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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. Not shocking, all things considered
  2. MSV finished more than twice below norms for snow by comparison. In some aspects 2011-12 was worse but in others this past winter takes the cake.
  3. Pretty much. One last act of defiance from old man winter in the winter that both never wanted to start then never wanted to end
  4. My thoughts exact which makes the NAM seem like its off its rocker
  5. NAM seems to still be well out to lunch here. Thinking something not too dissimilar from a blend of everything would make sense here. Which means uh...2-4? Still ridiculous for time of year.
  6. It'll be incredibly eye opening if I wake up to a white ground Saturday. I think north of me and closer to BGM is likely where you move past in air and into accumulations. Razor thin line between accumulations and nothing.
  7. At my elevation not counting for more than 2", considering....but holy cow, never did I expect to be facing snow this late. I thought the snow from the 19th last month was absurd.
  8. Looks almost exactly like last weekend. Higher elevations favored and potentially getting walloped, lower elevations (but still above 500) like me could see a few inches (if that), lowest see nothing.
  9. I can envision a re-opened investigation in due time that reveals EF5 damage.
  10. How many violent tornadoes have occured within the domain of a QLCS? Early morning 4/27 had two high end EF3s, 1/30/13 had a high end EF3, and I believe Harrisburg 2012 was one, so does that make two?
  11. Kinda grainy but here's an out the window shot of what should be the last time I see snow OTG until October at the earliest.
  12. Yep, that's what I'm eyeballing right now. My personal thoughts hit on this one pretty well I'd say.
  13. Haven't gotten good pics but eyeing an inch now in the last 1.5 hours after two hours of snow that failed to accumulate. Band should quickly translate NE leaving me at 3" while providing up to 6" for the elevations.
  14. I'll get what I can with this quickly fading daylight but I'm going to 100% get the finished product by sunrise tomorrow.
  15. You too. Dew point depression is only 1 now at 33/32 which only helps the case for us flipping to a mix by midnight (+-2 hours), just hoping to wake up to some kinda snow OTG.
  16. Sullivan County, 20 minutes north of 84, near the PA border
  17. Only beginning to see slight whitening happen now, with sunset fast approaching things will pick up quickly I think. Still swinging with 2-4, leaning low, for elevation + mixing concerns. 4 is only if we can swing into the 1" rates for maybe an hour or two.
  18. Nothing sticking so far at my location 20 minutes north of 84. Still guessing only 2-4" before the R/S line pushes past me (but likely doesn't get too much further north) and curbs our accumulations
  19. Straddling the PA border in Sullivan County and thus far nothing is sticking. I envision by sunset things will begin to stick. Looking for 2-4 before the warm air punches in and causes us to mix sometime after midnight.
  20. As I figured the warmer ground has made it a struggle to accumulate at hour one thus far. Still thinking 2-4 but not expecting it to start sticking for at least the next hour/the sun going down. Probably would only result in wet roads anyway; who's even wanting to be out given current events anyway?
  21. And the warmer ground kinda goes against me at lower elevation as well, but again it's a win. Going to make sure I get some pics tomorrow morning asap before the melting commences.
  22. Yep, anything counts because it looks like this is it for the next 6+ months. I'm favoring the lower end of that 2-4 for me but if we get into any 1"+ rates for a time it could easily approach the 4".
  23. Got as high as 43/21 by now down to 39/27 with first hints of precip starting. Meat of the snow should be from 6 to midnight then warmer air punches in curbing the snow around here to maybe 2-4 but higher elevations to my north will likely get the advertised 4-7.
  24. Enjoy it up there. At 800' 20 minutes north of 84 hoping for 4" before the warm nose punches in.
  25. Wouldn't doubt it. In air to coast seems more probable.
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