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Ellinwood

Meteorologist
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About Ellinwood

  • Birthday 06/19/1986

Profile Information

  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Germantown, MD
  • Interests
    Storm chasing, severe weather, occasional winter/tropical

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  1. Ellinwood
    I may have already subscribed and ordered a shirt. Haven't messed around with the app much yet but liking it so far.
  2. Ellinwood
    Missed the D.C. area but certainly verified northwest of I-95.
  3. Ellinwood
    Not sure I'd be using the HRRR much today given it mixes out the low-levels too much and will be too low on dews by several degrees. Meanwhile, latest HRRR for 1pm vs radar:
  4. Ellinwood
    Haha yep. I still think we get Slight-level severe coverage along/NW of I-95 today (even if the SPC keeps it Marginal)... we've been baking since Monday with little to no turnover in the atmosphere and storm coverage looks pretty good today.
  5. Ellinwood
    I'm losing count of the amount of times SPC has put upper MoCo in the Marginal only for 0 storms to appear this year (granted, I haven't expected anything from these setups yet except the one March system). That said, I do think we get a Slight with Wednesday's setup along/northwest of I-95... low-to-mid level shear is subpar but there's good CAPE and DCAPE for some gusty winds along the cold front.
  6. Ellinwood
    Temps got knocked down several degrees IMBY (to lower 60s)... 1-hour temperature change plotted. Some time to recover this afternoon but we'll see.
  7. Ellinwood
    I live near there and got basically the same picture. Good wind-driven rain but no lightning. Clarksburg circulation went over my MIL's apartment but she's okay (nothing to report apparently).
  8. Ellinwood
    Man I didn't realize so many Mid-Atlantic severe peeps are on the Doom-And-Gloom Express (based on last night's posts). Need to reprise my role of hype man for these events.
  9. Ellinwood
    Highly dependent on the setup, but for tomorrow I'm looking for CAPE >500 (with closer to 1000 for the higher-end scenarios). I'd emphasize that this isn't a GO HIDE ALL AFTERNOON scenario so much as you don't want to be caught out and about if/when the storms roll through. The higher-end stuff will probably be pretty localized.
  10. Ellinwood
    I was on the fence about messaging my kid's teacher saying I was gonna get my kid out early (we walk to/from school) so now I'm glad I don't have to make that decision myself
  11. Ellinwood
    I need to post more. the tl;dr is I could care less about the tornado potential since the wind is the big story and I ain't chasing no storms going 50+ mph through this region. Doesn't seem like an "everyone gets hit" setup but the more potent stuff looks like it's gonna hit hard where it hits.
  12. Ellinwood
    Road accumulation is just starting in Germantown. Around 0.5" on grass and elevated surfaces.
  13. Ellinwood
    lol I was just making a post when I saw the notification from this one Didn't deviate from the NWS much with my forecast... just some tweaks here and there. Won't bother going through the caveats because y'all know them, mainly the marginal surface temps and the lack of good rates inland.
  14. Ellinwood
    Got 6" of snow in Germantown, MD before changing over to sleet around 8:45am... about 1-2" less than I wanted to see before the changeover across the region. Snowblower doesn't get used often but am glad I have it. Looking for 1-2" of sleet through this afternoon now. 14F and sleet is silly
  15. Ellinwood
    Been a minute since I semi-regularly lurked a storm thread (mostly because our winters have been junk with respect to snow). Glad to see the forum hasn't changed
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