February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: Buckle Up!

[Climate175]

13 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Euro has it..but...too warm as of now

At least it has it lol. Let’s see if it can keep it. The temps will sort themselves out. 

[TSSN+]

Snow to rain to most. Still a decent front hit. Just need it to get a little colder. 
 

[Nomz]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

Randy--your fired

40 inches for Boston

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

i have to play this stupid role on this forum but when it comes down to it---i have some knowledge lol. But with so many great mets on this board...the last thing you need is my forecasting 2 cents.

The Loudoun County wine moms & swim dads appreciate your measured Facebook persona 

[Ji]

Just now, TSSN+ said:

Snow to rain to most. Still a decent front hit. Just need it to get a little colder. 
 

take the AI surpression and the Euro over amplification and the GGEM MECS and the GFS suppression and i think we have a bonified threat lol

[NorthArlington101]

Money panel before everyone flips

[TSSN+]

Goes back to snow on back side 

 

[NorthArlington101]

Flip back before the storm ends

super ninja'd 

[Ji]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

The Loudoun County wine moms & swim dads appreciate your measured Facebook persona 

this is really the only place i can be myself(negative and weenie)

[Nomz]

Just now, NorthArlington101 said:

Flip back before the storm ends

That feels like a kinda shallow for the amount of precip it's dumping, no?

 

[NorthArlington101]

1 minute ago, TSSN+ said:

Goes back to snow on back side 

 

Most of the snow comes from the flip back. Apologies for oversharing maps at 11 days but interesting run

[Ji]

is this a Heather event? the AO and NAO dont really go positive but the PNA goes negative so technically it is a pattern change post storm

[Eskimo Joe]

12z "traditional" Euro is a real heartbreaker east of I-81.

[bncho]

2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

12z "traditional" Euro is a real heartbreaker east of I-81.

Heartbreaker? I'm taking my 10" of slop and running.

[NorthArlington101]

3 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

12z "traditional" Euro is a real heartbreaker east of I-81.

The CCB on the backside would be pretty wicked. 1/hr+ rates vs. puddles and mediocre surface temps. 

[stormy]

33 minutes ago, TowsonWeather said:

At this point I think you’re just trolling with this schtick. 

I don't waste my time trolling.  Just because I stepped on your toes after your instigation , you are still sore.

Chill out man.  Life is too short for that kind of crap.

[bncho]

Huge QPF maker

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z GEFS is not suppressed.

[Ji]

1 minute ago, Weather Will said:

WB 12Z GEFS is not suppressed.

its also not very snowy lol

[mitchnick]

8 hours ago, mitchnick said:

Next weekend is the classic end of pattern threat. Coincidentally, PD1 was and the pattern not only ended, but winter itself after it. Gimme another PD1, and I  can deal with winter ending knowing we have a Niño next year.

 

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

is this a Heather event? the AO and NAO dont really go positive but the PNA goes negative so technically it is a pattern change post storm

I like your original thought. 

[mitchnick]

1 minute ago, Ji said:

its also not very snowy lol

For the stingy EPS at days 10-11? That's a strong signal imho.

[Ji]

1 minute ago, mitchnick said:

For the stingy EPS at days 10-11? That's a strong signal imho.

that was the GEFS

[mitchnick]

2 minutes ago, Ji said:

that was the GEFS

Still strong for that far out.

[Paleocene]

Strong signal for some juicy QPF for PDIII weekend on the 12z EPS. Snow means are norther.

[mitchnick]

This is probably our best shot of the year and more typical of our big ones temp-wise and otherwise. Darn shame if we miss it.

[stormtracker]

25 minutes ago, Ji said:

Randy--your fired

My fired what?  I don’t own one. 

[stormtracker]

20 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Most of the snow comes from the flip back. Apologies for oversharing maps at 11 days but interesting run

Boom

[mitchnick]

3 minutes ago, Paleocene said:

Strong signal for some juicy QPF for PDIII weekend on the 12z EPS. Snow means are norther.

They aren't even that great for NE.

[stormtracker]

23 minutes ago, TSSN+ said:

Goes back to snow on back side 

 

Yeah i quit looking after the turn to rain.  I really am jaded. 

[Ji]

where is the post PD torch?