Powerful Multi-regional/ multi-faceted east coastal storm now above medium confidence: Jan 29 -30th, MA to NE, with snow and mix combining high wind, and tides. Unusual early confidence ...

[moneypitmike]

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

Yes

Euro or bust.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes

I'd ignore unless the EURO follows suite.

[dendrite]

5 minutes ago, PhineasC said:

Think 15-20:1 is doable up here? I usually have little wind in these events either.

I'll have to look at the lift up there later...maybe your upslope enhancement will be in the DGZ? I think I'll be better than 10:1, but nothing special. You have to be in the meat of the deep deformation band to get the absurd ratios.

[Snowcrazed71]

23 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Exactly 

This is for down here. I will post your area.

I think this looks nice... A great cluster on the southwest side

[PhineasC]

Carbon copy of RGEM just about. 

[JC-CT]

1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said:

Yes

Do you know anything about how those models work off each other? I'm super convinced that there is a reason that ptype map always has perfect continuity between hours 48 and 49.

[Ginx snewx]

22 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

GFS

Shit that sucks storm cancel

[TauntonBlizzard2013]

Is lock the gfs here… excellent run. And an improvement from 6z

[WeatherHappens]

storms cancelled.....go home everybody

[Ginx snewx]

6 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

Pins and needles, crushed dendrites will settle like an avalanche. Expect the 18-24" amounts (hate to say it) could be cut to half.
I think this is my first detrimental post ever. 

Jan 15 and  11 laughs at this

[dryslot]

[MJO812]

Cmc is further east  but it's time to look at the euro and mesos .

[JC-CT]

Just now, dryslot said:

I take it one of those bins is already chock full of NAM runs

[CoastalWx]

Ukie a little tamed down, but still looks good.

[40/70 Benchmark]

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Ukie a little tamed down, but still looks good.

That is what I expect from EURO...down a notch, but still fine.

[HoarfrostHubb]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 15 and  11 laughs at this

Any idea why some storms that have wind pulverize the flakes and others don't?   I know you mentioned those examples before, but we do grab sand from time to time

[moneypitmike]

Does anyone else hear Messenger calling?

[dendrite]

2 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

I take it one of those bins is already chock full of NAM runs

6z NAM plugged my toilet.

[Hoth]

15 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

RAP spreads the love

Can we just push that blob onshore please?

[IowaStorm05]

NWS still has us under 70% POPs I find unusual for a WSW. Maybe to do with timing uncertainty of core of event?

[OrangeCTWX]

This storm is exhausting.

[JC-CT]

[ROOSTA]

6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Jan 15 and  11 laughs at this

I agree, just something to consider.
Stoked! AWESOMOSITY! 

[wx2fish]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ukie a little tamed down, but still looks good.

Yeah great track, but the low got elongated for a bit by the convection. 

[moneypitmike]

2 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

NWS still has us under 70% POPs I find unusual for a WSW. Maybe to do with timing uncertainty of core of event?

I'm pretty sure it has something to do with global warming.

[IowaStorm05]

Just now, moneypitmike said:

I'm pretty sure it has something to do with global warming.

Touche!

[Go Kart Mozart]

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Ukie a little tamed down, but still looks good.

A tad better WOTR

[Ginx snewx]

My wife wishes she had heard the word elongated as much as I have seen it today.

[weatherwiz]

3 minutes ago, Sn0waddict said:

This storm The wild mood swings from model-to-model and model-to-model run is exhausting.

FYP

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, Ginx snewx said:

My wife wishes she had heard the word elongated as much as I have seen it today.

Jan 7 storm had a lot of elongated talk.. and folks ended up with 7-15”.. from a fast moving wave