Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[NorthArlington101]

 
 

I’m expecting a 2hr delay with liberal leave

[North Balti Zen]

Sticking to the grass already in fallston 

[nw baltimore wx]

Steady, straight-down, falling snow here.

[87storms]

Thought it was gonna be a full flip here, but once I got below 500’ and then back home it’s still like a 50/50 mix. Very rate and elevation dependent event so far.
 

[Wxtrix]

Just now, MDphotog said:

I know, but the radar edge is getting really close now.  It might start back building in.  There is some more snow that just popped up pushing west near Chambersburg.  We shall see.

the storm hasn’t even started yet.

come on everyone:  get it together.

[Wonderdog]

Snow sticking in Gainesville.

 

[psuhoffman]

2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

I hate it when psu trolls the same forum that he's in.  

 

I was being honest. I never would have even gone 5-10. I was thinking 4-8 and I’d be dropping it right now to 3-7 maybe not increasing it. I honestly want to know what went into their decision. Maybe I’m missing something and I can learn. 

[snowcane33]

20 minutes ago, dailylurker said:

I just arrived at my hotel in Harrington Del. I'm shocked at what's already going on here. It looks like about 3" otg already and it's coming down good. I had to flip into four wheel drive about 20 miles outside Harrington. LFG!

Yeah it's been coming down pretty good here in H town since 1230. 

[Eskimo Joe]

Coastal is definitely cranking. Berlin mesonet site sustained 20 mph from the northeast.

[Solution Man]

Norlun being born

 

Reflectivity 

 

[midatlanticweather]

Been snowing nicely for about an hour. Mulch is starting to cave.. Grass is getting lighter with slush. Cars covering slowly. 

33.3 degrees

 

[baltosquid]

Mesonet seems to have Baltimore dropping 1 degree over the past half hour. Took an hour and a half to drop the degree before that. Accelerating. Their site is definitely a bit cooler than Canton but hopefully this is the beginning of the crash and then snowflakes soon... I think I see the mixing line over the bay on correlation coefficient, inching NW. 

[Roger Ramjet]

13 minutes ago, Terpeast said:

My nowcast guess - based on radar, seems to be some convergence from HGR/MRB down to west of leesburg to warrenton. Maybe thinking thats where the norlun forms initially and then slowly migrates east to DC

I think you are right. Heavy snow - about 1" in the last hour and finally below freezing at 31.9.

[nw baltimore wx]

1 minute ago, psuhoffman said:

I was being honest. I never would have even gone 5-10. I was thinking 4-8 and I’d be dropping it right now to 3-7 maybe not increasing it. I honestly want to know what went into their decision. Maybe I’m missing something and I can learn. 

I'm teasing you, but certainly you're in a prime area for elevation enhancement and the norlun.

[mappy]

Temp down to 33 and snowing nicely. Grass turning white

[Eskimo Joe]

1 minute ago, baltosquid said:

Mesonet seems to have Baltimore dropping 1 degree over the past half hour. Took an hour and a half to drop the degree before that. Accelerating. Their site is definitely a bit cooler than Canton but hopefully this is the beginning of the crash and then snowflakes soon... I think I see the mixing line over the bay on correlation coefficient, inching NW. 

Are you talking about the Towson or Baltimore City mesonet site? 

[MillvilleWx]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I was being honest. I never would have even gone 5-10. I was thinking 4-8 and I’d be dropping it right now to 3-7 maybe not increasing it. I honestly want to know what went into their decision. Maybe I’m missing something and I can learn. 

I have no idea what they are doing. I lowered your totals on the WPC end. I'm missing something, or they are messing up something. 

[87storms]

2 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

I was being honest. I never would have even gone 5-10. I was thinking 4-8 and I’d be dropping it right now to 3-7 maybe not increasing it. I honestly want to know what went into their decision. Maybe I’m missing something and I can learn. 

Starting to think a screw job is on the table for my area and maybe parts of northern md. We’ll see. It is early, but this storm basically sucks so far (yes, I know it’s early).

[T. August]

17 minutes ago, T. August said:

Down to 36°. It’s close to switching I can feel it

35° and ugly-ass flakes occasionally 

[ThePhotoGuy]

Looks like snow has reached the 50 corridor from the east between Annapolis, Cape Saint Claire, & Sandy Point. 

[Ltrain]

36.9° Snow has just started to mix in.

Severna Park

[baltosquid]

Just now, Eskimo Joe said:

Are you talking about the Towson or Baltimore City mesonet site? 

Baltimore city, says 35.4 now. Dropping quick.

[Eskimo Joe]

Latest HRRR goes nuts with the inverted trough. Someone is getting 6" - 10" in that band. 

[PWC Split]

Just ticked under 33 in Haymarket, let’s go one more degree!!!

[Chris78]

4 minutes ago, Solution Man said:

Norlun being born

 

 

Reflectivity 

 

Where are you seeing it?

[MDphotog]

4 minutes ago, Wxtrix said:

the storm hasn’t even started yet.

come on everyone:  get it together.

I think you will do much better, but 18Z 3k Nam has me done by 7pm.  HRRR has it going longer, but I've been burnt by that one before.  

[Snowman.]

Temp down to 33.4. Fairly heavy snow a couple miles north of Sterling. Grass is whitening 

[ravensrule]

6 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Steady, straight-down, falling snow here.

Starting to whiten my mulch a drop, I'm trying to control myself. 

[snowmagnet]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

I have no idea what they are doing. I lowered your totals on the WPC end. I'm missing something, or they are messing up something. 

Can you get me a WSW in Fairfax County? We are only at an advisory. But I'd prefer they start low and go high. It usually doesn't work the other way. 

[EHoffman]

Just now, Chris78 said:

Where are you seeing it?

Nowhere, because it hasn't formed yet