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crossbowftw3

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Everything posted by crossbowftw3

  1. crossbowftw3
    BGM is actually seeing snow? Meanwhile like 90 minutes south of there I'm 43/40 and just raining
  2. crossbowftw3
    Looks like my switch could commence later next week. 10 day forecast slowly surges us up until we hit near-70 by next Saturday and only goes up from there.
  3. crossbowftw3
    Hoping for the best with the squalls. Regardless by Memorial Day we'll all be installing our Air Conditioners and this'll be but a passing memory in the wind as we roast in 80 degree/65+ dew point heat
  4. crossbowftw3
    Pretty much praying for an inch now but tomorrow's squalls look more juicy anyway. Gonna feel like a mid winter day even in between the possible squalls. Hoping whoever has to go on the roads are ready for them.
  5. crossbowftw3
    Still count on a burst of snow but the writing on the wall was pretty evident
  6. crossbowftw3
    18z Euro is (probably) the final nail in the coffin.
  7. crossbowftw3
    Overall though the models are slowly moving away from a more widespread heavier snow which makes sense. still not counting on much more than a 1-3/3-5 deal, yet that doesn't matter as it'll for certain be the latest I've seen snow on record.
  8. crossbowftw3
    Two days before Garfield but three days after Twosday.
  9. crossbowftw3
    The last minute shift SE. Unfortunately quite typical no matter when a storm is on tap Regardless I don't think this has potential for more than 2-4, at least where I'm at this far west. Timing of precip would've needed to be like four or five hours slower to actually have snow. Fast mover too. If there's to be 2-4 it's likelier east of me with far more favorable timing. WPC guidance in lime with my thoughts.
  10. crossbowftw3
    It would be about the same I think, but obviously with (approximately) 2-4x lesser amounts of snow and a plethora of other factors. This isn't that or 1977 but still very eye catching because of the time of year.
  11. crossbowftw3
    Just like last month I'm pretty sure you guys east of the hudson river will do quite well given the overnight timing of the precip. Looking like it's over here by about 6-9z Saturday while everywhere east rages on.
  12. crossbowftw3
    Not shocking, all things considered
  13. crossbowftw3
    MSV finished more than twice below norms for snow by comparison. In some aspects 2011-12 was worse but in others this past winter takes the cake.
  14. crossbowftw3
    Pretty much. One last act of defiance from old man winter in the winter that both never wanted to start then never wanted to end
  15. crossbowftw3
    My thoughts exact which makes the NAM seem like its off its rocker
  16. crossbowftw3
    NAM seems to still be well out to lunch here. Thinking something not too dissimilar from a blend of everything would make sense here. Which means uh...2-4? Still ridiculous for time of year.
  17. crossbowftw3
    It'll be incredibly eye opening if I wake up to a white ground Saturday. I think north of me and closer to BGM is likely where you move past in air and into accumulations. Razor thin line between accumulations and nothing.
  18. crossbowftw3
    At my elevation not counting for more than 2", considering....but holy cow, never did I expect to be facing snow this late. I thought the snow from the 19th last month was absurd.
  19. crossbowftw3
    If that QPF map happens three months ago it's a widespread 1-2' with someone getting 30" Assuming 10:1, though, in this case most of us in low areas should just have a soaker with backend snow maybe?
  20. crossbowftw3
    Once again riding the pine between any accumulations and just a cold rain here in the lower elevations of the Catskills. elevation to my north looks to get smoked
  21. crossbowftw3
    Looks almost exactly like last weekend. Higher elevations favored and potentially getting walloped, lower elevations (but still above 500) like me could see a few inches (if that), lowest see nothing.
  22. crossbowftw3
    I can envision a re-opened investigation in due time that reveals EF5 damage.
  23. crossbowftw3
    How many violent tornadoes have occured within the domain of a QLCS? Early morning 4/27 had two high end EF3s, 1/30/13 had a high end EF3, and I believe Harrisburg 2012 was one, so does that make two?
  24. crossbowftw3
    Kinda grainy but here's an out the window shot of what should be the last time I see snow OTG until October at the earliest.
  25. crossbowftw3
    Yep, that's what I'm eyeballing right now. My personal thoughts hit on this one pretty well I'd say.
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