Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 We’ve got shenanigans again at 207 on the GFS Fyi 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Ukie does dryslot us. For once can we get the gfs to be correct please? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Ukie is 12" area wide before sleet flip 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, clskinsfan said: Ukie does dryslot us. For once can we get the gfs to be correct please? Looks just fine to me . 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 UKMET is kind of strange in that it really blasts that primary into WV/PA but it doesn’t torch the mid levels as fast as the Canadian which does the same thing at the surface. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Oh my goodness. Hmm! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Paging Dr. No 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
adelphi_sky Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, Solution Man said: Paging Dr. No Although Dr. No has been masquerading around as Dr. Yes on this storm so far. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 24 minutes ago, caviman2201 said: CMC gets sleet all the way up to Boston this run... sheesh Yeah even to my layman ears that doesn't sound right...lends credence to the possibility that it's overamped Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 UKMet continuing to show my idea of where the heaviest snow will lie. That corridor along the M/D is gonna get shelled. The WV Panhandle and Northern Neck of VA west of the Potomac is also looking excellent. This is going to be a fun storm when it materializes. Also, I put in an inquiry in the Banter thread if anyone is interested 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 the fact that the CMC is a clear amped outlier and still delivers sig to borderline major snow is a testament to how favorable this setup is 18 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 The first swath of watches are being upgraded to warnings back in OK/TX. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 2 minutes ago, Solution Man said: Paging Dr. No Euro has the extra data tonight, so it's to be trusted even more than usual. Although, it's really going to come down to how the confluence is handled I think. I think there is still a possibility we win real big with this one if we can thread the needle. Practical expectation is to expect sleet. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 4 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said: Although Dr. No has been masquerading around as Dr. Yes on this storm so far. I like Dr. No, I pray he cures our ailments 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I’m fading quick. 12:40ish for money Dr No panels? Might need a nap first. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 I’m fading quick. 12:40ish for money Dr No panels? Might need a nap first. Take a nap champ. I am setting an alarm for 1230 myself 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Cmc is my least favorite run so far. Ukmet and icon mix but at least they get a coastal transfer started early and track it well offshore. Cmc has the coastal too far west and not helping us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, jayyy said: Take a nap champ. I am setting an alarm for 1230 myself Are we in a nursing home?. Apple sauce and prunes at 12:30 am. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Don’t think a single GEFS member is <6” at DCA. Going to bed with hope - good luck with the EURO! 9 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 7 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Don’t think a single GEFS member is <6” at DCA. Going to bed with hope - good luck with the EURO! #21 and #22 aka 'The @Bob Chill Express'! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 11 minutes ago, ravensrule said: Are we in a nursing home?. Apple sauce and prunes at 12:30 am. I’m going to try and power thru. Serveral beers earlier are the downfall. Actually—I believe a few of them had prune and apple notes. Hmmm. Coincidence!? I think not! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/2014175039457829228 Probably should be in banter but Fox model is my new friend. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 17 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Don’t think a single GEFS member is <6” at DCA. Going to bed with hope - good luck with the EURO! Mean 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 So, I know the Euro is getting data from the Pacific, but based on what I read in the LWX AFD earlier, I still feel like models won't have this worked out until the northern stream is sampled better. I think I read that that won't happen until later tomorrow. Is there anyone still awake that's in the know? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Just now, nw baltimore wx said: So, I know the Euro is getting data from the Pacific, but based on what I read in the LWX AFD earlier, I still feel like models won't have this worked out until the northern stream is sampled. I think I read that that won't happen until later tomorrow. Is there anyone still awake that's in the know? As for when the NS is sampled I don’t know but @MillvilleWx probably does. As for needing it sampled to know what happens that’s true. We need the whole picture not one half. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 6 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: https://x.com/MikeTFox5/status/2014175039457829228 Probably should be in banter but Fox model is my new friend. Good God, epic and with a 4pm Saturday start 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coastal front Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, nw baltimore wx said: So, I know the Euro is getting data from the Pacific, but based on what I read in the LWX AFD earlier, I still feel like models won't have this worked out until the northern stream is sampled better. I think I read that that won't happen until later tomorrow. Is there anyone still awake that's in the know? Yea that norther stream piece has trended west a bit on every model for a day now. Safe to say it’s difficult to resolve in such a days sparse region 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 1 minute ago, SnowenOutThere said: As for when the NS is sampled I don’t know but @MillvilleWx probably does. As for needing it sampled to know what happens that’s true. We need the whole picture not one half. We're gonna get it. And it's gonna be shweet. Have you not been entertained? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 It has begun 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted January 22 Share Posted January 22 Take us home Randy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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