crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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Indian Lake upstate got 31” so far, so somebody clearly got the goods. Been basically stuck with flurries for the last few hours now
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Then that 10” in Bloomingburg doesn’t seem nearly as dubious, areas to my immediate west are coming in with the same 1-3” range I finished at. Strange. edit: Kiamesha with 10.5 as well, this is going to be one heck of a gradient in just this county then.
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Windsor Massachusetts now up to 28.5” and still going there.
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Finally went for a measure for MBY: 2.5-3” or so, which makes sense. That 10” in bloomingburg seems that much more dubious
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From NWS’s graphical LSRs It may or may not be dubious however, considering the 9999.0 reports from other places this morning lol (I suspect it would be unless other evidence emerges)
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10” in Bloomingburg which is in the easternmost extent of Sullivan and only 20 miles from MSV
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Glad we won’t need to wait long to see near-50 degrees again (if things hold for Thursday-Friday)
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MSV area only at 3.3” and they’ve got 500-600 of elevation on me
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Seeing reports approaching 2’ from Mass/VT, they’re the clear winners of this one. 30+ seems like a certainty and a 40 spot isn’t unrealistic right now for them
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Should be very interesting to see the gradient once the postmortem snowfall maps for this once are made. Seeing obs of 20+ already across parts of Massachusetts and VT/NH and they’ve got quite a ways to go there. 30+ seems a certainty for those areas and a 40 spot may not be too unrealistic at this time meanwhile; still barely 1-2” here and also a barely coated driveway
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That town must be jumping for joy
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Finally snowing at a good enough clip now, but still not making headway for accumulations. Binghamton did cut back their WSW to 5-8/8-15, but once again hard to see how there’d be many reports of that much at least around here.
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3 am check of things confirmed my suspicions; a fairly sizable fail is unfolding here in western Sullivan, it may have finally flipped sure but it’d just seem it was hours too late. Perhaps barely 1-2” or so so far on car tops and grass, even 6+ may be in jeopardy
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IVT has to push hard if we’re getting into anything on our side otherwise we’re busting quite low. BGM never changed from their 9-18 WSW for at least Sullivan
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Euro looks no better, NWS offices probably scrambling to figure out what exactly they should be doing for these afternoon packages Too far southwest and low elevation for the real goods for me
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I would still say 6-12 for me in Sullivan one county north of you both but I would now believe 6-9” would be more common than the 9-12”
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Looks like the last minute reversals back east are happening, pretty standard fare now for this winter At least up here should still see 6-12 I would think
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…like the new GFS that takes me down to 6”, but delivers a 3’ jack to Greene County Roadtrip?
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Still no real certainty despite watches flying now. 8-18” under this watch, but seeing the east camp runs hang on is enough to give pause. We’re still seeing snow regardless, how much continues to shift and change from run to run. In all cases I need to get to at least Hunter elevation to see the real goods
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Not at all a slam dunk for those of us even up here. 8-18, sure, but 18 would be confined to the high elevations, unless the eastern camps win out and leave even us somewhat high and dry. So many moving, confusing parts of this whole evolution
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Looks like I barely saw 3-4” while MSV area picked up anywhere from 6-8”. Power actually went twice this morning for brief periods and there are a shockingly not zero number of outages around, spells trouble wherever the absolutely heaviest snows are Monday-Tuesday
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Starting to look like a close shave for me in western Sullivan which has got me feeling somewhat on edge I’ve had my day in the light with these big storms, and also some painful close calls, in a winter like this it would only be fitting for the one of the last big chances to end up in some kind of whiff/missed potential for even deeper inland folks like myself
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Imagine going from that .2 in Massachusetts to 2’ in the matter of not even 50-60 miles
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Congrats Berks on the opening 12z runs
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From main thread + euro lala land but six years to the exact day would just be too funny of a coincidence
