dryslot Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM 1 hour ago, dendrite said: Circle of Trust 2.0 May have to dredge up that logo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:49 PM Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: I had my day last week when it was clear this first wave of cold had failed, but no use in carrying on...I'm over it. Still love the look for mid and latter January. Yeah no disagreement there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted Saturday at 09:51 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:51 PM Anyway you slice it in ACATT, the pack was all a dream and we go AN for a time. Pattern reshuffle as early as 10 days from now or as delayed as late month. We hopefully will have some solid opportunity once the new pattern settles in. Pretty cut and dry. Was a nice run of snowpack while it lasted. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 09:53 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:53 PM 1 minute ago, Kitz Craver said: Anyway you slice it in ACATT, the pack was all a dream and we go AN for a time. Pattern reshuffle as early as 10 days from now or as delayed as late month. We hopefully will have some solid opportunity once the new pattern settles in. Pretty cut and dry. Was a nice run of snowpack while it lasted. Mid month...but I mean, would I be shocked it it's January 13 or 17th? No, you get the idea...give or take... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted Saturday at 09:55 PM Share Posted Saturday at 09:55 PM Fwiw ... the 13-15th showed up about 6 cycles ago in the ens as period to watch ... EPS and GEPs, but the recent GEFs have joined in. Still the case 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted Saturday at 10:30 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:30 PM 18z gfs def playing the mesolow game next Tuesday night/Wed morning. Joining some of the other guidance. This could make it kind of nasty from Ray’s area down through interior SNE with a bit of icing. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z gfs def playing the mesolow game next Tuesday night/Wed morning. Joining some of the other guidance. This could make it kind of nasty from Ray’s area down through interior SNE with a bit of icing. RGEM too…nice little front ender up here on Wed. That would be a messy commute Wed AM for many NoP. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:36 PM 6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z gfs def playing the mesolow game next Tuesday night/Wed morning. Joining some of the other guidance. This could make it kind of nasty from Ray’s area down through interior SNE with a bit of icing. Ugh No thanks 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted Saturday at 10:46 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:46 PM 15 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: 18z gfs def playing the mesolow game next Tuesday night/Wed morning. Joining some of the other guidance. This could make it kind of nasty from Ray’s area down through interior SNE with a bit of icing. Yeah right down to south central CT even 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW_of_GYX Posted Saturday at 10:50 PM Share Posted Saturday at 10:50 PM Wednesday looks good here. Also not closing shades on next weekend, that could trend. 18z was close 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastonSN+ Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:16 PM GFS looks good for this period too. Yes I know a long range GFS depiction. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Saturday at 11:20 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:20 PM 3 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS looks good for this period too. Yes I know a long range GFS depiction. This timeframe looks ripe along with the week before. Gfs just missed with the clipper. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted Saturday at 11:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:38 PM 22 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS looks good for this period too. Yes I know a long range GFS depiction. Let’s go 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted Saturday at 11:44 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:44 PM 27 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said: GFS looks good for this period too. Yes I know a long range GFS depiction. 14 plus day Op run…but ok lol. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:14 AM 35 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Let’s go Ensembles look really good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnitedWx Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: Ensembles look really good That's what's important at the moment, but I haven't actually had time to look myself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:24 AM 9 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ensembles look really good That’s the bigger takeaway. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:28 AM 13 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Ensembles look really good The ridge is still probably too far west on the GEFS though. I don't think that is what happens but if it did that is not a KU or coastal setup really, its again very 93/94 like but I think if you're Philly north you take that 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torch Tiger Posted yesterday at 12:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:45 AM let's get some ice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bristolri_wx Posted yesterday at 12:50 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 AM Patience is the key here. The CFS weeklies and Euro weeklies all showed a relaxation after New Year's with a change back to a colder pattern afterwards. The Euro weekly nailed the cold temps in Dec and this upcoming warm up back in early Dec. Let's enjoy a little bit of a thaw and see what comes on the other side of it. The weeklies show another several weeks of favorable conditions are incoming after it. I don't always have faith in the long term "climate" models but their 500mb depictions since December have been in the ballpark. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:56 AM 3 hours ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Ya I mean 90% we all lose the pack this week pike south. I’ve accepted this for about 5 days now It is a bummer too.....solid week+ and it is still a nice fluffy pack. Went for a hike today, in a sunny, open field and it was still a solid 4-5 inches. This is why early season snowfalls are nice, they stick around, even when the temps are marginal...If this was Mid February-Mid March it would have been gone by now or at least a muddy inch. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George001 Posted yesterday at 01:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:01 AM 5 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said: What I don't get is there are a select few that like to " feed the fire " and get off on hoping the pattern turns warm. They really get off on twisting the knife. Well.. the good news is most of us know that it's just noise. You should apologize to the Pope. 1 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 01:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:05 AM 10 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: It is a bummer too.....solid week+ and it is still a nice fluffy pack. Went for a hike today, in a sunny, open field and it was still a solid 4-5 inches. This is why early season snowfalls are nice, they stick around, even when the temps are marginal...If this was Mid February-Mid March it would have been gone by now or at least a muddy inch. Careful …AMATT will say you’re trying to protect the pack 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kitz Craver Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:28 AM 29 minutes ago, Spanks45 said: It is a bummer too.....solid week+ and it is still a nice fluffy pack. Went for a hike today, in a sunny, open field and it was still a solid 4-5 inches. This is why early season snowfalls are nice, they stick around, even when the temps are marginal...If this was Mid February-Mid March it would have been gone by now or at least a muddy inch. Yeah walked the dog at like 1:00pm and it was such a beautiful winter day out there. Not only has the pack stayed around for a bit, the little 1” refreshments have kept it pretty clean looking which is always a bonus for winter scenery. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM 51 minutes ago, Kitz Craver said: Yeah walked the dog at like 1:00pm and it was such a beautiful winter day out there. Not only has the pack stayed around for a bit, the little 1” refreshments have kept it pretty clean looking which is always a bonus for winter scenery. Yeah the cold has been pretty impressive too. Early season helps a lot with sun angle but ripping off like a -5 departure over 5 weeks doesn’t hurt either. That combo is great for trying to protect fairly thin snow packs. We’ve had snow OTG for so many days even though our total is a little BN to date. Your area has done a little better in the snow department because of 12/26 but still same general idea. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:39 AM Decent winds lately too. Today Incoukd feel its bite 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan2 Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM 20 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Yeah the cold has been pretty impressive too. Early season helps a lot with sun angle but ripping off like a -5 departure over 5 weeks doesn’t hurt either. That combo is great for trying to protect fairly thin snow packs. We’ve had snow OTG for so many days even though our total is a little BN to date. Your area has done a little better in the snow department because of 12/26 but still same general idea. Problem is at some point we are going to loose the negative departures and trend more towards normal or slightly above temps….Question is when does it happen and what kind of precip chances will we get?!? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted yesterday at 02:45 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:45 AM 3 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said: Yeah right down to south central CT even Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted yesterday at 03:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:26 AM 46 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said: Decent winds lately too. Today Incoukd feel its bite multiple beers? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted yesterday at 03:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:47 AM 1 hour ago, Modfan2 said: Problem is at some point we are going to loose the negative departures and trend more towards normal or slightly above temps….Question is when does it happen and what kind of precip chances will we get?!? You’ve been saying this non stop since it got cold…lol. Yes, we lose the negative departures by Wednesday, then it gets cold again after Sunday..so there ya go, the answer to your question. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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