Buddy1987 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Man what a surprise! In my office went downstairs and it is absolutely ripping out there! Solid 1/2” easily on all surfaces. Nice to see some snow in the end here. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 1 minute ago, H2O said: It’s still raining here despite this Yeah this makes no difference wrt sensible weather.The mid level warming is legit. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 That is a pretty nice slug of moisture down south. Who knows if it will hold together for us though. Either way I am perfectly content. I missed snow so much. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Nasty rain with some sleet pellets. This will freeze up and be a mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thanatos_I_Am Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Glad I got a few hours of fatties. Feels good to be back on the board, even if it’s all washed away now. Let’s keep this momentum going into the end of the month. Maybe we can get one where nobody feels left out! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 I want some pivot love 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 9 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Don't look now, but SPC mesoanalysis has the surface low at 1000mb off the mouth of Chesapeake, well east of any of the warmer NAMs, eta. Too late. Damage is done. I have no idea how a storm that far south and east with a decent high to the north would flood us with warm air like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 39 minutes ago, Disc said: Officially all snow. Big fat flakes. No sleet or freezing rain. 31 degrees. Yesssss Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ers-wxman1 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Don't look now, but SPC mesoanalysis has the surface low at 1000mb off the mouth of Chesapeake, well east of any of the warmer NAMs, eta. Best forcing and dynamics will be going north of our area. Wrap around CAA is always tricky. Areas closer to the Mason Dixon line would do better than areas further south. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Starting to get transformer/wires calls in the area. Power bliped for a hot second. 0.1" zr. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Flipped here back to snow, no big fatties, but I'll take snow over sleet/freezing rain any day. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: Starting to get transformer/wires calls in the area. Power bliped for a hot second. 0.1" zr. where are you located? Wondering if school systems will cancel online learning tomorrow. Is it supposed to get windy over night? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 People expecting an additional 3-4” from the pivot are overly optimistic. Ain’t happening. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 11 minutes ago, Jeff B said: Around 5.5”. I measured a bit after the sleet started That’s a very solid total for the first round. Hopefully 8” will be within reach if the backside delivers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, CAPE said: Yeah this makes no difference wrt sensible weather.The mid level warming is legit. My temp has rocketed up since 3pm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yeoman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: where are you located? Wondering if school systems will cancel online learning tomorrow. Is it supposed to get windy over night? Canceling online learning because of weather.. this country is definitely screwed 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 6 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Too late. Damage is done. I have no idea how a storm that far south and east with a decent high to the north would flood us with warm air like this. We never had a closed 850 low to cut off the flood of Altantic air. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Imgoinhungry said: where are you located? Wondering if school systems will cancel online learning tomorrow. Is it supposed to get windy over night? Reisterstown, MD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2nd change of the CoCoRaHS gauge today for precip change.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Just now, Eskimo Joe said: We never had a closed 850 low to cut off the flood of Altantic air. Until now, which of course is too late. But you'll see the 850 line push east again in the next 2-3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Imgoinhungry Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Yeoman said: Canceling online learning because of weather.. this country is definitely screwed lol. Just wondering if power outages will be a disruption. Not enough snow I suppose. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 22Z HRRR does fill in the dryslot and hit us again this evening. Interesting storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eskimo Joe Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, DDweatherman said: Until now, which of course is too late. But you'll see the 850 line push east again in the next 2-3 hours. Yea it's a total nowcasting situation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
high risk Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 28 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: I'm liking our chances on the backside forumwide. That stuff over RNK's area is looking nice. I am on board with those chances, but if you look at the simulated radars, the stuff near RNK actually comes through as another round of RA/IP/ZR later this evening. The potential snow band just after midnight seems to form out over eastern WV with the upper trough axis and then rotates through our area. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PivotPoint Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 2 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said: Yea it's a total nowcasting situation. By the time the mid-levels return to snow sounding, all the forcing will be to our N/NE And we’ll be left with light snow and quick drying layers. Those from Winchester on wmeast are mostly done. Winchester might pull 1-2 more inches but lessburg on East is mostly snow tv wth any backside moisture that falls as snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted December 16, 2020 Author Share Posted December 16, 2020 Cleaned off my snowboard to get ready for the backside lovin’ 6 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthArlington101 Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 3 minutes ago, high risk said: I am on board with those chances, but if you look at the simulated radars, the stuff near RNK actually comes through as another round of RA/IP/ZR later this evening. The potential snow band just after midnight seems to form out over eastern WV with the upper trough axis and then rotates through our area. yeah, per HRRR, 850s definitely have not recovered by the time that first band/stuff swings through, which is a shame cause it's fairly heavy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 7 minutes ago, osfan24 said: Too late. Damage is done. I have no idea how a storm that far south and east with a decent high to the north would flood us with warm air like this. Look at h5 vorticity/trough axis and orientation. The general idea going back a week or more was a trough going negative tilt to our west. I knew if that idea held, with ridging out in front, and a warm atlantic, my yard was fuucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 10 minutes ago, H2O said: My temp has rocketed up since 3pm. 34 to 40 here. Down a degree to 39 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted December 16, 2020 Share Posted December 16, 2020 Had a bit of a lull/non accumulating pixie earlier. Currently 21 with very fine snow...it looks like a downpour in the deck lights. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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