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uncle W

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Everything posted by uncle W

  1. models aside with six days left there is plenty of time for a front or pop up shower to do the trick...
  2. NYC has 33.78" so far since June 1st...2011 had 34.62"...1975 had 31.72"...
  3. NYC average minimums... 1950-59...6.7... 1960-69...4.8... 1970-79...4.7... 1980-89...3.5... 1990-99...7.1... 2000-09...9.0... 2010-19...6.6... last two years had a min of 14...
  4. my pool is still open...a nice three day warmth spell would be nice before it closes Oct 10th... 1967 was cool in Sept...much cooler than this year... IPS-1BD83742-5475-4643-81C9-ACA5CC93FE4D.pdf (noaa.gov)
  5. I was 36 when Gloria hit Long Island...the most hyped storm before the internet...
  6. it was a hot summer despite low 90 degree numbers from Central Park...the 11 year hot summer or what ever you want to call it goes on...the only thing I would say about that is this summer doesn't stand out like 1944, 1955 1966 and 1977 did...it seems like every summer is an 11 year hot summer so its becoming the norm...
  7. 1994-95 was a one storm winter for NYC...it also had the least amount of snowfall in NYC going into February... NYC's dates for the least amount of snow... 1/09/2007.....0 1/10/2007/73/00/66.. trace 1/19/2000/73/66...trace 1/20/1973.....trace 1/29/1995.....0.2" 2/04/1998.....0.5" 3/22/1919.....2.4" 3/28/1973.....2.8" to end...
  8. last year had some good blocking and NYC had above average snowfall and a major storm...temps were not that cold but cold enough... I made this chart for NYC la nina winters and weak neg winters and the average arctic oscillation for Dec-Mar... ...black is near average...red above average temps...below average snowfall...blue is below average temps and above average snowfall...neg ao in blue...pos ao in red...30 day cold is the coldest 30 straight days... winters............DJF ONI...Dec-Mar AO...A.T....min....30 day cold...snowfall...biggest snowfalls... 1973-74..............-1.7.............-0.296........35.5.....6..........32.3..........23.5"..........6.0" 4.3" 1988-89..............-1.6............+2.399........35.9.....5..........32.4............8.1"..........5.0" 1999-00..............-1.6............+0.735........36.2.....3..........26.2..........16.3"..........5.5" 1975-76..............-1.5............+0.892........34.4....-1..........27.1..........17.3"..........4.2" 4.0" 2007-08..............-1.4............+0.531........36.4...10..........35.7..........11.9"..........6.0" 1949-50..............-1.4............+0.190........37.5.....6..........31.6..........13.8"..........3.8" 1998-99..............-1.4............+0.113........38.7.....9..........31.3..........12.7"..........4.5" 1970-71..............-1.3.............-0.644........32.1.....4..........24.2..........15.5"..........6.4" 2010-11..............-1.3.............-0.329........32.7.....6..........28.1..........61.9"..........20.0" 19.0" 9.1" 5.0" 2020-21.............-1.0.............-0.825.........36.1...14...........30.4.........38.6"..........10.5" 17.4" 4.5" 4.4"... 2017-18..............-0.9.............-0.291........36.2.....5..........28.0..........40.9"..........4.6" 9.8" 4.4" 8.4" 5.5" 1995-96..............-0.9.............-1.162........32.3.....5..........27.7..........75.6"..........20.2" 10.7" 7.9" 7.5" 4.6" 4.6" 4.1" 1955-56..............-0.9.............-0.512........32.7.....5..........27.6..........33.5"..........11.6" 6.5" 4.2" 1984-85..............-0.9.............-1.062........36.4....-2..........27.5..........24.1"..........5.7" 4.8" 4.3" 4.1" ................................................................................................................................................................. weak la nina or weak negative years... 1950-51..............-0.8.............-1.084.......35.9.....9..........33.0..........11.6"..........3.0" 1967-68..............-0.7.............-0.342.......31.3....-1..........25.1..........19.5"..........6.6" 2000-01..............-0.7.............-1.406.......33.5...14..........29.9..........35.0"........12.0"....6.0"....5.7" 2005-06..............-0.7.............-1.008.......37.3...14..........33.5..........40.0"........26.9"....5.8" 1971-72..............-0.7............+0.164.......35.1.....5..........28.6..........22.9"..........5.7".....5.2" 2008-09..............-0.7............+0.224.......34.2.....6..........27.9..........27.6"..........8.3".....4.5"....4.3" 2011-12..............-0.7............+0.750.......40.5...13..........37.0............7.4"..........4.2" 1954-55..............-0.6.............-0.930.......34.0.....0..........28.6..........11.5"..........3.9" 1964-65..............-0.5.............-1.070.......33.3.....9..........28.0..........24.4"..........6.3".....4.6" 1983-84..............-0.5.............-0.400.......35.2.....4..........26.1..........25.4"..........6.9".....5.1"....4.6" 1974-75..............-0.5............+0.624.......37.5...15..........33.0..........13.1"..........7.8" 1996-97..............-0.5............+0.201.......37.8.....4..........31.7..........10.0"..........3.5" 2013-14..............-0.5............+0.439.......33.0.....4..........28.5..........57.4"........12.5"...11.5"...8.0"...6.4"...5.0"...4.0" 1962-63..............-0.4.............-1.255.......30.0....-2..........25.9..........16.3"..........4.2" 1966-67..............-0.4............+0.293.......34.1.....4..........28.6..........51.5"........12.5".....9.8"...7.1" 1985-86..............-0.4.............-0.872.......33.4.....8..........31.0..........13.0"..........4.5"....4.5" 2012-13..............-0.4.............-1.838.......36.9...11..........31.5..........26.1"........11.4"....4.7" 2016-17..............-0.4............+1.108.......39.3...14..........35.5..........30.2"..........9.4"....7.6"....5.1"
  9. blocking used to mean cold but now its mostly snow...
