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August model and weather disco


weathafella
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20 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Saturday aftn parties on. Sounds like a stein-like party in Taunton. Old people, violent bridge games, and green tea. 

And mosquitoes.


"A rather abrupt windshift is expected behind the frontal passage
Saturday, from SW to NW, but unfortunately we will be very slow to
dry out Saturday afternoon. "
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12 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

SW lower Michigan is in some kind of exotic trouble this evening...  jesus.

93/80 at Kalamazoo, with S sfc wind, NW at 700 mb, and SRS just S of a warm boundary that is currently collapsing S of Lake Michigan.  Meanwhile, the inversion cloud wave forms have just gone... vanquished, which means their losing CIN - the 'core is exposed'

That watch is for the whole gambit.   SBCAPEs must be like over 4000

From MI last night:

https://x.com/goddessofgrain/status/1695039462583992733?s=46&t=ej91V1PwyPgv_VUNXsO_yQ

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11 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Absolute deluge now way ahead of modeling . Going to set records in many spots  after this system for wettest summer on record 

 

11 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Best is north of pike. Probably less than an inch for many south of pike 

0.6" here. eagerly awaiting my promised 2-3"

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26 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

How didn’t that hurricane especially at that point in time in history not destroy every living being in its path? Often wondered about that 

There was basically no development and no people (relative to the population now) there. As long as they were away from water many probably would have been ok. 

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

What's the process for "reanalysis" on a hurricane almost 400 years ago?? 

Not sure but here’s what they did for the more recent record.

https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/data_sub/re_anal.html

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11 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

Real good chance I end the water year with more liquid than I get inches of snow this winter (closing in on 60 inches now).

54.80" here, going into today's event (about 0.4" so far).  That puts this water year 5th of 25 with a month-plus remaining with about 7" needed to top 07-08 for top water year.  We've also had 4 events of 3.25" to 4.45" in this water year, coming in Oct/Dec/May and earlier this month.

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