uncle W

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About uncle W

  • Birthday 03/28/1949

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  1. transient blocks could bring some snow if its cold enough...
  2. I'm thinking we could get a similar winter to 2005-06 and 2015-16 with one big storm either in February or March and some snow in December...as of today my top analogue is 1959-60...the last time I used it was for the 2005-06 winter...59-60 had some snow in December and a big storm in March...2005-06 had some snow in December and a big storm in February...
  3. the last 30 winters in NYC...the ave temp...lowest min...coldest 30 day period...total snowfall...snowiest 30 day period...biggest snowfalls... winter...…….Dec-Feb...season/coldest/total/snowiest season...….ave temp.....min...30 days snow...30 days...4" snow storms or biggest storm... 1990-91..........39.2..........10........34.5...24.9"...15.6".......7.2"...5.7"...8.9"... 1991-92..........37.2..........11........30.3...12.4".....9.4".......6.2" 1992-93..........35.0............7........31.0...24.5"...19.5".......4.3"...10.6"... 1993-94..........31.2...........-2........23.5...53.4"...30.8".......4.0"...4.5"...9.0"...12.8"...5.0"... 1994-95..........37.1............6........31.5...11.8"...11.6".......10.8"... 1995-96..........32.3............5........27.7...75.6"...35.2".......7.7"...20.2"...7.5"...10.7"...4.6"...4.6"...4.1"... 1996-97..........37.8............4........31.7...10.0".....6.1".......3.5"..... 1997-98..........39.6..........14........37.3.....5.5".....5.0".......5.5"... 1998-99..........38.7............9........31.3...12.7".....6.5".......4.5"... 1999-00..........36.2............3........26.2...16.3"...14.7".......5.5"... 2000-01..........33.5..........14........29.9...35.0"...20.3"......12.0"...6.0"...5.7"... 2001-02..........41.5..........19........35.4.....3.5".....3.5".......3.0"... 2002-03..........31.2............7........25.9...49.3"...29.6".......6.0"...5.0"...5.3"...19.8"...4.0"... 2003-04..........32.4............1........22.5...42.6"...19.8".......14.0"...5.8"...5.7"...10.3"... 2004-05..........35.4............5........29.5...41.0"...20.2".......13.8"...5.0"...6.0"...7.7"... 2005-06..........37.3..........14........33.5...40.0"...28.9".......5.8"...26.9"... 2006-07..........36.5............8........25.8...12.4".....7.8".......5.5"... 2007-08..........36.4..........10........35.7...11.9".....9.0".......6.0"... 2008-09..........34.2............6........27.9...27.6"...13.3".......4.5"...4.3"...8.3"... 2009-10..........33.8..........13........31.6...51.4"...38.2".......10.9"...10.0"...5.0"...20.9"... 2010-11..........32.7............6.........28.1...61.9"...37.6"......20.0"...9.1"...4.2"...19.0"... 2011-12..........40.5..........13.........37.0.....7.4".....4.5"......4.3"... 2012-13..........36.9..........11.........31.5...26.1"...13.7"......4.7"...11.4"... 2013-14..........33.0............4.........28.5...57.4"...42.1"......5.0"...6.4"...11.5"...8.0"...4.0"...9.5" 2014-15..........31.7............2.........23.9...50.3"...22.6"......9.8"...5.3".....4.0"...4.8"...7.5"...4.5" 2015-16..........41.0...........-1.........34.4...32.8"...32.8"......27.5" 2016-17..........39.3...…....14...…....35.4...30.2"...11.0"......9.4"...7.6"...5.1" 2017-18..........36.2......…...5...…....27.1...40.9"...17.5"......9.8"...8.4"...4.6"...4.4" 2018-19...……..36.2.……...…2...…....30.8...20.5"...13.0"......6.4"...4.0"...5.0"
  4. the last time DCA had snow on the ground for Christmas was in 2009...7" was on the ground at 7am...it was washed away by heavy rain that afternoon and night...pretty much the same happened up here in NYC...I was surprised there were so little White Christmas's in Washington...I checked DCA and came up with seven years with snow on the ground Christmas morning...did I miss any?... 2009...7".....rain in the afternoon... 1989...2".....continued cold... 1966...7".....snowstorm Christmas eve... 1963...3".....snowstorm on the 23rd... 1962...5" and snowing...best white Christmas I found...5" fell that day...7" depth at end...NYC just had one inch and light snow Christmas day... 1960...1"..... 1945...3".....rain that afternoon washed it all away...
