DanTheMan Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 ~2 inches in Clifton, got a nice walk in Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You’re being a little dramatic…shocking. But this is another event where the track of the wave is actually pretty good, the airmass seemed good enough, yet it’s underperforming outside elevated areas. Sound familiar??? MBY flipped to snow earlier than progged, but we didn’t get as much of the heavies that were expected. That’s what hurt us - not boundary temps or whatever. Not everything can be blamed on warmer background state. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4.75 currently in Smithsburg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 5 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You’re being a little dramatic…shocking. But this is another event where the track of the wave is actually pretty good, the airmass seemed good enough, yet it’s underperforming outside elevated areas. Sound familiar??? Did it really underperform because of temperatures, though? It felt like we just never got the rates advertised, at least at my house. I never saw anything close to 2 inches per hour, and even when it did pick up, it was short-lived. I'll end up with a little under 2 probably. Getting the 4-6+ the models showed was always going to mean 2-3 hours of very heavy snow because of the progressive nature of the system. That just didn't happen. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kay Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 No accumulation here but it has been pretty. Been sitting at 32F. Top gust this morning at APG looks like 30mph. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, poolz1 said: Going to go with 4.5" as a total. Just under 5" on the car hood...4.25" on the picnic table. Will have to see if we can add any additional in the next few hours. I'm at work today so my daughter is doing the measuring for me. She said 4.75 so I feel pretty confident in that if your getting about the same. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevWarReenactor Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Looks about right. NWS nails it again! 5 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Maestrobjwa said: Not to mention...the rates weren't that good in the metros, right? Combine that with being almost 60 yesterday and March sun...can ya really use this as an example of the theory? This is kinda par for the course, imo Yeah, I had solid rates from 8:00-8:45 and then for about 15 minutes around 10:30. Just didn't quite get the thump we needed. The 60 degrees before is mostly irrelevant honestly, March sun definitely hurt in the sense that when things trailed off a fair bit of progress was lost. For the record, I enjoyed this storm. Advisory likely not verified but I'm convinced I had "near-blizzard" conditions for a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, RevWarReenactor said: Looks about right. NWS nails it again! Pretty much exactly what my area looks like 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just now, mattie g said: MBY flipped to snow earlier than progged, but we didn’t get as much of the heavies that were expected. That’s what hurt us - not boundary temps or whatever. Not everything can be blamed on warmer background state. I agree. This was always a wave or 2 moving along a progressive cold front. The guidance generally depicted a relatively brief area of forcing, and somewhat localized, behind the front in the colder air. We suck at anafrontal, regardless of temps. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TowsonTownT Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Seems to be winding down a bit in the Towson area. I would say about 2" IMBY.- Roads never caved but still a pretty scene. Next question will be whether paved areas will have time to dry out or if they will ice over with the falling temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: Not to mention...the rates weren't that good in the metros, right? Combine that with being almost 60 yesterday and March sun...can ya really use this as an example of the theory? This is kinda par for the course, imo Not sure 60s yesterday has anything to do with it. If it was cooler yesterday, the same fate would have been met. The rates alone was the problem for the metros to be able to overcome the march sun 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just now, Baltimorewx said: Pretty much exactly what my area looks like that does suck, I assumed it kinda sucked there in the 1.5" inches but complaining about it sense. sorry about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Not sure 60s yesterday has anything to do with it. If it was cooler yesterday, the same fate would have been met. The rates alone was the problem for the metros That's true. I mean...could we say March sun angle as well? It seems like in March you almost really need heavy rates--especially during the daytime. So overall I'm not sure today can be used as an example of it getting harder to snow. Don't think this woulda worked 20 years ago, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, jayyy said: Not sure 60s yesterday has anything to do with it. If it was cooler yesterday, the same fate would have been met. The rates alone was the problem for the metros Exactly. My temp is still dropping and down to 30 now. It was 31-34 while snowing most of the morning. With heavy rates, that will cave roads even in mid March after a warm day. 31-34 with alternating moderate to light rates with a few moments of heavier rates is not going to get it done. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baltimorewx Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 1 minute ago, NorthArlington101 said: that does suck, I assumed it kinda sucked there in the 1.5" inches but complaining about it sense. sorry about that. I mean I wasn’t expecting much but I did think I’d get maybe a 2 hour period or so of rates that potentially overcame the ground and coated everything over, but never got close to that happening. Is what it is, I kinda know what to expect in my area unless we get a more uniform storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jayyy Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Batch of precipitation over the Cumberland area appears to be intensifying a bit as it heads east. Should be here by 1230-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Precip always moves out quicker than models depict in these situations. One reason I didn't post much and was skeptical even as the trends were colder sooner. Experience tells us how this ends up with a progressive/positively oriented trough the majority of the time. Sunny here now! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Hmmm. Liking the look of that radar backfilling out west of me. Looks like I was early to call this one. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Being out west does have its advantages. A lot prettier landscape and more snow, really though I was gonna get fringed. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxtrix Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 radar looks interesting all of a sudden, lol. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 This wind is no joke out here right now. Howling is an understatement. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Just now, clskinsfan said: Hmmm. Liking the look of that radar backfilling out west of me. Looks like I was early to call this one. It's not completely done, but accumulating snow requires some persistent rates during the day now. Probably looking at periods of light to moderate snow. Best chance would be a late afternoon squall as the temps continue to drop. HRRR was suggesting that on earlier runs but I haven't looked at guidance recently. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rmcwahoo Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Maybe 4-6 inches of snow here at 3600 feet up at Wintergreen. Crazy wind and drifting. Plows out. 21 degrees. Great storm 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 My hallucinations radar says look for some back building down to the south and southwest. Maybe one last shot of fluff to send us off to t-shirt and flip flop land? If not, it’s been (and always is) a fun roller coaster of winter here. I like severe season too, but ultimately my heart belongs to my favorite winter weather team. No matter what character you play in this ongoing yearly saga, you’re all the best. Cheers! 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 3 minutes ago, CAPE said: It's not completely done, but accumulating snow requires some persistent rates during the day now. Probably looking at periods of light to moderate snow. Best chance would be a late afternoon squall as the temps continue to drop. HRRR was suggesting that on earlier runs but I haven't looked at guidance recently. That band filling in out west looks pretty solid. Might be able to steal another inch. And the quality of the snow should be better as well. Temps are nice and cold out here. We'll see. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Zero accumulation in Canton, outside of a dusting on garbage bins. Nothing really falling right now. Don't think anything will come of this unless a good heavy band comes in with whatever manages to fill in, but that would probably only leave the area with a dusting. Batting .000 with anafrontal systems this winter... and most winters. At least some of the heavier sideways stuff has been nice to watch. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 27 minutes ago, psuhoffman said: You’re being a little dramatic…shocking. But this is another event where the track of the wave is actually pretty good, the airmass seemed good enough, yet it’s underperforming outside elevated areas. Sound familiar??? He's being Ji.. just play along once for fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 20 minutes ago, RevWarReenactor said: Looks about right. NWS nails it again! you only need to set your clock forward 1 hour, not 7. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jrlg1181 Posted March 12, 2022 Share Posted March 12, 2022 Right at 2 inches eastern Waynesboro....snow had stopped but has picked back up now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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