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17 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Funny how these storms always seem to do this.  It's like a repeating pattern.  Cant be a coincidence.

The electrical grid is so fragile here that a couple of distant lightning flashes takes the power down lol.

 

 

Our electrical grid is somehow good, at least in my neighborhood specifically, but the lack of storms gets frustrating sometimes. I guess it’s a south shore thing? I haven’t lost power since Sandy here and that was only for 3 days. Even in Isaias and in that big downburst in 2019 (probably the only true severe storm I’ve ever seen here) much of the town lost power but my block came out ok.

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The last 5 days of July are averaging 78degs.(70/86), or +1.0.

Month to date is  76.3[-1.2].         July should end at  76.6[-0.9].

August starts BN, then goes nuts after the 6th. via the GFS, of course.

78*(53%RH) here at 6am, hazy, dirty blue.         83* by Noon.         Sea breeze kept it at 82* almost all afternoon.       Reached 85* at 7pm.

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Nothing for me to confidently post a useful thread through Aug 10.

Today's D! by SPC looks reasonable to me for late today to our N and NW.

I did add the 00z/27 GEFS Aug 10 spaghetti showing just two members w a tiny closed low near 60W, advancing nwwd. That for me is the first modeling admission that the Atlantic Basin may be getting ready to fire. 

Screen Shot 2021-07-27 at 6.14.17 AM.png

Screen Shot 2021-07-27 at 6.03.29 AM.png

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The unusually strong 500 mb anomaly over Canada allowed us to escape the major heat this July that has been common since 2010.

5E925AEE-5740-4F49-8D7A-ED5C90ED1973.gif.2391ea8783265e5781267c7b118db12f.gif
 


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
2021 79.1 5
2020 80.8 0
2019 80.6 0
2018 78.2 0
2017 77.3 0
2016 79.9 0
2015 79.0 0
2014 77.0 0
2013 80.9 0
2012 80.8 0
2011 82.7 0
2010 82.3 0


 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
2021 77.9 5
2020 82.9 0
2019 81.5 0
2018 79.8 0
2017 78.1 0
2016 81.1 0
2015 79.2 0
2014 77.0 0
2013 81.2 0
2012 80.4 0
2011 80.4 0
2010 82.8 0

 

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Morning thoughts…

Today will become mostly sunny and very warm. Some wildfire smoke could dim the sun. Temperatures will rise to the upper 80s and lower 90s in most of the region. A few places could top out in the middle 90s. Likely high temperatures around the region include:

New York City (Central Park): 90°

Newark: 95°

Philadelphia: 94°

Normals:

New York City: 30-Year: 85.0°; 15-Year: 86.1°

Newark: 30-Year: 86.7°; 15-Year: 88.1°

Philadelphia: 30-Year: 87.6°; 15-Year: 88.6°

The heat will break tomorrow and cooler than normal conditions will likely prevail through the weekend.

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Only the 7th time that Newark reached 90°on 27 days by the end of July. It’s also the first time on the list since 1991 that there were so few 90°days in July. So the May and June heat allowed Newark to make it 5th place by the end of July.
 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Season
2010 1 2 13 21 37
1993 0 3 9 22 34
1987 0 4 11 14 29
1994 1 1 10 16 28
2011 0 1 4 22 27
1991 0 8 10 9 27
2021 0 4 12 11 27

 

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59 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Only the 7th time that Newark reached 90°on 27 days by the end of July. It’s also the first time on the list since 1991 that there were so few 90°days in July. So the May and June heat allowed Newark to make it 5th place by the end of July.
 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Season
2010 1 2 13 21 37
1993 0 3 9 22 34
1987 0 4 11 14 29
1994 1 1 10 16 28
2011 0 1 4 22 27
1991 0 8 10 9 27
2021 0 4 12 11 27

 

Newark is having a hot Summer...

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55 minutes ago, uncle W said:

Newark is having a hot Summer...

This was one of the cooler Julys for a top 10 warmest June and July period.

 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jun
Jul
Season
1994 77.8 81.9 79.9
2010 76.2 82.3 79.3
1993 75.8 82.5 79.2
2011 74.5 82.7 78.6
2021 76.2 79.1 77.7
2020 74.4 80.8 77.6
1999 74.2 80.8 77.5
2013 73.3 80.9 77.1
2008 75.3 78.7 77.0
1987 74.4 79.4 76.9
1981 74.6 79.2 76.9

 

 

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19 hours ago, Intensewind002 said:

Our electrical grid is somehow good, at least in my neighborhood specifically, but the lack of storms gets frustrating sometimes. I guess it’s a south shore thing? I haven’t lost power since Sandy here and that was only for 3 days. Even in Isaias and in that big downburst in 2019 (probably the only true severe storm I’ve ever seen here) much of the town lost power but my block came out ok.

