crossbowftw3

18z Euro is (probably) the final nail in the coffin.

Overall though the models are slowly moving away from a more widespread heavier snow which makes sense. still not counting on much more than a 1-3/3-5 deal, yet that doesn't matter as it'll for certain be the latest I've seen snow on record.

Two days before Garfield but three days after Twosday.

The last minute shift SE. Unfortunately quite typical no matter when a storm is on tap Regardless I don't think this has potential for more than 2-4, at least where I'm at this far west. Timing of precip would've needed to be like four or five hours slower to actually have snow. Fast mover too. If there's to be 2-4 it's likelier east of me with far more favorable timing. WPC guidance in lime with my thoughts.

It would be about the same I think, but obviously with (approximately) 2-4x lesser amounts of snow and a plethora of other factors. This isn't that or 1977 but still very eye catching because of the time of year.

Just like last month I'm pretty sure you guys east of the hudson river will do quite well given the overnight timing of the precip. Looking like it's over here by about 6-9z Saturday while everywhere east rages on.

Not shocking, all things considered

MSV finished more than twice below norms for snow by comparison. In some aspects 2011-12 was worse but in others this past winter takes the cake.

Pretty much. One last act of defiance from old man winter in the winter that both never wanted to start then never wanted to end

My thoughts exact which makes the NAM seem like its off its rocker

NAM seems to still be well out to lunch here. Thinking something not too dissimilar from a blend of everything would make sense here. Which means uh...2-4? Still ridiculous for time of year.

It'll be incredibly eye opening if I wake up to a white ground Saturday. I think north of me and closer to BGM is likely where you move past in air and into accumulations. Razor thin line between accumulations and nothing.

At my elevation not counting for more than 2", considering....but holy cow, never did I expect to be facing snow this late. I thought the snow from the 19th last month was absurd.

If that QPF map happens three months ago it's a widespread 1-2' with someone getting 30" Assuming 10:1, though, in this case most of us in low areas should just have a soaker with backend snow maybe?

Once again riding the pine between any accumulations and just a cold rain here in the lower elevations of the Catskills. elevation to my north looks to get smoked

Looks almost exactly like last weekend. Higher elevations favored and potentially getting walloped, lower elevations (but still above 500) like me could see a few inches (if that), lowest see nothing.

I can envision a re-opened investigation in due time that reveals EF5 damage.

How many violent tornadoes have occured within the domain of a QLCS? Early morning 4/27 had two high end EF3s, 1/30/13 had a high end EF3, and I believe Harrisburg 2012 was one, so does that make two?

Kinda grainy but here's an out the window shot of what should be the last time I see snow OTG until October at the earliest.

Yep, that's what I'm eyeballing right now. My personal thoughts hit on this one pretty well I'd say.

Event working through now, starting to crack the 1" barrier 33/33 still, with another 1-3 to go (presumably) before warmer air forces in and changes this to a mix. Curious to see if the band intensifies as it works downstream.

My small corner of the county is only between 650-900 while most everywhere is above 1,200 (generally MSV north), so in turn we get shafted relative to them. But comparably speaking we do well compared in turn to even lower elevations. It's quite beautiful here, yeah, but some other aspects could be better--tangent for another day. And thank you. Still counting for 2-4 here, and wouldn't be shocked if a simple drive up to MSV reveals over 5" fell there. Sometimes it can feel very abrupt to drive there and it feeling like a whole other world weather wise. Rather curiously while I'm 33/33 MSV isn't that far behind at 32/30. Typically they're a few degrees colder in a setup like this.

Probably more the peaks than anything around here. Lost two hours of accumulations because of how slow the snow was to start sticking.

Close--it's a half hour drive typically (from my house in Narrowsburg to the MSV area) and a change of 300-600' in the positive direction, the original woodstock site is along the way.

Haven't gotten good pics but eyeing an inch now in the last 1.5 hours after two hours of snow that failed to accumulate. Band should quickly translate NE leaving me at 3" while providing up to 6" for the elevations.