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IDA remnants OBS-nowcasts (storm total rain and/or unusual flooding, wind damage-power outage, gusts ~45+ MPH) Wed-Thu morning Sept 1-2, 2021


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7 hours ago, RU848789 said:

Walt - any thoughts on river flooding levels for the Raritan and other major rivers?  Floyd type levels or less.  Seems like there was a bit more rain in Floyd (10-14" common in the Raritan watershed vs. 7-10" now, by my quick inspection), but antecedent conditions before Floyd were much drier, so maybe it'll be close.  

No comment: Please see NWS issuances on those stage details.  I'm just going back as I can to find the IRENE-LEE storm totals  for now. 

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16 hours ago, bluewave said:

CAMS like the HREF are doing a great job on how rapidly the convection would fill in ahead of Ida this evening.


8E87C9D9-010E-4BE1-B916-85ACCA83A493.thumb.jpeg.67018dedb875e94e9fd7c852f338fe44.jpeg

 

26FB7FED-DA68-4F8C-A7D6-A07B7E2A8D72.thumb.jpeg.6f230c266b797259d3ebf2480d24a014.jpeg
 

 

The HREF was the only piece of guidance that had the 10”+ potential correct. Notice how tucked in near the 1-95 corridor it was. The team of scientists  that developed this system deserves an award. Most impressive model performance in an extreme event since the Euro in Sandy.

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4 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

Terrible. I wonder if there’s a listing yet of rain amounts areawide? Radar for me estimates about 6.5” total. 

All this damage and this wasn't even a hurricane. I don't want to even imagine how much damage a strong hurricane would do up here. This ranks up with Sandy .

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11 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

All this damage and this wasn't even a hurricane. I don't want to even imagine how much damage a strong hurricane would do up here. This ranks up with Sandy .

This isn’t as bad as Sandy but it does look catastrophic in some areas. The problem as always is flooding here. NYC is surrounded by water on 3 sides and we have so much underground infrastructure that floods in a situation like this. Tragically my thought that our death toll might end up higher than the South’s from Ida looks like will verify. 

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6 minutes ago, jm1220 said:

This isn’t as bad as Sandy but it does look catastrophic in some areas. The problem as always is flooding here. NYC is surrounded by water on 3 sides and we have so much underground infrastructure that floods in a situation like this. Tragically my thought that our death toll might end up higher than the South’s from Ida looks like will verify. 

This is worse than Sandy in some spots 

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