donsutherland1 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Morning thoughts… It will be partly cloudy and hot. High temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. Likely high temperatures around the region include: New York City (Central Park): 90° Newark: 92° Philadelphia: 91° The remainder of August will likely see generally warmer than normal conditions. Normals: New York City: 30-Year: 82.3°; 15-Year: 82.0° Newark: 30-Year: 83.6°; 15-Year: 83.6° Philadelphia: 30-Year: 84.8°; 15-Year: 84.0° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Several stations in NJ are over 40 days of 90° so far which is a top 2 to 4 highest. NY sites are approaching 30 days at LGA and POU. So another season with a strong onshore flow keeping the highest temperatures west of the Hudson closer to NYC Metro. Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Newark Area ThreadEx 44 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 44 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 44 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 42 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 42 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 40 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 54 0 2 1993 49 0 3 2022 44 129 Time Series Summary for FREEHOLD-MARLBORO, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 52 7 2 2018 48 7 3 2021 43 0 4 2022 42 142 - 2016 42 4 Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 32 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 29 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 29 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 29 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 29 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 29 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LoboLeader1 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 High of 90F here yesterday. Currently 68F/DP 62/RH 76% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Another unusually strong +PNA summer for a La Niña. This has become a common occurrence in recent years. We used to get stronger -PNA patterns with our summer La Ninas. So maybe some of this +PNA can carryover into the fall and winter. We saw the out of place strong +PNA during January last winter with the La Niña. Same thing happened for the 20-21 La Niña winter when the +PNA went against expectations. So these competing marine heatwaves must be shifting the traditional La Niña PNA response around. Another +PNA summer like recent years 2022 Recent La Niña summers Older La Niña summers used to be -PNA 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 On 8/24/2022 at 8:07 AM, Allsnow said: Euro is nice and cool for Labor Day weeekend gone. nice 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, forkyfork said: gone. nice It'll correct cooler. +PNA and a trending -NAO 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Volcanic Winter Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 2 hours ago, bluewave said: Several stations in NJ are over 40 days of 90° so far which is a top 2 to 4 highest. NY sites are approaching 30 days at LGA and POU. So another season with a strong onshore flow keeping the highest temperatures west of the Hudson closer to NYC Metro. Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Newark Area ThreadEx 44 NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 44 SOUTH JERSEY REGIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 44 FREEHOLD-MARLBORO COOP 42 HIGHTSTOWN 2 W COOP 42 SOMERSET AIRPORT WBAN 40 Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 54 0 2 1993 49 0 3 2022 44 129 Time Series Summary for FREEHOLD-MARLBORO, NJ - Jan through DecClick column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 Missing Count 1 2010 52 7 2 2018 48 7 3 2021 43 0 4 2022 42 142 - 2016 42 4 Data for January 1, 2022 through August 24, 2022Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 SARA NEW YORK RAWS 32 LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 29 STONYKILL NEW YORK RAWS 29 Poughkeepsie Area ThreadEx 29 POUGHKEEPSIE AIRPORT WBAN 29 New York-LGA Area ThreadEx 29 What caused 2010 to be so anomalously hot? What was the set up? Always when you post data, 2010 sticks out like a sore thumb. Bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 32 minutes ago, Volcanic Winter said: What caused 2010 to be so anomalously hot? What was the set up? Always when you post data, 2010 sticks out like a sore thumb. Bonkers. An unusually strong westerly flow pattern cut off the sea breeze circulation. So places even out to Mineola in Western Nassau had over 50 days reaching 90°. It also allowed several locations in NNJ and Long Island top 105°. Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 59 NJ NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP WBAN 54 NY MINEOLA COOP 52 NJ RINGWOOD COOP 51 NJ HARRISON COOP 50 NY LAGUARDIA AIRPORT WBAN 48 NJ CRANFORD COOP 46 NY BRONX COOP 45 NJ TETERBORO AIRPORT WBAN 42 NY NY CITY CENTRAL PARK WBAN 37 CT DANBURY COOP 37 NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 35 NY DOBBS FERRY-ARDSLEY COOP 34 NY WEST POINT COOP 33 NY JFK INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT WBAN 32 Data for January 1, 2010 through December 31, 2010Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. State Name Station Type Highest Max Temperature NY MINEOLA COOP 108 NJ CANOE BROOK COOP 107 NY WANTAGH CEDAR CREEK COOP 107 NJ HARRISON COOP 106 NJ RINGWOOD COOP 106 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nycwinter Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 august is almost over looking forward to cool nights comfortable days jacket weather.. it will be here soon enough.. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, nycwinter said: august is almost over looking forward to cool nights comfortable days jacket weather.. it will be here soon enough.. maybe by halloween 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 The last 7 days of August are averaging 82degs.