crossbowftw3
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Everything posted by crossbowftw3
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2.5”, snowing moderately the gradient will be insane as I’m seeing Port Jervis come in with 8.5”
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I’m maybe 35 miles from Port Jervis to the NW and eyeballing MAYBE 2”
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SN, 31/28
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For comparison I have maybe 1-2” 40ish miles north
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This is now 4-8 warning with no more advisories to my north now
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BGM’s 6-12 warning held for me. That no longer makes sense if this is how it will end up. An advisory no longer makes sense either, but I would have switched to one. P&C still suggests around 8”.
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EC somehow trended south again at 12 NWS offices going crazy right now, surely
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These gradient storms are always a bane for me being in the Catskills/just north of 84 where they always lie As always I’ll accept losing one storm or having relatively lesser accumulations just so closer to NYC can cash in once for this winter
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Living right on the other side of the PA border in Sullivan County and these cutoff situations are never great because I’m either seeing 6-12 here or much less with maybe no in between
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12z NAM might make it easier to discount euro could create a situation where I see 6-8, 30-60 miles north gets much less, 30-60 miles southeast gets a widespread 10-12” snow
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Definitely one of the more shocking last second reversals I’ve seen, but I’m fine giving one up if the NYC crowd finally cashes in
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Warning for 6-9” with locally higher totals now
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BGM’s high end map is eye popping. Banding could absolutely get going but don’t buy into the 18-24 shown across this lol 8-12 is a more realistic guess but wouldn’t be shocked to see 12-18 spots at elevation. Should be a blitzing kind of event where it’s in and out within 18 hours
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Watch for 6+ now…let’s lock and load
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Early next week is curious but not placing much stock in it yet
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1-1.5 that compacted into .5” overnight Sunday into yesterday and crusted over with sleet/ice. onto February
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34/27 finally seeing white rain this thing might run out of steam before I see much over 1-2”.
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Should be looking decent up here for a 2-4/3-6 event. i err lower for MBY because this should be elevation driven once again and I’m lower than everywhere else in Sullivan County
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One quick google search says you’re right as Ireland maxes out at around 50 inches of rain in a given year.
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21/16 Snowing at a pretty decent clip, point and click never changed from the 1-3” I’d figured I would always see from this. Given the warmup incoming, probably going into February with around 15-20” for the season to this point. Going to need one heck of a February to meet average (66”) for this season at MSV, that’s for sure
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8 above this morning coldest since I hit 6 below last February
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Looks to be around 2-3” thus far and into heavier returns before this event starts to draw to a close this afternoon. Very good storm for setting the wintry mood while this cold stays around
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14 this morning. Wouldn’t be shocked if maybe Saturday is the coldest we get for this winter. Current p/c has me at 17/11 for Saturday daytime/night
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Further melting overnight into this morning has <1” of pack remaining next would should be good to help rebuild the pack and lock it in especially if model runs prove to pan out and we keep <32 temps for most of the rest of this month
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Held onto maybe 2-3” of pack, winds never got too rough. Onto Friday next week should be interesting. Coldest air of the season, something’s gotta give.