It's annoying the outages are becoming more often here.  Nothing extremely long since Sandy which was a 25 hour outage here and of course the outage that took down half the nation and parts of Canada back in August 2004.  But we had an outage of like an hour back in March 2018 I think it was when we had all those snowstorms.  And then we had a weird 2 hour power outage during a total lunar eclipse back in January 2016 when the high winds caused it to go out while temps fell into the single digits.....those are my 2 cold weather power outages.

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8 minutes ago, bluewave said:

This was one of the cooler Julys for a top 10 warmest June and July period.

 

Monthly Mean Avg Temperature for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Jun
Jul
Season
1994 77.8 81.9 79.9
2010 76.2 82.3 79.3
1993 75.8 82.5 79.2
2011 74.5 82.7 78.6
2021 76.2 79.1 77.7
2020 74.4 80.8 77.6
1999 74.2 80.8 77.5
2013 73.3 80.9 77.1
2008 75.3 78.7 77.0
1987 74.4 79.4 76.9
1981 74.6 79.2 76.9

 

 

wasn't 1994 a front loaded hot summer?  much hotter down in Philly where 1993 and 1994 were back to back record hot summers

 

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Only the 7th time that Newark reached 90°on 27 days by the end of July. It’s also the first time on the list since 1991 that there were so few 90°days in July. So the May and June heat allowed Newark to make it 5th place by the end of July.
 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Season
2010 1 2 13 21 37
1993 0 3 9 22 34
1987 0 4 11 14 29
1994 1 1 10 16 28
2011 0 1 4 22 27
1991 0 8 10 9 27
2021 0 4 12 11 27

 

thats crazy wasn't 1991 a record hot summer, tied with 1993 for number of 90 degree days?

it hit 100 twice in July in the city

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2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Only the 7th time that Newark reached 90°on 27 days by the end of July. It’s also the first time on the list since 1991 that there were so few 90°days in July. So the May and June heat allowed Newark to make it 5th place by the end of July.
 

Monthly Number of Days Max Temperature >= 90 for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Season
2010 1 2 13 21 37
1993 0 3 9 22 34
1987 0 4 11 14 29
1994 1 1 10 16 28
2011 0 1 4 22 27
1991 0 8 10 9 27
2021 0 4 12 11 27

 

lol @ May having 8 90 degree highs, no wonder 1991 is tied with 1993 with record 90 degree days

 

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11 hours ago, bluewave said:

The unusually strong 500 mb anomaly over Canada allowed us to escape the major heat this July that has been common since 2010.

5E925AEE-5740-4F49-8D7A-ED5C90ED1973.gif.2391ea8783265e5781267c7b118db12f.gif
 


 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
2021 79.1 5
2020 80.8 0
2019 80.6 0
2018 78.2 0
2017 77.3 0
2016 79.9 0
2015 79.0 0
2014 77.0 0
2013 80.9 0
2012 80.8 0
2011 82.7 0
2010 82.3 0


 

Time Series Summary for LAGUARDIA AIRPORT, NY - Month of Jul
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
Year
Mean Avg Temperature 
Missing Count
2021 77.9 5
2020 82.9 0
2019 81.5 0
2018 79.8 0
2017 78.1 0
2016 81.1 0
2015 79.2 0
2014 77.0 0
2013 81.2 0
2012 80.4 0
2011 80.4 0
2010 82.8 0

 

and the rest of the country is experiencing the heat although it's funny Atlanta and Dallas have had less heat than we have had but they are about to catch up

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On 7/26/2021 at 5:24 PM, bluewave said:

JFK was able to set its highest dew point record of 84° in 2016. But you can see how all the highest records were in recent years. The mid-July 1995 heatwave was impressive for several sites reaching the 100/80 mark. 

6BBE9BF0-4A1C-4182-8A85-27BBF446DE71.thumb.png.dd5798fc0066ad5a584e4b1dea895471.png

 

JFK didn't reach 100 that day :( But I wasn't on Long Island anyway I was in the Poconos where it did reach 100 ha!

I dont even have a/c there but it's so cool at night even when it hits 100 during the day that you don't really need a/c even when it's that hot.  The good thing about being far away from a densely packed highly polluted urban area.

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