May Discobs 2025

[stormy]

The incoming system is affected by blocking  HP over E. Canada, but it is riding a little too far north for a soaking rain.

[MN Transplant]

2 hours ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Look like the event is trending drier for Wednesday into Thursday east of I-81?

It hasn’t looked very impressive since it got into the mesos range.  

[IronTy]

2 hours ago, katabatic said:

It'll be interesting to see how your actual vs. forecast verifies. I bust low/high (sometimes significantly) depending on the setup. Radiational cooling nights I always bust low. Sunny/dry I always bust high. What's the elevation of your cabin?

We definitely busted high today, I was hot working outside moving stone.  

Usually it seems like we're lower than advertised though, we're at 3k ft elevation on the nose.  

[Weather Will]

WB 18Z EURO for midweek.

[87storms]

Absolutely majestic basketball weather

[dailylurker]

17 minutes ago, 87storms said:

Absolutely majestic basketball weather

It's perfect for some heavy gardening. I was digging rows for zucchini and hardly a drip of sweat this evening. My garden liked that warm humid weather we had a couple days ago. I perfer the cool dry weather. 

[87storms]

It's perfect for some heavy gardening. I was digging rows for zucchini and hardly a drip of sweat this evening. My garden liked that warm humid weather we had a couple days ago. I perfer the cool dry weather. 

I actually felt some humidity this evening, but it was the right amount and calm wind. Three ball weather.

[WxUSAF]

Radar looking mid for DC-north

[dailylurker]

27 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Radar looking mid for DC-north

Not bad looking for here east of DC. Still nothing impressive. A few showers this morning and hopefully rain tonight. 

[aldie 22]

0.12 meh

[high risk]

1 hour ago, dailylurker said:

Not bad looking for here east of DC. Still nothing impressive. A few showers this morning and hopefully rain tonight. 

Most guidance had the most widespread  rain this morning.   Certainly looks like an underperformer.  

[katabatic]

8 minutes ago, high risk said:

Most guidance had the most widespread  rain this morning.   Certainly looks like an underperformer.  

0.07" in the aforementioned Garrett County bullseye lol. Underperformer is one of the terms that comes to mind altho not the only one. 

[Paleocene]

Spotty light showers in inner moco and PGC this am. looks like a slightly brighter final band may come thru? IDK how far north though.

[frd]

17 minutes ago, high risk said:

Most guidance had the most widespread  rain this morning.   Certainly looks like an underperformer.  

 

Mount Holly seems to to think later today and tonight for the Eastern and Southern areas based on forcing and other factors. We shall see.

Looking at radar trends seems for my area two time periods to watch, in a few hours for the area of rainfall moving in from the West and then tonight as stated by the AFD.  

 

As the new surface low consolidates and moves north to off the New
Jersey coast later tonight, the forcing for ascent should increase
for a time again and this may be tied to a zone of 850 mb
frontogenetic forcing to the north and west of the surface low.
Depending on the strength and placement of this, a zone of
heavier rain is possible. This should also result in an increase
in the rain from west to east across much of the area this
evening. An easterly low-level jet migrates northward across our
area, especially tonight into Thursday morning, which could add
to the ascent across parts of the region. Some of the rain will
be heavier at times, which is when some localized urban
flooding cannot be ruled out. Total rainfall amounts are
forecast to be 1.0-1.5 inches across the region through the day
Thursday. Some elevated instability could occur for a time
especially this evening mostly south and east of Philadelphia,
although it is less certain if it would be enough to result in
some lightning/thunder.

 

[Eskimo Joe]

18 minutes ago, high risk said:

Most guidance had the most widespread  rain this morning.   Certainly looks like an underperformer.  

Got a project ongoing in Carroll County, so the drier the weather this week the better. 

[Weather Will]

WB 12Z HRRR does bring in another round of heavier showers east of the mountains after 6pm.

[dailylurker]

Steady moderate rain falling. It looks like east of DC is the winner this morning. 

[aldie 22]

3 hours ago, aldie 22 said:

0.12 meh

0.19

[Jrlg1181]

0.19

More than I anticipated looking at radar earlier... At least it keeps the ground moist and helps keep things nice and green/growing , with no legit heat in sight.... 

[Jrlg1181]

A bit breezy , damp and actually a little bit chilly outside right now...

[MN Transplant]

0.32”.  Latest HRRR gives us about 0.30” later, but the NAM Nest is more like 0.1”-0.2”.  Both develop showers tomorrow afternoon.

[weatherCCB]

0.32 from this morning’s rain

drizzle /55

[EastCoast NPZ]

Well, this one is a complete bust.

[CAPE]

Looks like another delayed-denied underachiever. After this first wimpy batch moves through, it's mostly hit or miss scattered showers through tomorrow.

0.21"

[87storms]

22 minutes ago, EastCoast NPZ said:

Well, this one is a complete bust.

We're miserable at primary lows headed towards Lake Erie.

[Eskimo Joe]

Sun trying to poke out?

[Herb@MAWS]

0.39" total rainfall at 12:45pm

[Interstate]

.23 here in 21057. It is raw out. 

[BlizzardNole]

I hate when we get back to back dreary chilly days with only about a quarter inch to show for it

[stormy]

.13" rain last night.

63 degrees at 2:30 is 10 degrees below the normal high of 73.  No real improvement tomorrow or Friday.