MN Transplant Posted 14 hours ago Share Posted 14 hours ago 22 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: Genuinely curious as it always seems like the NAM 3k has the most orthographic precip out of all models always (including the other high res ones). Is it actually more accurate or is it overdoing it? It is overly sensitive to terrain. 2 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 27 minutes ago, MN Transplant said: It is overly sensitive to terrain. So would the HRRR be preferable over it or is it still worth blending. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted 13 hours ago Share Posted 13 hours ago 12 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said: So would the HRRR be preferable over it or is it still worth blending. HRRR is preferred 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago Well, I did it. No, I didn’t start the snow blower, but I did clean the gutters. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherCCB Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 3 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Well, I did it. No, I didn’t start the snow blower, but I did clean the gutters. Same here. Hope we didn’t jinx the rain. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 18 minutes ago, nw baltimore wx said: Well, I did it. No, I didn’t start the snow blower, but I did clean the gutters. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormy Posted 12 hours ago Share Posted 12 hours ago 3 hours ago, BlizzardNole said: Too bad you can't hunt in my neighborhood. We must have about one tree demon squirrel for every 100 square feet. I have been squirrel hunting for decades. Introduced by my dad. They are a gourmets delight prepared properly. Population varies from year to year based largely on last years hard mast crop. More mast last year, more squirrels this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted 11 hours ago Share Posted 11 hours ago 1 hour ago, Eskimo Joe said: HRRR is preferred What mechanism causes the NAM to mess it up? I’m learning more about actual meteorology in college rn so Im interested to what physics part is messes up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted 10 hours ago Share Posted 10 hours ago 4 hours ago, SnowenOutThere said: What mechanism causes the NAM to mess it up? I’m learning more about actual meteorology in college rn so Im interested to what physics part is messes up Personally, I look at both the HRRR and NAM Nest as my go-to CAMs. The 3 Hi-Res Windows are lower on my list. The HRRR and NAM Nest both have their strengths and weaknesses. The HRRR has a big advantage in running hourly, and there are things it does to create a more accurate starting point (a sophisticated assimilation of radar data, heavy usage of surface obs....) The NAM Nest hasn't been updated in 8 years. The HRRR hasn't had a recent update but was last updated 4 years ago. In terms of biases with rainfall, NAM Nest tends to run wet, but the HRRR sometimes runs dry - might be microphysics, but tough to confirm. And the HRRR is very sensitive to the hourly updates, so its solutions bounce around a lot. The NAM Nest tends to be too cool with sfc temps, but it handles low-level inversions way better than the HRRR due to a better PBL scheme. And as noted earlier, the NAM Nest tends to overdo orographic precip due to a very sharp topography field that was put in to enhance winds over terrain. That's just a few things off of the top of my head. 9 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted 9 hours ago Share Posted 9 hours ago Heavy rain, cool and windy out right now. Feels like a proper fall storm for once. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 5 hours ago, stormy said: I have been squirrel hunting for decades. Introduced by my dad. They are a gourmets delight prepared properly. Population varies from year to year based largely on last years hard mast crop. More mast last year, more squirrels this year. We had a guy at work that made awesome squirrel gravy and biscuits. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Looks like somewhere between 0.33-0.40 in the gauge eyeballing it with a flashlight from living room window. A steady rain falling since 5 pm or so. Currently 46.2/45.4 degrees at 10:35 pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago Rain. Nice to see a system actually hit our area flush again. Looks like particularly heavy rain after 3 am up toward Fallston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago RAIN sheets of heavy rain now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Right at 1 inch down here now... Cold rainy night... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HokieEnginerd Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Huh. Just got a clap of thunder near Gainesville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted 58 minutes ago Share Posted 58 minutes ago Hoo boy - so weird to actually get a notable system. So much rain, Regionals for boys and girls hs cross country is this afternoon at pikesville HS and that route is gonna be an absolute mess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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