Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Obs Thread

[snowfan]

5 minutes ago, Chris78 said:

32 in Smithsburg now with snow mixing in.

I'm at about 750ft in elevation. 

Looks like the Catoctins are getting hammered right now.

Looking upstream from there, all snow (big fatties) and accumulating on the 81 traffic cams near chambersburg. 

[SomeguyfromTakomaPark]

5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

 

 

hrrr running 2 degrees warm maybe we flip earlier 

[EastCoast NPZ]

Flipping to snow

[nw baltimore wx]

13 minutes ago, TJ said:

Seaford is my home town.

Enjoy it!!  Make sure you post pics.  I want to see blizzard conditions!

 

 

11 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Would be great if we could fast forward to 4pm. 

I'm going to enjoy any snow tv during the day, and I love that transition in the evening when the roads instantly cave as temperatures reach freezing.  

 

By the way, there's no way to pretreat roads with juice with the rain, so unsalted roads could get bad quickly this evening. 

[Warm Nose]

8 minutes ago, midatlanticweather said:

Looks like the short term are seeing the norlun here. It seems to have shifted east since last night but was about there on the Euro as well. 

Look to radars and not the model to figure out where it really is

[PWC Split]

5 minutes ago, ibawahu said:

Big sloppy flakes here in Marshall, 35 degrees. 

That's pretty close, what is your elevation out there?

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Beach and food and drink is cool but I'll I'd be trying to do is be trying to leave late Monday (doubtful) or Tuesday and ideally not lose power while being sorta close to DC and on a main road. 

doubt i do it anyway. just kinda torturing myself

Just go to Salisbury.  They're under a blizzard warning too. Rt 50 will be cleared first.

[snowcane33]

15 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You got any experience with how they plow out Milford? I’ve been eyeing it this morning. Or any of our DE folks. Hoping I could maybe get out Tuesday evening but ideally Monday lol

If we get 2 feet the major highway 13 and 113 will be shut down for a couple days here. 

[nw baltimore wx]

Does anyone have a good radar site for watching the storm form?  I have RadarScope but I don't know of a way to make regional radar.

[katabatic]

Steady light snow. 29.5 currently - temp was around 31 at sunrise, so going in the right direction. Main roads are fine since they've been treated but neighborhood/side roads caved. I'd say a little less than an inch so far.

[snowfan]

6 minutes ago, CAPE said:

Dude just go to Rehoboth. There will be plenty of snow there, and actually places to go for good food and drinkies. You will get great shots and vids walking down Rehoboth Ave to the beach. And ofc right at the beach. I'm telling ya. Book it and go now.

This. Rehoboth or Dewey are both fine. The Hyatt place in Dewey has rooms for $133 and it’s right across the street from the beach, walking distance to Dewey beer, other food options, and a 5 min drive to the rehoboth boardwalk.

[CAPE]

@NorthArlington101

First one is standing right outside the hotel. That was a snow devil. Saw that happening for hours. Second one is obvious lol

 

[Cobalt]

3 minutes ago, DJnVa said:

Daughter is at JMU, said there was some big thick flakes already.

Can confirm, went from light rain to sizeable snowflakes in the past 10 minutes. 

[MillvilleWx]

18 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

You got any experience with how they plow out Milford? I’ve been eyeing it this morning. Or any of our DE folks. Hoping I could maybe get out Tuesday evening but ideally Monday lol

They'll be better suited in that area compared to the coast. The coastal areas in Sussex will be awhile before they can go anywhere. My parents are in that area and I'm not expecting them to be able to move till Tuesday. 

[Jebman]

Precip over NC/VA and the overall DMV is just fascinating to watch as the coastal develops and the system over the Great Lakes interact. This is the kind of meteorological mayhem that finds its way into papers later on. I don't have the chops for this, but someone like Millville or Terpeast is probably gonna do an exemplar writeup about the way this entire system is developing. We are living history right now.

[Weather Will]

12Z HRRR statewide and zoomed. Area wide changeover takes place between 4-5.  NW zones and elevation spots change over sooner.  Radar forecast at noon, 4, and 5.

[Bubbler86]

Nice and close so far as predicted in recent mesos.

 

[snowfan]

2 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said:

Does anyone have a good radar site for watching the storm form?  I have RadarScope but I don't know of a way to make regional radar.

Here’s what I use on my iPad 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Virginia-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

[MDSnow93]

Flakes mixing in in Germantown

[kurtstack]

36 and rain in burke .12" qpf so far. Mixing by 10am would be a good sign i think, but may have to wait til after 2pm.


.

[psuhoffman]

8 minutes ago, DJnVa said:

Daughter is at JMU, said there was some big thick flakes already.

Tell her not to date any of them 

[RickinBaltimore]

Cold rain here so far

[osfan24]

15 minutes ago, snowfan said:

 

 

Lol awful.

[psuhoffman]

36 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Question is does it just sort of flip from N/W to S/E and then stay all snow (even if non-accumulating for awhile), or does it pulse back and forth and be rate dependent during the middle of the day before a flip to snow for good mid-late afternoon?

Probably rate dependent south of 70 given the marginal wet bulbs until after 3pm.  
 

If we get a steady heavy enough precip coverage it would help. 

[CAPE]

1 minute ago, MillvilleWx said:

They'll be better suited in that area compared to the coast. The coastal areas in Sussex will be awhile before they can go anywhere. My parents are in that area and I'm not expecting them to be able to move till Tuesday. 

I got out the next day for the first storm. I have a jeep though. That one wasn't as windy so not as much drifting. There might not be quite as much drifting with this one with the heavy wet nature of the snow.

[baltosquid]

Looking over at DC/Nova wunder stations and it’s impressive how those heavy returns are bringing down the temps. Hopefully we have the same thing in store for Baltimore soon. The rain is getting louder.

[clskinsfan]

Snow just now starting to mix in the winchester area. Here we go.

[Eskimo Joe]

Snow mixing in with the rain in Reisterstown.

[dailylurker]

Just got up onto 70 west. Flipping now

[mitchnick]

5 minutes ago, snowfan said:

Here’s what I use on my iPad 

https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Virginia-comp_radar-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=data

That's an excellent one. If you want one a little more basic, try this one. The top map can be zoomed into different sectors.

https://cyclonicwx.com/sat/#radar