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November 2022 OBS/DISC


Baroclinic Zone
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2 hours ago, greenmtnwx said:

That is too warm of a look this early per say for 75% of the group 

I disagree it’s a La Niña pattern with blocking. The SE ridge that shows up in la Ninas is good for us because it prevents suppression. Even Metfan could get a lot of snow from this pattern if the models are right. The blocking will force Miller B redevelopment, which is great for our area. In fact, Miller Bs are better than Miller As in New England. 

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56 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Maybe ENE, but not all of New England.

That's not true? I'm just west of Hartford about 12 my miles. When we get Miller B's at redevelop off the coast, we've gotten walloped, and I mean walloped. Miller A's can be amazing come but they can also draw in warm air aloft even more so. 

If I'm not mistaken, we've gotten some of our biggest snows from Miller B's that had redeveloped offshore. So them being only Good for Eastern New England is not a true statement or fact

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So case in point.

Juno in 2015 was a classic Miller b. Storm which affected New York, New Jersey and southern New England.

Nemo in 2013 was also a classic Miller b storm.. which dropped the highest amount of snow in Hamden, Connecticut at 40 in. Hamden. Connecticut is not Eastern New England. Hamden Connecticut is really western New England. Those are just a few, I'm sure I can name lots more. 

 

 

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34 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

"In fact, Miller Bs are better than Miller As in New England. "

No one said miller B's can't be good out west

Maybe ENE, but not all of New England

These were your words? Am I missing something? If I am clue me in please ( seriously... Maybe I missed something )

 

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4 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

"In fact, Miller Bs are better than Miller As in New England. "

No one said miller B's can't be good out west

 

3 hours ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

Maybe ENE, but not all of New England

These were your words? Am I missing something? If I am clue me in please ( seriously... Maybe I missed something )

 

Fight Fight!

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2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just awful. 

Might you be right for December Kevin??? 

DAMN YOU..... Lolol ( joking off course ). 

The models have trended away from the colder pattern switch in the East as of now. They could switch back of course, but I just don't understand ( or have to much faith in the models ) anymore.  It just seems like the weather is just so volatile that the global models can never get a good handle on the long range.

Anyone care to chime in on this? 

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29° and -ZR.

If anyone is heading up here this morning be careful. The vehicles are glazed up already. I’m not sure if they’ve treated the roads this morning or if there’s any residual salt left from the snow a week or so back. 

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17 minutes ago, moneypitmike said:

My daughter goes to school outside of Philadelphia----no leaves at all on the trees down there  EWR must be special.

There still hasn't been a killing frost here..

I tried to get a fire going last night and there was like zero draft it was so warm.

 

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6 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

For who ?

Gefs still looks really good

Yeah GEFS squishes the SE ridge while EPS creates more of a battle ground. Difference likely that GEFS goes further into Phase 8 while EPS quickly kills the wave.

Both have blocking so EPS should still be ok for SNE even northern half of Jersey.

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1 minute ago, EastonSN+ said:

Yeah GEFS squishes the SE ridge while EPS creates more of a battle ground. Difference likely that GEFS goes further into Phase 8 while EPS quickly kills the wave.

Both have blocking so EPS should still be ok for SNE even northern half of Jersey.

December was always going to be a battleground. We just need the ridge to be tampered down. 

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54 minutes ago, BrianW said:

There still hasn't been a killing frost here..

I tried to get a fire going last night and there was like zero draft it was so warm.

 

 You're out of your mind. Newark has been freezing or below for the  Past 6 nights  With a low of 24 and 2 days of 27゚.  It has been colder than all the New York city reporting stations The last week 

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