Feb/Mar/April way AN (all 3 our mildest here) and blossoms were peaking by May 8-10.  Then 11-13 had minima 23 to 26 and killed essentially every blossom, also torched the new growth on ash, maple, even some oak.  The trees set new buds and shoots but used a lot more energy than in a normal growing season.

[tamarack]

2 hours ago, NW_of_GYX said:

I’m at 62.5”. Difference is the December norlun and a couple other events where you outperformed. Wonder when the last time klew was ahead of the southern foothills/interior Cumberland county.

Jeff's first 18" event was 9.5" more than here and he's 4.2" ahead since Jan 31.  Other than that, we're running about at climo, with the foothills about 15% higher than LEW.

As for summer, we had some hot days, including only our 2nd official heat wave on August 11-13, but as climate is warming our convective SVR seems waning.  Last year we had but 5 days with thunder, 3 fewer than any other year and 1/3 of average.  Also haven't had significant effects from a TC since Floyd in 1999 or a real rain and blow since Bob.

[NW_of_GYX]

7 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Jeff's first 18" event was 9.5" more than here and he's 4.2" ahead since Jan 31.  Other than that, we're running about at climo, with the foothills about 15% higher than LEW.

 

I’m about 22” from my average at this spot since 2013. Certainly feasible but not guaranteed. If it happens, long duration cold plus best lake ice season since 2019 this winter could salvage a B-, otherwise it’s solidly in C category for this part of NNE 

[SnoSki14]

1 hour ago, Brian5671 said:

Seasons in seasons.   got my snow now I want warmth.

EPS has us under the cool bubble

[Ginx snewx]

7 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Let’s get some solid damage Monday/Monday night with the screamer 

Don't overlook tomorrow good March mixing and 50s gusts seems likely 

[Typhoon Tip]

well...I guess this marks the 2nd snow event since this new cold pattern arrived that was completely claimed by dry air.   

[weatherwiz]

16 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

well...I guess this marks the 2nd snow event since this new cold pattern arrived that was completely claimed by dry air.   

Maybe we can use uber helicopter and take measurements at H85

[MJO812]

Same pattern 

 

Insane how warm the west will continue to be.

[HoarfrostHubb]

25 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Don't overlook tomorrow good March mixing and 50s gusts seems likely 

We will be swaying on the lifts tomorrow morning 

[weatherwiz]

12 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Same pattern 

 

Insane how warm the west will continue to be.

Can’t wait to bake in June/July with some Sonoran heat releases 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

9 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

I thought 2020 had flurries in May... in fact, I know it did. I recall standing out on my friend's deck as a blown out virga CU came over and stray dendies floated by for a couple minutes.  I'm like really -

I don't know. Maybe it has to actually be 32 to damage orchard crops... and that was say 33 to 44 with very low freezing heights.  

2020 and 2023 were just outlier warm and snowless winters. A regression to the mean had to happen at some point, and the cold finally came those years in the late spring, even early summer months (April and May in 2020; May and June in 2023).