NorthArlington101 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 How much of that is sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cobalt Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? Posted this for the Jan 3rd storm. This typically seems to be the bias, let's see how it holds up once the storm enters the 48hr HRRR run range. On 1/2/2022 at 2:32 PM, Cobalt said: At this time during storms where we're on the SE fringe, we look to the HRRR to have a colder and more SE solution compared to general guidance (and it ends up being wrong) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sernest14 said: curious on how well the HRRR generally does? 1 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 The euro had another decent upper level low track and improved the surface a bit. SLP tracks from ORF right up the bay then into eastern PA. If we were to continue to get these minor adjustments and the upper low were to track another 30-50 miles southeast and the surface low were to track up just east of the bay, it would cut down on the low level warmth quite a bit...might increase the WAA thump some although I think the angle the WAA precipitation is coming in at has more to do with that then anything else at this point...but it would increase our chances of some snowfall Monday morning with the upper low pass also. On the WAA snowfall...We want the trajectory to be more south to north and less east to west with the angle of that WAA precipitation. The more negative tilt that banding is the longer it will take to progress northeast and we will lose the column faster. A further east track of the mid level and surface features could help with that some also. There was a minor improvement in that regard this run over the previous one. 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jmk Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 25 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Do we get any ice? I say we because we are in similar locations I feel like we're in a weird spot on this one. Especially considering Warrenton is under the WSW and we're not, but I'm only about 15 min from the county line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 You know, I am usually pretty upbeat, but these temperature maps are slightly depressing lately. We're still gonna get snow though. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rvarookie Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said: Kick in the junk 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IUsedToHateCold Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 16 minutes ago, jaydreb said: This what you’re looking for? Short pump is 17 degrees colder than me. Ugh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 21 minutes ago, Chase said: I'm going to go to my parents' house in the Shenandoah Valley. Good move? Better than eastern Prince William but I think you should reposition in Berkeley County in West Virginia. Thats a very very good spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 10 minutes ago, jmk said: I feel like we're in a weird spot on this one. Especially considering Warrenton is under the WSW and we're not, but I'm only about 15 min from the county line. Yeah but Weather doesn’t know county lines. I think we’ll do ok for a not so great set up…but who knows …it’s been a blast so far this Jan Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Warm Nose Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 None of those 10:1 ratios will verify, especially since a good deal might be sleet. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 What is the threat of a severe ice storm in northern moco/frederick area? Ice will be substantial, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BTRWx's Thanks Giving Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AU74 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 1 minute ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. I'd love a tool with a ratio slider on the snow map. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sernest14 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said: Can we please stop posting 10:1 maps. Agreed - anyone have 20:1 maps? 2 12 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 If we could get enough people to lineup from Texas to North Dakota and blow east as hard as they can, rev up some industrial grade blowers, maybe we could get this damned storm track to shift east 60 miles. 1 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ellinwood Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Hola. 17 10 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 4 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Hola. I'm not in the grey! Lets go 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 6 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Hola. I'M NOT IN THE GREY....LGF 1 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 8 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Hola. Looks good... 2 to 4 is what I'm thinking as well for DC metro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Don't want to alarm anyone but the CFS is rolling out, which probably has about as much accuracy as the long rang NAM has. Which is to say none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 11 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Hola. 1 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillvilleWx Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 12 minutes ago, Ellinwood said: Hola. Solid map @Ellinwood We are both on the same page, which I like to be in a tough forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Who is starting the thread for Next Friday 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 minutes ago, MillvilleWx said: LOL!! Kinda like "I am Spartacus!"..."No, I am Spartacus!"...!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rhino16 Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Was given a Winter Storm Watch, and they’re saying 2-4”. Gusts to 35. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowenOutThere Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Geez, look at the north south line. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 Looks like Wakefield just expanded east, Lwx expansion coming shortly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kristia Posted January 14, 2022 Share Posted January 14, 2022 2 hours ago, wolfpackwxDC said: I balked on buying a generator after 2 big storms knocked out power here in Arlington last summer. Lights flickered during the snow last week. I think we will be getting said generator as soon as we can secure one! Definitely a good thing to have! We lose power up here all the time. Could be 75 and sunny or 40 and rainy. A fair portion of my road is a 12% grade so I’m anticipating not going anywhere for a few days if the icing is bad enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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