Extreme Cold, Snow & Sleet: SECS 1/25 - 1/26

[Stormlover74]

1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

Looks beautiful.  Long duration.

24+ hours

[BoulderWX]

GFS is a long duration dream

[Wannabehippie]

15 minutes ago, North and West said:

But that’s the part we don’t care about, right?




.

South of I-78 who care?

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, BoulderWX said:

GFS is a long duration dream

Sunday to Monday night 

[Brian5671]

Just now, MJO812 said:

Sunday to Monday night 

doubt it actually happens that way but who cares it shows a great event

[WeatherGeek2025]

is this depiction the best case scenario for our region ?

[Winterweatherlover]

GFS seems to have the primary a lot further south and weaker, seems mainly like a classic coastal.

[winterwx21]

1 hour ago, weatherpruf said:

when this poster gets serious, i pay attention; i remember this quote from Jan 2016; "this is a storm for the ages.." 

Forky wanted us to believe that we could that we could never have a cold snowy winter again, but he was probably trolling with those comments. Before this winter he made a post saying he wanted everyone here to be miserable with one failed snow event after another, lol. But I know he really likes snow and is just trolling when he makes all these crazy comments. He's a good met and if he's on board for this event it's great news. 

[Winterweatherlover]

1 minute ago, WeatherGeek2025 said:

is this depiction the best case scenario for our region ?

Yea probably realistically, GFS is a thing of beauty everywhere, 12-18 inches DC to Boston.

[Brian5671]

2 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Forky wanted us to believe that we could that we could never have a cold snowy winter again, but he was probably trolling with those comments. Before this winter he made a post saying he wanted everyone here to be miserable with one failed snow event after another, lol. But I know he really likes snow and is just trolling when he makes all these crazy comments. He's a good met and if he's on board for this event it's great news. 

The trolling shtick got old a decade ago....

[RU848789]

Didn't see this posted. A bump up from 07Z. Their snowfall seems much higher than any model (at least at 10:1, so their "model ratio looks to be 15:1 for the 95 corridor at least, comparing snow to QPF), which is unusual.  I don't care if some of this near the end is really sleet - this would be amazing.  

 

 

[SACRUS]

 

GFS 12Z tital QPF Storm

 

 

[Winterweatherlover]

I can't remember the last time there was such a wide swath of heavy snow. This feels like a 90s storm again.

[NEG NAO]

1 minute ago, RU848789 said:

Didn't see this posted. A bump up from 07Z. Their snowfall seems much higher than any model (at least at 10:1, so their "model ratio looks to be 15:1 for the 95 corridor at least, comparing snow to QPF), which is unusual.  I don't care if some of this near the end is really sleet - this would be amazing.  

 

 

wait while I get my magnifying glass 

[WeatherGeek2025]

cmc wants to cut

[Nibor]

3 minutes ago, winterwx21 said:

Forky wanted us to believe that we could that we could never have a cold snowy winter again, but he was probably trolling with those comments. Before this winter he made a post saying he wanted everyone here to be miserable with one failed snow event after another, lol. But I know he really likes snow and is just trolling when he makes all these crazy comments. He's a good met and if he's on board for this event it's great news. 

Forky is a Queen in every sense.

[Stormlover74]

Just now, WeatherGeek2025 said:

cmc wants to cut

It doesnt cut but the low gets pretty far north. Heavy snow to sleet for most of the area

[Winterweatherlover]

CMC holds onto the primary a long time

[BoulderWX]

Just now, Stormlover74 said:

It doesnt cut but the low gets pretty far north. Heavy snow to sleet for most of the area

an option thats on the table, but I'll take the risk for more QPF; would still be 6-10" before mixing for most of the area. 

[EastonSN+]

5 minutes ago, Brian5671 said:

The trolling shtick got old a decade ago....

I am a bit worried about the following:

Fast flow / pac jet on steroids.

Warm pool in the western pacific.

SE ridge linking with the NAO.

Continuous 456 mjo phases.

Just joking this one looks really good all!!

 

[WeatherGeek2025]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

It doesnt cut but the low gets pretty far north. Heavy snow to sleet for most of the area

id rather have GFS solution no sleet 

[North and West]

South of I-78 who care?

.

[Winterweatherlover]

CMC is about 6-9 inches, then sleet. I'd be fine with that but GFS is ideal.

[EastonSN+]

Primary hangs on longer with this CMC run.

[SACRUS]

 

GGEM Total QPF - Storm

 

part of this is sleet per the model/track.

[SnoSki14]

Just now, Winterweatherlover said:

CMC is about 6-9 inches, then sleet. I'd be fine with that but GFS is ideal.

Worst case we still see a significant amount of snow

[JonClaw]

What a beauty

 

[NEG NAO]

7 minutes ago, Winterweatherlover said:

CMC holds onto the primary a long time

holds on to primary up too western PA and transfers to coastal off NJ coast - which keeps in mostly snow north of Raritan River in NJ

 

[SACRUS]

12z GFS AI AIGFS

 

[Stormlover74]

2 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

holds on to primary up too western PA and transfers to coastal off NJ coast - which keeps in mostly snow north of Raitan River in NJ

 

According to pivotal maps its alot of sleet