(74/90) or +7. Month to date is 79.1[+2.6]. August should end at 80.0[+3.9] Reached 87 here yesterday. Today: 88-93, wind w., m. sunny, some clouds late, 74 tomorrow AM. ADMISSION $1: Nothing showing till the 31st. here anyway. The GFS is still FREE ADMISSION. 74*(74%RH) here at 7am. 78* at 9am. 80* at 10am. 82* at Noon. 83* at 2pm. down to 82* at 3pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 1 hour ago, SnoSki14 said: It'll correct cooler. +PNA and a trending -NAO or the se ridge will correct stronger 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowlover11 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 PUMP UP THE HEAT FOR LABOR DAY WEEKEND I WANT TO CHUNK A DUNK IN THE POOL ALL WEEKEND! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 87/ 58 and on the way to low perhaps mid 90s. More 90s Fri (8/26) and perhaps Sat (8/27) but some pop up storms and clouds dependent. Overall warm to hot at times continues through the end of the month. Euro has a more sublte trough and quick cool down Sep 1 -3 before more overall warm to hot continues next month. Tropics remain on most guidance to some form or another. Perhaps eyes turn to the GOM next week. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Where did all these "cool folks" come from, looking at every model run and pulling the coolest solutions of them out and going by it. The fastest way to debunk the "cool" solutions is one look at the EPS. We (Central Park) still have at least 3-6 days of 90+ to go and probably 6-12 of 85+. Enjoy the heat! WX/PT 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 1 hour ago, forkyfork said: maybe by halloween 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Uniblab Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 2 hours ago, forkyfork said: maybe by halloween Thanksgiving? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxallannj Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 90.7 degrees in Clifton, dew point 60.3 shortly before 2 p.m. 14th August day with 90 degrees plus, tied with 1973 and 1980 with the most. 31 90+ for the season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 91 here. Thankfully dewpoints are low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 91 here as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 4 hours ago, Wxoutlooksblog said: Where did all these "cool folks" come from, looking at every model run and pulling the coolest solutions of them out and going by it. The fastest way to debunk the "cool" solutions is one look at the EPS. We (Central Park) still have at least 3-6 days of 90+ to go and probably 6-12 of 85+. Enjoy the heat! WX/PT I don't care if the heat stays, it's the weather boredom that's more irritating. Just absolutely nothing going on. Tropics are dead, rain chances are dead, severe weather is dead, meh all around. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 92 yesterday 91 today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 8 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said: I don't care if the heat stays, it's the weather boredom that's more irritating. Just absolutely nothing going on. Tropics are dead, rain chances are dead, severe weather is dead, meh all around. Honestly, I just can't wait for this summer to be over. Just dragging at this point and like you said nothing of interest now for months. Just the same old stuff day in and day out. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 89° for high...you can see when sea breeze shifted wind and dropped temp . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Dallas flooding is 5th 1-in-1,000-year flood event in US since late July Thursday, August 25, 2022 19:12 UTC Wyatt Loy, AccuWeather staff writer In the last five weeks, five areas across the United States have all experienced what should have been very unlikely -- if not impossible -- one in 1,000-year flooding events. The most recent historic flooding event occurred in Dallas on Monday, Aug. 22, where 8 to 16 inches of rain fell over a 24-hour stretch. The heavy rain flooded buildings, submerged cars on interstates and also caused the Trinity River to swell well beyond its normal water line. All of this resulted in billions of dollars worth of damage, according to an AccuWeather estimate. AccuWeather Founder and CEO Dr. Joel N. Myers, who has for decades closely studied the economic impacts of extreme weather, estimated that the total damage and economic loss resulting from the catastrophic flash flooding would range between $4.5 billion and $6 billion. This flooding occurred after a 67-day dry streak in the city, and according to Allen Li, a researcher at the University of Oklahoma, this weather whiplash is not only more common due to climate change but could happen again, even multiple times over the next 1,000 years. "One in 1,000 [years] doesn't mean that only happened once over 1,000 years," Li told AccuWeather National Reporter Bill Wadell. It only means there's a 0.1 percent chance of it happening every year. >>>>>Remember in a large set of data, if the mean changes by a little, the extremes change by a lot. Once in every 'N Years' means a 63% of the event happening at least once in the time frame specified, here 1,000 years. >>>>>> CIK62 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 93 today. Sneaky hot days over performing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 No relief in sight. I'm sure the usual areas will see some storms at some point over the next 2 weeks though. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 ISP 0.52" this month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, Rjay said: No relief in sight. I'm sure the usual areas will see some storms at some point over the next 2 weeks though. Can only hope the HRRR is on to something for tomorrow. Would certainly help bring some temporary relief Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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