  5. some of the coldest Oct/Nov/Dec years... 1976.....41.5 1989.....43.3 1933.....43.5 1962.....44.0 1980.....44.1 1958.....44.3 2000.....44.5 1955.....44.6 2002.....44.7 1969.....44.8
  6. warmest October, November, December period since 1930...snowfall for the winter... 2015.....53.7...….31.8" 2001.....51.8...…...3.5" 1990.....51.6...….24.9" 1931.....51.4..…...5.3" 1984.....51.0...….24.1" 2011.....50.8...…...7.4" 1994.....50.7...….11.8" 1982.....50.6...….27.2" 1979.....50.3...….12.8" 1946.....50.0...….30.6"
  7. NYC.......................................... season....first.freeze....last.freeze.. 1869-70.......10/26...….3/26 1870-71.......11/16...….3/29 1871-72.......10/21...….4/23 1872-73.......11/16...….3/28 1873-74...…..11/10......4/30 1874-75...…11/12...….4/22 1875-76.......11/02...….4/10 1876-77.......10/15.......4/08 1877-78.......11/07.......3/26 1878-79.......11/05.......4/06 1879-80.......10/25.......4/12 1880-81.......11/18.......4/07 1881-82.......11/22.......4/12 1882-83.......11/03.......4/03 1883-84.......11/12.......4/06 1884-85.......11/19.......4/14 1885-86.......11/01.......4/04 1886-87.......11/07.......4/19 1887-88.......10/30.......4/25 1888-89.......11/17.......3/31 1889-90.......10/24.......4/19 1890-91.......11/21.......5/06 1891-92.......11/04.......4/25 1892-93.......11/11.......3/30 1893-94.......11/15.......4/09 1894-95.......11/07.......4/05 1895-96.......11/12.......4/08 1896-97.......11/23.......4/20 1897-98.......11/18.......4/07 1898-99.......11/24.......4/06 1899-00.......11/12.......4/11 1900-01.......11/15.......3/31 1901-02.......11/10.......3/20 1902-03.......12/05.......4/05 1903-04.......11/07.......4/20 1904-05.......10/31.......3/15 1905-06.......11/14.......4/01 1906-07.......11/29.......4/03 1907-08.......12/03.......4/05 1908-09.......11/04.......4/11 1909-10.......11/30.......3/18 1910-11.......11/20.......4/03 1911-12.......11/03.......4/04 1912-13.......11/03.......3/28 1913-14.......11/11.......4/13 1914-15.......11/10.......4/04 1915-16.......11/18.......4/09 1916-17.......11/15.......4/10 1917-18.......10/31.......4/12 1918-19.......11/24.......4/26 1919-20.......11/14.......4/11 1920-21.......11/12.......4/11 1921-22.......11/06.......4/21 1922-23.......11/21.......4/14 1923-24.......11/09.......4/03 1924-25.......11/16.......4/21 1925-26.......10/29.......4/20 1926-27.......11/04.......3/28 1927-28.......11/07.......4/16 1928-29.......10/30.......3/18 1929-30.......11/22.......4/24 1930-31.......11/05.......3/14 1931-32.......11/07.......4/13 1932-33.......11/20.......3/25 1933-34.......10/26.......3/29 1934-35.......11/14.......4/16 1935-36.......11/23.......4/08 1936-37.......10/26.......3/31 1937-38.......11/21.......4/07 1938-39.......11/24.......4/13 1939-40.......11/13.......4/15 1940-41.......10/19.......3/31 1941-42.......11/25.......2/28 1942-43.......11/13.......4/16 1943-44.......11/15.......4/06 1944-45.......11/23.......3/11 1945-46.......11/21.......3/12 1946-47.......11/23.......3/31 1947-48.......11/19.......4/04 1948-49.......12/11.......3/20 1949-50.......11/22.......4/14 1950-51.......11/16.......3/27 1951-52.......11/03.......3/17 1952-53.......11/29.......3/11 1953-54.......11/06.......4/04 1954-55.......11/10.......3/29 1955-56.......11/19.......3/28 1956-57.......11/10.......3/25 1957-58.......11/11.......4/09 1958-59.......11/28.......3/29 1959-60.......11/17.......3/27 1960-61.......11/07.......3/21 1961-62.......11/10.......3/09 1962-63.......11/07.......3/23 1963-64.......12/01.......4/05 1964-65.......11/21.......4/01 1965-66.......10/29.......3/29 1966-67.......11/04.......4/12 1967-68.......11/08.......4/06 1968-69.......11/21.......4/01 1969-70.......10/23.......4/11 1970-71.......11/23.......3/27 1971-72.......11/08.......4/09 1972-73.......10/20.......3/21 1973-74.......11/10.......4/10 1974-75.......10/19.......4/10 1975-76.......10/31.......4/12 1976-77.......10/27.......4/10 1977-78.......11/14.......4/03 1978-79.......11/25.......4/08 1979-80.......11/30.......4/17 1980-81.......11/16.......3/21 1981-82.......11/25.......4/08 1982-83.......11/13.......3/30 1983-84.......11/13.......3/18 1984-85.......11/19.......4/10 1985-86.......12/02.......3/22 1986-87.......11/13.......4/01 1987-88.......11/11.......3/23 1988-89.......10/31.......3/22 1989-90.......11/18.......3/28 1990-91.......11/09.......4/13 1991-92.......11/26.......4/13 1992-93.......11/08.......3/20 1993-94.......11/21.......3/19 1994-95.......11/23.......4/06 1995-96.......11/09.......3/29 1996-97.......11/12.......4/10 1997-98.......11/13.......3/23 1998-99.......12/22.......3/16 1999-00.......11/30.......4/09 2000-01.......11/20.......3/28 2001-02.......12/16.......4/07 2002-03.......11/27.......4/08 2003-04.......11/09.......4/06 2004-05.......11/09.......3/16 2005-06.......11/18.......3/22 2006-07.......12/04.......4/09 2007-08.......11/11.......3/30 2008-09.......11/18.......3/24 2009-10.......12/07.......3/27 2010-11.......12/04.......3/29 2011-12.......12/10.......3/27 2012-13.......11/06.......3/23 2013-14.......11/12.......4/16 2014-15.......11/18.......4/01 2015-16.......11/24.......4/06 2016-17.......12/09.......3/23 2017-18.......11/10.......4/09 2018-19...….11/14......3/18
  8. heres what eight of the ten driest falls did in the winter...the other two 1881=82 and 1879-80 had near average precip...
