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July 2022


bluewave
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10 minutes ago, SACRUS said:

11 years ago in 2011 was in the middle of the all time record heat for many in the area.  I remember it being cloudy and 103 at home.

I was only an 11 year old kid but I remember that being the hottest day I’ve ever experienced, it was like 102 with a dewpoint of 75. Heat index was like 115-120

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Somerset County just made it to 101° like Newark.

https://www.njweather.org/data/5min/3572

Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:45 Mesonet 99 59 27 29.95 0.00 5 WSW 15 SW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:40 Mesonet 101 61 27 29.95 0.00 7 WSW 11 SW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:35 Mesonet 99 59 27 29.96 0.00 9 SSW 9 SSW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:30 Mesonet 99 59 27 29.96 0.00 5 SW 9 WNW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:25 Mesonet 99 59 27 29.96 0.00 9 NW 12 WSW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:20 Mesonet 99 59 26 29.96 0.00 8 WSW 15 W
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:15 Mesonet 100 59 27 29.96 0.00 9 WSW 12 SW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:10 Mesonet 99 59 27 29.96 0.00 11 W 11 W
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:05 Mesonet 100 59 26 29.96 0.00 10 W 12 WNW
Hillsborough-Duke
NJ 2022-07-23 16:00 Mesonet 100 60 27 29.96 0.00 6 WNW 11 W
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22 minutes ago, Intensewind002 said:

I was only an 11 year old kid but I remember that being the hottest day I’ve ever experienced, it was like 102 with a dewpoint of 75. Heat index was like 115-120

I remember back then going to a city pool in LES. It might as well of been hot soup. Warmest water I ever swam in. I been in upper 80s Gulf water and it was much much warmer than that. Parks dept hosing down the line to get in was the only cool water that day. Hottest experience I could remember until a very humid Aug some years ago. I think that's when JFK had a 84 dewpt. 

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I moved up to Patterson, NY last week and thankfully we have central air. A bit afraid of the first power bill. I figured I’ll get the best of both worlds up here. An okay commute to the city, snow in the winter (close to Thunder Ridge), lots of lakes to swim in, and beautiful falls! It has been very hot this week up here. 

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37 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

Tomorrow will destroy it

I'm in Jersey and the pjm interconnect has done well as they generally do.  I worked for a NJ utility for 5+ years.  It is very fortunate that tomorrow is a Sunday, given what is expected. IDK how all of the remote working has changed things since I left, but I'm thinking we dodge that bullet tomorrow.  Not sure if that would be the case if tomorrow was a business day.

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4 minutes ago, Evie3 said:

I'm in Jersey and the pjm interconnect has done well as they generally do.  I worked for a NJ utility for 5+ years.  It is very fortunate that tomorrow is a Sunday, given what is expected. IDK how all of the remote working has changed things since I left, but I'm thinking we dodge that bullet tomorrow.  Not sure if that would be the case if tomorrow was a business day.

monday could be a sneaky 100 before storms arrive

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2 hours ago, SACRUS said:

11 years ago in 2011 was in the middle of the all time record heat for many in the area.  I remember it being cloudy and 103 at home.

Hit my highest temp ever of 105.1 on 7/22/11, still lived in Queens at the time.

F0801BA0-47EC-41A8-8289-6E3A9957B9EC.thumb.jpeg.088cc04339260413b84690c09bbdb4c8.jpeg

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45 minutes ago, bluewave said:

The  79°to 80° SSTs at the buoys  south of Long Island are near all-time record highs.

https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&issuedby=OKX&product=RWR&format=txt&version=1&glossary=1&highlight=off
 

STATION/POSITION TIME  SKY/WX   TEMP    
                                AIR SEA 
                 (UTC)          (F)     
NY Harb Entrance 2150               80  
20 S Fire Island 2150               79              

 

 

Just combed through the data. 44025 reached a brief high of 29.1 degrees celsius or 84.4°F in 2016. 44025 never had water temps above 27°C (80.6°F) until 2016, it also happened in 2020 as well. This heat wave will bring them very close, top 3 for sure.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2016&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2020&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

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- Changed Discussion --

Forecast area will remain at the southern edge of the westerlies through the upcoming weak, which will allow for several frontal systems to impact the area. Additionally, temperatures this week will be mainly at or just above normal with the exception of Monday and Friday, where temperatures will be a bit warmer ahead of approaching cold fronts. There is uncertainty Monday with both temperatures and the magnitude/coverage of convection in the afternoon/evening hours as a pre-frontal trough triggers the majority of the convection. Model time-height cross sections indicate an abundance of mid and high level moisture (clouds) which would be a limiting factor for highs as well as how much the airmass destabilizes. For the time, have held off on extending the heat advisory into Monday, but the potential remains. SPC has maintained a Slight Risk for severe thunderstorms across the entire area Monday. The main threat being damaging winds associated with multicell clusters or line segments. Deep-layer shear does deepen through the day. The question is the amount of daytime heating/destabilization (extent of cloud cover) and whether the forcing with the pre-frontal trough will be deep enough to trigger convection. Mid-level lapse rates, as has been the case for most events this warm season, are around or just shy of 6C. So while not a slam dunk event (rarely are here), the ingredients are there for severe weather. In addition, the southward progression of the boundary will be slow, raising possible concerns for training of thunderstorms. WPC has the area under a Marginal Risk for Excessive Rainfall. High pressure builds in behind the cold front for Tue and Wed. A warm front is forecast to move through the area Wednesday night into Thursday, followed by a cold frontal passage Friday. Chances of showers and thunderstorms are in the forecast during this time.

-- End Changed Discussion --
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19 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

 

Just combed through the data. 44025 reached a brief high of 29.1 degrees celsius or 84.4°F in 2016. 44025 never had water temps above 27°C (80.6°F) until 2016, it also happened in 2020 as well. This heat wave will bring them very close, top 3 for sure.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2016&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2020&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

When do the sea surface temperatures at these off shore buoys typically peak?  Would the end of August be when the max would be reached?

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6 minutes ago, Tatamy said:

When do the sea surface temperatures at these off shore buoys typically peak?  Would the end of August be when the max would be reached?

 

Depends on the summer but average water temperatures usually peak in August, sometimes earlier, sometimes later. It mostly depends on the weather though. Water temperatures are usually at their highest at the end of heat waves.

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51 minutes ago, TWCCraig said:

 

Just combed through the data. 44025 reached a brief high of 29.1 degrees celsius or 84.4°F in 2016. 44025 never had water temps above 27°C (80.6°F) until 2016, it also happened in 2020 as well. This heat wave will bring them very close, top 3 for sure.

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2016&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

https://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/histsearch.php?station=44025&year=2020&f1=wtmp&t1a=ge&v1a=27&t1b=&v1b=&c1=&f2=&t2a=&v2a=&t2b=&v2b=&c2=&f3=&t3a=&v3a=&t3b=&v3b=&mode=sum

That 84.4 looks like an error to me in the saved file on the website. I don’t remember seeing that buoy go warmer than 79° to 81°. It would be helpful if there was a saved regional weather round up for that day out of OKX with the actual buoy reports. 

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