crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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Otisville meso station recorded 8.09” for the past 24hr. Closest station to me in Sullivan south recorded 2.81”, north 0.62”. My totals are probably closer to 2-3”. Probably like the third or fourth time in the past half a dozen years I just barely avoid a substantial rainfall event to the north. edit: Otisville meso station is 25 miles from Eldred meso. It was close.
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87/74 at 9:55. Outpacing yesterday by almost exactly one hour
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94/76 at home, 93/72 at MSV, 89/73 at work. I wonder which of these three makes the run at 100 tomorrow?
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77/69. MSV’s record high for the day is 94, so probably going to make a run at the first of many records to fall over the next few days.
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This would be some serious heat if it came to pass. My point and click has 99 as the high for Thursday
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People on main thread arguing over 300 hour models…save me. there’s a reason you wait for 120 hours. In any case we’re almost certainly not done with winter yet; recent years have seen cold stretches get as deep into spring as early May. A nice moderate snowstorm to cap it all off would be lovely. Something like April 2018 with 5-6” that evaporated by early afternoon.
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59/50. All of the snow is effectively gone. I would hedge my bets on one more decent storm before all breaks. If not, I finish right at the 45-50” mark for the season.
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Up to 2-3’ of new snows meeting a warmup and rains is never good…
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Staggering—parts of RI/MA collecting nearly 3’ out of this one.
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Looks like widespread 2-3 across Sullivan should do it. More stunning is the fact that the roads looked like nothing happened whatsoever the whole way into work this morning.
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2-3”, if that. More glad not much wind to speak of + have power right now
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Definitely starting to see the breeze picking up slightly. No longer sure what to expect in western Sullivan, but 6” would still be decent. More glad that these trends mean I avoid the heavier amounts with the wind. I like having power.
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Latest point/click downgrades my totals but upgraded to blizzard warning. 4-6 to 12-18 in 30-40 miles?
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12z HRRR. This is gonna be close for me for sure now
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Of course I don’t realize became would autocorrect to because
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Not for nothing but well before performing arts because the norm for this type Anderson Cooper nearly got decapitated during Dennis.
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3/14/17 was NYC’s last blizzard warning, and also when I saw 27” in 15 hours including 8” in about 90 minutes late that morning. I believe it was 60 about 2 days before.
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If these bands are truly that dynamic, I wonder if we’ll hear a similar report to what I experienced on 3/14/17 with getting 8” inches in about 90 minutes between 9:30-11 AM that day
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Warning hoisted for 6-14”; would anticipate lower end of those amounts for MBY. City east looks very good at this time. I expect a 2’-30” reading somewhere between Tom’s River and Eastern LI
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12z gfs, that cutoff zone is inching closer to me
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Another wild NAM run, starting to look more and more like January 2016 but I get involved on this one. 6-12 seems most plausible for me at this time with the totals skyrocketing further SE from me. My sister and BIL in Westchester may get just as smoked as NYC does.
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Playing a rather dangerous game where I’m at in western Sullivan, either skunked or a slam dunk, only one way to know.
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One thing is for sure: the NAM is clearly cooking up another all timer run.
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Wild swings on these runs. If I end up with a 6-8” caliber accumulation from this and widespread 1-2’+ starts just 50-60 miles southeast again as it was in January 2016, I’d be rather disappointed
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Between 1-2”. Enough to re-whiten the ground
