• Member Statistics

    16,741
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    STARTRACKTRACKING
    Newest Member
    STARTRACKTRACKING
    Joined
Torch Tiger

April 2021 Discussion

Recommended Posts

24 minutes ago, Bostonseminole said:

GFS looks more like that map, I don't think anyone is humping the EURO, just stating what it shows, GFS definitely much drier.. not sure about other models.. also we are < 96hrs so I would think the EURO would do better than this weekend.

Just think a couple fairly warm days are coming this week. Might not be wire to wire sun , but warmth seems likely 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

The boundary is literally overhead. Good luck pinpointing that. Rain chances for all at some point, could be a soaking too in spots.

Seems like the :stein:areas in NNE where all the fires are burning will be the wettest. Showers SNE but Jack’s wagons north 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

There is the potential for some localized heavy rainfall towards the end of the week while the front approaches. Looks like it becomes fairly parallel to the flow aloft and those are some pretty strong jet dynamics with us in a favorable quadrant for enhanced ulvl divergence. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 hours ago, DavisStraight said:

Whats your best firewood up north, I get tons of red oak and ash down here, I'll burn poplar and pin cherry during shoulder season but I'm pretty stocked up on oak and hickory for the next two years.

Very best is hophornbeam (aka ironwood), a relatively small tree usually beneath the main crown canopy.  (In NNJ "ironwood" was used for an even smaller tree of several other names - blue beech, musclewood.  Hophornbeam was almost unknown there, as blue beech is almost unknown this far north.)  After HH comes red oak, sugar maple and beech, with yellow birch and white ash a tic behind, the latter being the finest of all woods to burn when still green.  "Ash wood green or ash wood dry, a king shall warm his slippers by."  The very opposite is balsam poplar, as one Allagash woodsman noted, "You couldn't afford the oil it would take to burn [green] balm-o-Gilead!"  A co-worker when I lived in Fort Kent wished to learn the age of the BPs in his dooryard, so drilled one with an increment borer, a small brace-and-bit with hollow bit so a small tube of wood could be extracted and rings counted.  He pulled out the extractor and water ran out of the hole for a couple minutes.   (Fresh-cut fir isn't much better.)

Entertaining 12z GFS, 72 hours of near-constant RA totaling a bit more than 0.8" - NNE spring at its finest.

  • Like 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just think a couple fairly warm days are coming this week. Might not be wire to wire sun , but warmth seems likely 

Cloudy with showers...bleh

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

Thermometer might say 57, but the low dew points and wind is making it feel quite brisk.

Thermometer says it's 52 and with a howling wind it's freezing.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, tamarack said:

Very best is hophornbeam (aka ironwood), a relatively small tree usually beneath the main crown canopy.  (In NNJ "ironwood" was used for an even smaller tree of several other names - blue beech, musclewood.  Hophornbeam was almost unknown there, as blue beech is almost unknown this far north.)  After HH comes red oak, sugar maple and beech, with yellow birch and white ash a tic behind, the latter being the finest of all woods to burn when still green.  "Ash wood green or ash wood dry, a king shall warm his slippers by."  The very opposite is balsam poplar, as one Allagash woodsman noted, "You couldn't afford the oil it would take to burn [green] balm-o-Gilead!"  A co-worker when I lived in Fort Kent wished to learn the age of the BPs in his dooryard, so drilled one with an increment borer, a small brace-and-bit with hollow bit so a small tube of wood could be extracted and rings counted.  He pulled out the extractor and water ran out of the hole for a couple minutes.   (Fresh-cut fir isn't much better.)

Entertaining 12z GFS, 72 hours of near-constant RA totaling a bit more than 0.8" - NNE spring at its finest.

We have 7 or 8 ironwoods on the property and sprouts everywhere and they certainly burn magnificently.  But we also have a slew of shagbark hickory and while they take longer to dry, they burn nearly just as well I think.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, dendrite said:

44/23 and gusting into the 30s. Pure hell out there for late April.

Enjoy your summer week.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
17 minutes ago, radarman said:

We have 7 or 8 ironwoods on the property and sprouts everywhere and they certainly burn magnificently.  But we also have a slew of shagbark hickory and while they take longer to dry, they burn nearly just as well I think.

Hickory and white oak are generally in the same heat value class as hophornbeam, as is Osage orange, which rarely exceeds 20' in height.  Black locust is up there as well.  The only hickories within 70 miles of here are some planted shagbarks about 4 miles to my southeast.  Most northerly natural occurrence in Maine is along Rt 1 in Woolwich, across the Kennebec from Bath.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, dendrite said:

I just installed.

High of 43F so far at the ASOS up here.  That’s brutal for the valley at the end of April.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

There is the potential for some localized heavy rainfall towards the end of the week while the front approaches. Looks like it becomes fairly parallel to the flow aloft and those are some pretty strong jet dynamics with us in a favorable quadrant for enhanced ulvl divergence. 

Too bad we don't have an evac mechanism aloft because that 0-3 ... perhaps 6km on Wednesday looks pretty positive in the direction shear... Noting Logan with 160 to 180 Deg and an LI -1 with -4 over LGA at 24 C in the T1 down that way, and ALB now popped to 20 on this 18z NAM ...so the w-boundary is fiddling in the run and could end up a slightly N... SRH ...

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Ryan’s got 80 Wednesday AWT! And 72-77 all next week.

I have 80 because we had 85 yesterday. Didn't want to blow it up entirely. 

  • Haha 4

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
9 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I have 80 because we had 85 yesterday. Didn't want to blow it up entirely. 

So what do you really think? 
And you can’t say” it’s a really tough call” with frontal boundary .

You wouldn’t publicly air 80 unless you felt very confident . You’re the chief met . It’s your call 

  • Haha 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, Damage In Tolland said:

So what do you really think? 
And you can’t say” it’s a really tough call” with frontal boundary 

S and W areas look the warmest......

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So what do you really think? 
And you can’t say” it’s a really tough call” with frontal boundary .

You wouldn’t publicly air 80 unless you felt very confident . You’re the chief met . It’s your call 

Brush fire all around! 

  • Haha 5

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

18z American guidance attempted to edge N with the wavy front Wed ... Friday.   NAM now ops to drop it down Friday and drill a humid rainy messy low circulation straight through, ... but the GFS takes Friday's low up the St L. Seaway and really sends us soaring first dp mid or upper 60s under 80s style warm sector.  

Then next week, the GFS goes flat ..all fields and really whisks the front/ .. air mass rapidly out and replaces with above normal heights/ flat ridging by D8-10 ... 582 dm IND-LGA ...

Typical at that range, it has trouble loading warm thickness into the higher heights so suspect that 558 dm ends up 564 D7 ish...  Different look overall then the Euro's cold 850 mb insert -

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.