June 2024

[LongBeachSurfFreak]

Just got home to the island and it’s dumping still. Back at work on the uws, we really missed out. Exactly where I need the rain for my gardens….

[Cfa]

Very mid for a severe warned storm (first of the year for central/eastern LI?). I’ll probably finish with a quarter of an inch. 

[jm1220]

2 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Very mid for a severe warned storm (first of the year for central/eastern LI?). I’ll probably finish with a quarter of an inch. 

Take whatever can survive east of Queens this time of year. At least we’re getting this before the long dry/hot stretch. 

[the ghost of OT]

2 minutes ago, Cfa said:

Very mid for a severe warned storm (first of the year for central/eastern LI?). I’ll probably finish with a quarter of an inch. 

 

1 minute ago, jm1220 said:

Take whatever can survive east of Queens this time of year. At least we’re getting this before the long dry/hot stretch. 

 

Move to Texas, especially W or N of Houston, less low clouds slow to burn off and the 850-700 mb flow is more directly off the Mexican plateau.  Watching cu bubbling up from a clear sky, actually seeing the clouds grow, anvil crawler lightning, 6 inch hail stones.  I spent my youth in Massapequa, I saw hail once.  Storms approaching NYC from NJ would break up on Frank Fields old black and white radar just before reaching the Hudson.  Like clockwork.  The first thunderstorm with constant strobe light lightning and hail in DFW, that was an eye opener.

[nj08822]

Absolutely spectacular sunset in Nazareth, PA tonight - 75 miles due west of NYC.

[Rjay]

6 minutes ago, Tezeta said:

 

 

Move to Texas, especially W or N of Houston, less low clouds slow to burn off and the 850-700 mb flow is more directly off the Mexican plateau.  Watching cu bubbling up from a clear sky, actually seeing the clouds grow, anvil crawler lightning, 6 inch hail stones.  I spent my youth in Massapequa, I saw hail once.  Storms approaching NYC from NJ would break up on Frank Fields old black and white radar just before reaching the Hudson.  Like clockwork.  The first thunderstorm with constant strobe light lightning and hail in DFW, that was an eye opener.

JM spent years in Austin

[jm1220]

4 minutes ago, Rjay said:

JM spent years in Austin

Yep. May 2015 in a 20”+ rain month there, Oct 2015 when there was over 10” in one day, and numerous severe warnings, and a tornado that went within 2 miles of my place. Severe weather wise and flooding it was crazy, but on the flip side I missed the Jan 2015 and 2016 blizzards and numerous other 6”+ storms those winters. I would trade to be here for those. The heat from now until after Labor Day there is also absolutely brutal. 

[uofmiami]

.79 in Muttontown & .73 in Syosset so far with scattered light showers still.

[lee59]

High today was 82. Picked up exactly 1.00 inch of rain tonight.

[psv88]

Up to .50”, probably last rain for a long time 

[jm1220]

Nice little soaker for the south shore, most places there look to have an inch or so. 

[gravitylover]

.11 Blah, wanted more.

[LAVistaNY]

.79 here in Westchester-not too bad!

[the_other_guy]

Love cool crisp mornings after a cold front in summer. Quite a few this June! 58F this morning

[forkyfork]

On 6/13/2024 at 4:20 PM, forkyfork said:

the euro is probably too amplified and north with the core of the heat

 

[qg_omega]

8 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

 

Core of the heat looks north next week

[MJO812]

32 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

 

Just like in the winter

[nycwinter]

what a beautiful  sunny day with a  refreshing breeze glorious.weather for  mid jun.. i am loving this!

[gravitylover]

2 hours ago, LAVistaNY said:

.79 here in Westchester-not too bad!

Just a few miles NW of you and I only got .11

[SACRUS]

 

76/ 58 and on to a very nice weekend. Monday ridge builds in with near 90 Mon - and low - 90s Tue/Wed (NNE wind component) by Thu the ridge is building south with a more WNW flow and mid upper 90s.  Overall warm - hot.   Trough / transient by the 24-25th with ridge and warmth building out beyond.

 

 

  

[Stormlover74]

Looks like our first completely dry weekend without at least a trace of rain since February 

[Allsnow]

35 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Looks like our first completely dry weekend without at least a trace of rain since February 

Ewr will break the weekend rainfall streak 

[JerseyWx]

4 hours ago, qg_omega said:

Core of the heat looks north next week

Yeah, it's not like mid-90's are anything significant, that's only what, +15 degrees AN this time of year?  

[psv88]

26 minutes ago, JerseyWx said:

Yeah, it's not like mid-90's are anything significant, that's only what, +15 degrees AN this time of year?  

Unless we are setting all time records people think it’s normal. 

[LAVistaNY]

4 hours ago, gravitylover said:

Just a few miles NW of you and I only got .11

I checked a neighboring station they recorded .70 so we’re in the same ball park.

[uofmiami]

1 hour ago, psv88 said:

Unless we are setting all time records people think it’s normal. 

Don’t need all-time, just set daily record highs.  We’ll see what Newark will record by next weekend & what days they can top from list below.

[SnoSki14]

2 hours ago, psv88 said:

Unless we are setting all time records people think it’s normal. 

Frogs in a boiling pot 

[Nibor]

7 hours ago, forkyfork said:

 

I'm spending 6 days hiking in the White Mountains starting Tuesday. The further south this goes the better. I don't wanna die from heat stroke.

[winterwx21]

83 with a dewpoint of 46 here right now. Perfect weather this weekend. Nice that we can squeeze in a couple beautiful days here this weekend before the long heat wave. I hope everyone celebrating has a great Father's Day tomorrow. 

[donsutherland1]

Tomorrow will end the weekend with abundant sunshine, low humidity, and comfortable temperatures. After staring in the low 60s in New York City and generally 50s outside the the City, the mercury will top out in the middle and upper 70s.

Afterward, a long stretch of above to much above normal temperatures will develop. Parts of the region could experience their first heatwave of the summer next week. The most anomalous heat will affect the Great Lakes region, Upstate New York, southern Canada, and northern New England. The potential exists for Burlington to make a run at 100° at the height of the heat and Caribou to approach or reach 96°.

Following New York City's 4th warmest spring and Philadelphia's 6th warmest spring, it is very likely that June 2024 will rank among the 10 warmest Junes on record in both cities. Records go back to 1869 in New York City and 1874 in Philadelphia.

The latest summer guidance continues to suggest a warmer to much warmer than normal summer lies ahead.  

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was -0.5°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +0.1°C for the week centered around June 5. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged -0.57°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.23°C. Neutral ENSO conditions will likely evolve into a La Niña event during the late summer or early fall.

The SOI was +8.08 today.

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.264 today.

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied 92% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal June (1991-2020 normal). June will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.5° (3.5° above normal). That would make June 2024 the second warmest June on record.