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April 2021 Discussion


Torch Tiger
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1 hour ago, tamarack said:

Very best is hophornbeam (aka ironwood), a relatively small tree usually beneath the main crown canopy.  (In NNJ "ironwood" was used for an even smaller tree of several other names - blue beech, musclewood.  Hophornbeam was almost unknown there, as blue beech is almost unknown this far north.)  After HH comes red oak, sugar maple and beech, with yellow birch and white ash a tic behind, the latter being the finest of all woods to burn when still green.  "Ash wood green or ash wood dry, a king shall warm his slippers by."  The very opposite is balsam poplar, as one Allagash woodsman noted, "You couldn't afford the oil it would take to burn [green] balm-o-Gilead!"  A co-worker when I lived in Fort Kent wished to learn the age of the BPs in his dooryard, so drilled one with an increment borer, a small brace-and-bit with hollow bit so a small tube of wood could be extracted and rings counted.  He pulled out the extractor and water ran out of the hole for a couple minutes.   (Fresh-cut fir isn't much better.)

Entertaining 12z GFS, 72 hours of near-constant RA totaling a bit more than 0.8" - NNE spring at its finest.

We have 7 or 8 ironwoods on the property and sprouts everywhere and they certainly burn magnificently.  But we also have a slew of shagbark hickory and while they take longer to dry, they burn nearly just as well I think.

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17 minutes ago, radarman said:

We have 7 or 8 ironwoods on the property and sprouts everywhere and they certainly burn magnificently.  But we also have a slew of shagbark hickory and while they take longer to dry, they burn nearly just as well I think.

Hickory and white oak are generally in the same heat value class as hophornbeam, as is Osage orange, which rarely exceeds 20' in height.  Black locust is up there as well.  The only hickories within 70 miles of here are some planted shagbarks about 4 miles to my southeast.  Most northerly natural occurrence in Maine is along Rt 1 in Woolwich, across the Kennebec from Bath.

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2 hours ago, weatherwiz said:

There is the potential for some localized heavy rainfall towards the end of the week while the front approaches. Looks like it becomes fairly parallel to the flow aloft and those are some pretty strong jet dynamics with us in a favorable quadrant for enhanced ulvl divergence. 

Too bad we don't have an evac mechanism aloft because that 0-3 ... perhaps 6km on Wednesday looks pretty positive in the direction shear... Noting Logan with 160 to 180 Deg and an LI -1 with -4 over LGA at 24 C in the T1 down that way, and ALB now popped to 20 on this 18z NAM ...so the w-boundary is fiddling in the run and could end up a slightly N... SRH ...

 

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9 minutes ago, CT Rain said:

I have 80 because we had 85 yesterday. Didn't want to blow it up entirely. 

So what do you really think? 
And you can’t say” it’s a really tough call” with frontal boundary .

You wouldn’t publicly air 80 unless you felt very confident . You’re the chief met . It’s your call 

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10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

So what do you really think? 
And you can’t say” it’s a really tough call” with frontal boundary .

You wouldn’t publicly air 80 unless you felt very confident . You’re the chief met . It’s your call 

Brush fire all around! 

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18z American guidance attempted to edge N with the wavy front Wed ... Friday.   NAM now ops to drop it down Friday and drill a humid rainy messy low circulation straight through, ... but the GFS takes Friday's low up the St L. Seaway and really sends us soaring first dp mid or upper 60s under 80s style warm sector.  

Then next week, the GFS goes flat ..all fields and really whisks the front/ .. air mass rapidly out and replaces with above normal heights/ flat ridging by D8-10 ... 582 dm IND-LGA ...

Typical at that range, it has trouble loading warm thickness into the higher heights so suspect that 558 dm ends up 564 D7 ish...  Different look overall then the Euro's cold 850 mb insert -

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2 hours ago, Typhoon Tip said:

Too bad we don't have an evac mechanism aloft because that 0-3 ... perhaps 6km on Wednesday looks pretty positive in the direction shear... Noting Logan with 160 to 180 Deg and an LI -1 with -4 over LGA at 24 C in the T1 down that way, and ALB now popped to 20 on this 18z NAM ...so the w-boundary is fiddling in the run and could end up a slightly N... SRH ...

 

maybe some strong AM storms with the warm front north of the Pike. A wasted EML though...actually moves overhead during peak heating. Actually would be a solid severe threat W NY/W PA if the EML remained overhead there but it moves into our area by peak heating

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