  9. reminds me of the early January 2018 storm only its rain this time...
  10. some snowy years didn't need a negative nao to be snowy... DJFM monthly nao for winters with at least 30" of snowfall in Central Park... season........Dec.....Jan.....Feb.....Mar.....lowest/date... 1955-56......0.17...-0.22...-1.12...-0.05.....-1.114....12/17 1957-58......0.12...-0.54...-1.06...-1.96.....-1.651....1/22 1959-60......0.44...-1.29...-1.89...-0.50.....-2.120....1/16 1960-61......0.06....0.41....0.45....0.55.....-0.781....12/9 1963-64.....-1.27...-0.95...-1.43...-1.20.....-2.397....12/13 1966-67......0.72...-0.89....0.19....1.51.....-2.210....1/8 1968-69.....-1.40...-0.83...-1.55...-1.56.....-1.697....12/6 1977-78.....-1.00....0.66...-2.20....0.70.....-2.172....2/13 1993-94......1.56....1.04....0.46....1.26.....-0.854....12/26 1995-96.....-1.67...-0.12...-0.07...-0.24.....-1.846....12/7 2000-01.....-0.58....0.25....0.45...-1.26.....-1.658....12/7 2002-03.....-0.94....0.16....0.62....0.32.....-1.585....12/10 2003-04......0.64...-0.29...-0.14....1.02.....-1.449....1/28 2004-05......1.21....1.51...-0.06...-1.83.....-1.486....3/14 2005-06.....-0.44....1.27...-0.51...-1.28.....-1.360....2/27 2009-10.....-1.93...-1.11...-1.98...-0.88.....-2.250....1/3 2010-11.....-1.85...-0.88....0.70....0.61.....-2.023....12/1 2013-14......0.95....0.29....1.34....0.80.....-0.529....1/12 2014-15......1.86....1.79....1.32....1.45.....-0.909....12/28 2015-16......2.24....0.12....1.58....0.73.....-1.014....1/12 2016-17......0.48....0.48....1.00....0.74.....-1.002....12/6 2017-18......0.00....1.44....1.58...-0.93.....-1.719....3/1
  11. December 2010 featured a very negative ao and nao but a very negative pna also...it did not prevent the 12/26 storm...that was the la nina example...the el nino example of a big storm with a neg pna would be Feb. 9th, 1969...
  12. I laugh when I here the word drought now...anyone who lived through the mid 1960's drought will agree with me...1962 was a pretty dry year...1963 almost set the record for the least amount of annual precipitation if not for a late December snowstorm...1964 was drier and broke the record for the driest year...then in 1965 the record was destroyed by a lot...the first eight months of 1966 were dry climaxing with the driest summer on record...There was a drought busting deluge in September 1966 and not for a few set backs it has not come close to that drought...
  13. 45 in Central Park this morning...this is no were near what we have seen this time of the year... Coldest October days to start the month since 1960... 39 on 10/01/1992 38 on 10/02/1974 38 on 10/03/1974 39 on 10/04/1987 38 on 10/05/1965 38 on 10/06/1964 39 on 10/07/1999 37 on 10/08/1988 39 on 10/08/1964 39 on 10/08/2001 37 on 10/09/1988 38 on 10/08/2000 39 on 10/08/1978 36 on 10/10/2000 37 on 10/10/1979 38 on 10/10/1964 34 on 10/11/1964 37 on 10/11/1979
  14. I had my eye on 1959-60 and 1992-93 for a while...59-60 is my top analogue as of now...both had big March storms...