lee59 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 5 hours ago, CIK62 said: The last 3 days of August are averaging 76degs.(69/83) or +2. Month to date is 75.2[-1.1]. August should end at 75.2[-0.9] HW Alert????? Sept. 03-10. Avg.> 85(76/95) +13! Reached 81 here at 2pm. Today: 75-79, wind e., m. cloudy, some Rain late, 73 tomorrow AM. 69*(89%RH) here at 7am. 72* at 9am. I think the last 3 days will average about normal and the month about an even 75 or -1.3 at Central Park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Pretty much crickets and tumbleweeds around here for the next week or so. Snooze fest weather wise. Would have been real interesting if Idalia made a run up along the Appalachians but no trof deep enough to get the job done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 4 minutes ago, MANDA said: Pretty much crickets and tumbleweeds around here for the next week or so. Snooze fest weather wise. Would have been real interesting if Idalia made a run up along the Appalachians but no trof deep enough to get the job done. September can be like that for sure especially if there's a lull in tropical activity... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 It's ok, we don't need the rain and as wet as the ground is we sure don't need the wind bringing down trees. A gentle transit through tropical storm season won't be a bad thing. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TriPol Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 9 hours ago, donsutherland1 said: 2019 was NYC's last cooler than normal August. August 2023 will be the coolest August since August 2017. Both August 2017 and August 2019 were followed by a warmer than normal September. I don't remember much about the preceding winters, so that can't be good. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 10 hours ago, Brian5671 said: Desperation time as summer winds down.... The heat does look impressive though. Definitely an extension of mid summer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted August 29, 2023 Share Posted August 29, 2023 Showers and a period of rain are likely tonight into tomorrow. The Thursday and Friday should be cool for the season. Sustained unseasonable warmth could develop starting late in the first week of September or just afterward. Florida's "Big Bend" region will experience a devastating major hurricane landfall. A towering storm 10-foot or greater storm surge will swamp much of Cedar Key and low-lying coastal areas. Winds will likely be Category 3 strength and some possibility still exists for Category 4 winds. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.1°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.5°C for the week centered around August 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.27°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.23°C. El Niño conditions will likely continue to strengthen into the fall with the current East-based event transitioning to a basinwide El Niño for the upcoming winter. The SOI was -24.76 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +0.402 today. On August 27 the MJO was in Phase 2 at an amplitude of 1.107 (RMM). The August 26-adjusted amplitude was 1.142 (RMM). Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 100% probability that New York City will have a cooler than normal August (1991-2020 normal). August will likely finish with a mean temperature near 75.0° (1.1° below normal). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 8/29 TEB: 83 EWR: 83 New Brnswck: 81 JFK: 81 NYC: 80 PHL: 80 ACY: 79 TTN: 79 ISP: 78 LGA: 78 BLM: 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Starting Thursday---no clouds---no rain---and ever-increasing T's into at least the 7th---says the GFS. No rain for 15 days? Where and when will it end? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 48 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Starting Thursday---no clouds---no rain---and ever-increasing T's into at least the 7th---says the GFS. No rain for 15 days? Where and when will it end? Thursday and Friday look real nice with highs in the mid 70s and lows around 60 in the city and 40s and 50s in the burbs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 49 minutes ago, CIK62 said: Starting Thursday---no clouds---no rain---and ever-increasing T's into at least the 7th---says the GFS. No rain for 15 days? Where and when will it end? SomeULL or tropical storm is my inclination. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwx21 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 43 minutes ago, lee59 said: Thursday and Friday look real nice with highs in the mid 70s and lows around 60 in the city and 40s and 50s in the burbs. And dewpoints down into the 40s for thursday and friday. Even saturday will still have low humidity with dewpoints in the 50s Spectacular weather for a few days before the heat comes in. We're certainly due for some heat after not having any real heat all of August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 The last 2 days of August are averaging 76degs.(68/84) or +2. Month to date is 75.1[-1.1], August should end at 75.2[-0.9]. HW Alert????? Sept. 3-11 Avg.>84degs.(75/94) or +12. Reached 79 here yesterday at 2pm. Today: 82-86, wind s. to w., clearing by 2pm, 66 tomorrow AM. 72*(93%RH) here at 7am. 73* at 9pm. Some rain at 10am-10:30am. 76* at Noon. 80* at 2pm. 84* at 4pm. Reached 86* at 5pm. 76* at 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 After a mild day today looks like pleasantly cool weather for 3 or 4 days. Then back to summer. August at Central Park should end up about an even 75 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 73 / 71 cloudy and showers to the north/areas. Looks to break up and see some sun later today. Drying out the next few days on a N/NE flow ending Aug near normal. Cooler 60 hours. Fri (9/1) opens dry and very pleasant upper 70s. Ridge begins to build by Sat (9/2) warming into the 80s - likely an overperformer day. Sun (9/3) into the following week ridge balloons into the OV and NE - NW-N-NNE flow but very warm to hot. When flow comes around to the NW/W will see stronger heat towards the end of next week. Any onshore component will keep shore cooler and cap stronger heat inland/west. Overall warm into the beyond, save a ULL cutoff or Tropical system - looking dry as ridge and heights remain elevated into the east , perhaps that Rockies - TX - Plains ridge is shoved east for an Indian Summer. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Pouring! More rain then I thought we would get today 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 50 minutes ago, Allsnow said: Pouring! More rain then I thought we would get today Meh got less than .05. Some were touting 2-3 inches of rain What an epic 2 day model fail Broil watch is on. To me finally underperforming is an indication of a pattern flip. Next week we roast September style Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 8 minutes ago, winterwarlock said: Meh got less than .05. Some were touting 2-3 inches of rain What an epic 2 day model fail Broil watch is on. To me finally underperforming is an indication of a pattern flip. Next week we roast September style I didn’t think we would get that much….it was evident last Friday that the rain would be well nw of us. Enjoy the heatwave next week as it only took to September to get it 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Heavy rain here in Brooklyn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 i hope this 2 week dry stretch pans out. cant take this rain anymore. if you live in trees, everything is perpetually wet and moldy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: i hope this 2 week dry stretch pans out. cant take this rain anymore. if you live in trees, everything is perpetually wet and moldy. Yup. It will also help the foliage be better, too wet and it usually gets moldy as it changes then just falls off. Got a quick .25 this morning. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lee59 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Quick .26 here, temperature down to 69 degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 This rain is so cold, I’m disgusted. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Jones beach is completely flooded as expected. This evenings high tide should really cause some issues as the swell is peaking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gravitylover Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 13 minutes ago, LongBeachSurfFreak said: Jones beach is completely flooded as expected. This evenings high tide should really cause some issues as the swell is peaking. What's the expected supermoon high tide supposed to be without the storm influence? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Rainy morning here at KHVN. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 Just .09" here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 breaks and sun soon 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 partly sunny here now 74 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 30, 2023 Share Posted August 30, 2023 2 hours ago, SACRUS said: breaks and sun soon Just about cleared out here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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