  10. I don't have Newark's monthly and annual snowfall on hand so I'll use NYC snowfall after Newark having 40 days 90 or higher and above average snowfall... 1959-60..above average 1983-84...average 1993-94...way above average... 2002-03...way above average... 2010-11...way above average... 2016-17...above average... 2021-22...??? ...................................... two other 40 days 90 or above years were 1988-89, 1991-92...they had below average snowfall ...
  11. 89 max today and yesterday...if these high dew points continue into winter we'll get our share of snow...another foot or more storm?...the last four winters with 30" or more were not cold winters on average...2014-15 was the last cold-snowy winter and it was a late starter...
  12. 1962-65 had less than 20 days with a min of 70 or higher...only 8 in 1962...1992 had 14...the last time Central Park had less than 20...in the 1960's 30 or more would be a lot...now 30 is a low number...
  13. this September reminds me of 2005...enso was weaker in 2005 and the qbo was in a stronger easterly state...the QBO weakened by winter...We did see a fast start to winter but it left before Christmas and didn't return till February...other years with a stronger qbo were... 1970...1974...2007...2011...these la nina years with a stronger easterly qbo than 2021 lestened by winter...years like 2017, 2000, 1983, 1962 and had an easterly qbo similar to this year and were a little stronger by winter...1956 was a little weaker but not that much...qbo easterly years that were stronger by winter were snowier than the ones that became weaker by wiinter...
  14. those are the states that legalized pot...
  15. Brooklyn got 9" in Feb 1958 and LGA 10.1"...NYC was on the low side for the Jan 1961 storm...most got a foot but NYC 9.9"...
  16. you don't get anywhere with slurs and threats...that's the problem now if people don't agree with each other...
  17. I'm for power lines being underground...earthquake areas are screwed no matter if they are above or below ground...
  18. that's a scary place...
  19. on the evening 0f 2/16/1996 I was listening to oldies and they were playing the songs from 2/16/1958...The 2/16/1996 storm went on to break the daily snowfall record set in 1958...That's not the only time that has happened to me...
  20. no more bail but in this case and the judge would hold us for Psychiatrist treatment...
  21. meh...I could throw a ball 75 mph still at my age with a sore arm...there should have been a Curly and Moe along with Larry but it wouldn't be funny if one was Ida but still...
  22. JFK highest temps... 9/1 92 in 2012 92 in 2010 91 in 1969+ 9/2 93 in 1973 93 in 1961 93 in 1953 9/3 93 in 2015 93 in 1993 92 in 1957 9/4 93 in 2018 93 in 1985 92 in 1961 9/5 94 in 1961 92 in 1985 92 in 1964 9/6 92 in 1985 90 in 1998 90 in 1983+ 9/7 93 in 1983 92 in 1978 89 in 1998 9/8 92 in 2010 91 in 2015 87 in 2013+ 9/9 93 in 1959 91 in 2016 88 in 1964 9/10 98 in 1983 92 in 1989 90 in 1961 9/11 96 in 1983 91 in 1989 89 in 1961 9/12 91 in 1981 90 in 2005 90 in 1952 9/13 94 in 1952 89 in 1994 89 in 1957 9/14 89 in 1995 89 in 1972 88 in 1981+ 9/15 85 in 2008 82 in 2009 82 in 1997+ 9/16 89 in 1991 88 in 1998 88 in 1970 9/17 90 in 1991 84 in 2015 84 in 1969 9/18 90 in 1965 86 in 1964 86 in 1948 9/19 90 in 1983 85 in 1985 85 in 1963 9/20 85 in 1997 85 in 1983 83 in 1955 9/21 85 in 2016 83 in 2004 83 in 1989 9/22 91 in 1980 87 in 1961 86 in 1970 9/23 90 in 1970 89 in 1961 88 in 2017+ 9/24 92 in 2017 88 in 1970 86 in 1961 9/25 87 in 2010 85 in 2017 83 in 2011 9/26 87 in 1970 85 in 1958 82 in 1968 9/27 89 in 1998 87 in 2017 84 in 2014+ 9/28 82 in 1948 81 in 1961 81 in 1959+ 9/29 82 in 1948 81 in 2019 81 in 1959 9/30 84 in 1986 82 in 1959 80 in 1971+ 10/1 85 in 1986 84 in 1954 84 in 1950 10/2 95 in 2019 85 in 2013 82 in 2002+ 10/3 84 in 2002 82 in 2000 81 in 1969 10/4 84 in 1967 83 in 1959 83 in 1954 10/5 84 in 1967 83 in 2017 83 in 2002+ 10/6 88 in 1997 85 in 1995 83 in 1959 10/7 83 in 2007 83 in 1961 82 in 1997 10/8 90 in 2007 78 in 1959 76 in 2011 10/9 87 in 2011 82 in 1961 82 in 1959 10/10 86 in 1997 84 in 2017 84 in 2011
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