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Rise of the Machines: January 18-19 Winter Storm Obs Thread


WxWatcher007
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6 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Remember this portion of storm was a bonus. Real stuff is tonight.

 

5 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

That 14z HRRR looks solid for this area later this afternoon. Gonna rock for quite a few hours.

Yeah I think you guys will stack decently between 00z and 06z. Prob will be slow going until then. That’s true for most of us actually. Central’ and western CT folks a little earlier on the meat of the stuff. 

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15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

This is what I was talking about earlier on a lot of these runs this evening. That heavier stuff is slamming the DGZ pretty hard…this is the latest hrrr but NAM has been showing it pretty consistently for several hours….so there could be some pretty efficient QPF to accumulation ratios if that pans out (and as a rule, you can lower that DGZ a little for us in SNE since we tend to have a lot of salt nuclei in the clouds here versus much of the country further away from the ocean)

image.thumb.png.2f0d990451b786e265f4290cac0463d1.png

12z NAM looks solid for BOS this evening

image.thumb.png.913c094001a8773c16ac7fe18fa8ee3b.png

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4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Round 2 building nicely near the Delmarva 

i suspect around 4/5 we should start to see the meat of round 2, I'm not expecting more than a couple inches, you should be good for about 4 down there I think 

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15 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Round 2 building nicely near the Delmarva 

Just showed my kids this....we had a 10 minute lull here, snizzle with flakes mixing back in now. Can already see it building to my west and south.

Total 1.3" from the first round....

Total is 5.7", just measured 4.5" in the yard, so some loss and compaction, but not too bad

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34 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

33*.
 

As we pulled into town, I told my wife that this is what I’ve meant about living here.  At least we get good summers.

 

IMG_6314.jpeg

Welcome to the bayous of New England. Been snowing here all morning with nothing to show. I hope temperatures drop when the heavier stuff arrives.

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Maybe about an inch from this morning in Providence.  Light snow at the moment but not really sticking.  If heaviest bands can hold off until surface temps drop a few degrees after sunset, then I'm optimistic the 3-5+ will happen down here, but I feel it's very temp dependant on this storm...  even when it was snowing heavier earlier this morning, it was having trouble accumulating at 32/33 on the way in to work.  Also a slight warning sign that the kuchera accumulation ratios are lower than the 10-1 accumulations on most of the snowfall output maps (taken with a grain of salt, of course)...

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