• Member Statistics

    15,537
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Gino27
    Newest Member
    Gino27
    Joined
Kmlwx

2019 Mid-Atlantic Severe Wx - General Discussion

Recommended Posts

4 minutes ago, mappy said:

did you find each other on a subreddit? i feel like thats hard to do with the amount of users, depending on subreddit

I did find him lol it happened in the lamest way possible since it is our local subreddit for Columbia MD but still, it was pretty funny :D

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, high risk said:

should be feeling the influence of that arriving shortwave over the next few hours, but as the MPD notes, the guidance really likes DC and points south (maybe we can say Rockville to Columbia and points south, based on HRRR trends?)  for the most coverage.    Maybe not looking so good for north-central MD.

Why's the SPC have the slight risk over the eastern - northeast areas if most of the guidance shows the southern areas getting hit?

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, mappy said:

did you find each other on a subreddit? i feel like thats hard to do with the amount of users, depending on subreddit

I should probably change my username on there...too easy to be doxxed. 

I figuratively pooped myself when I got a PM on reddit last night addressing me by name. 

  • Haha 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, AmericanWxFreak said:

I did find him lol it happened in the lamest way possible since it is our local subreddit for Columbia MD but still, it was pretty funny :D

Easily the most stalkerish thing that's happened to me on there since I joined years ago. I always try to be careful - especially posting stuff about my job in the sysadmin subreddit. High five on making me paranoid before bed last night. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Kmlwx said:

I should probably change my username on there...too easy to be doxxed. 

I figuratively pooped myself when I got a PM on reddit last night addressing me by name. 

thats why i dont bother hiding who i am most places. i'm pretty easy to find if someone wanted to "doxx" me. 

Roll-Safe-Think-About-It.jpg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
22 minutes ago, JakkelWx said:

Why's the SPC have the slight risk over the eastern - northeast areas if most of the guidance shows the southern areas getting hit?

 

             guidance has the southern areas getting hit with the greatest coverage of storms.    that has nothing to do with severe potential.    any storms to the northeast will be in a better environment for svr;  it's just the the best threat may be more towards PHL and NJ.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
7 minutes ago, high risk said:

             guidance has the southern areas getting hit with the greatest coverage of storms.    that has nothing to do with severe potential.    any storms to the northeast will be in a better environment for svr;  it's just the the best threat may be more towards PHL and NJ.

Guidance holding out quite nicely as numerous storms are popping to the south as expected. Seems like farther north has more discrete cell potential where the SLGT risk is. Literally nothing right now though.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
53 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

Looks like the Richmond area will be rockin again today. 

We've gotten plenty of the rain but been awhile since we had a good, strong storm. Most of those have missed us to the north or south. Maybe we'll get one today. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Doesn’t look promising right now. Radar is rather pathetic...at least we have filtered sunshine...makes the humidity bearable :lol:

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Radar is totally dead around the metro DC area. Looks like hrrr nailed it. The trash clouds around all day didn't help. Hopefully we see some activity pop locally. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, dailylurker said:

Radar is totally dead around the metro DC area. Looks like hrrr nailed it. The trash clouds around all day didn't help. Hopefully we see some activity pop locally. 

I'm sitting at 88F.  I'm not so sure it is because of a lack of heating. I thought there were disturbances that would kick off storms? Perhaps whatever is at the VA/NC border is stealing all of the dynamics from our area? Or is that feature supposed to cycle through our area after 8pm tonight? It looks to be moving north. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, yoda said:

If you read the AFD... you would see they said 4pm to 7pm for development 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

    I see lots of giving up on today's storms, but the HRRR (and NAM nest) continue to blow up a lot of storms for the area over the next few hours as the forcing from the shortwave arrives, and boundaries become active.

  • Like 1
  • Thanks 2

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
32 minutes ago, high risk said:

    I see lots of giving up on today's storms, but the HRRR (and NAM nest) continue to blow up a lot of storms for the area over the next few hours as the forcing from the shortwave arrives, and boundaries become active.

Maybe a line will form an connect the southern storms with the northern ones. But then again that's just my weenie-ism talking.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
34 minutes ago, high risk said:

    I see lots of giving up on today's storms, but the HRRR (and NAM nest) continue to blow up a lot of storms for the area over the next few hours as the forcing from the shortwave arrives, and boundaries become active.

Some of the folks here are like my dad sometimes. "It's not gonna rain.. there is nothing showing on radar anywhere close!".

Ofc, he is not a weather hobbyist and does not understand concepts like surface convergence/upper level divergence, vorticity max, etc.

  • Like 1

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
12 minutes ago, adelphi_sky said:

That cell approaching Warrenton looks like it could grow big and nasty in the next 30 minutes. 

Good call... now SVR warned

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
25 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Small shelf cloud warning!

 

fc15eab7738295b1851a7a4b4bfd929b.jpg&key=6c52c5ffa77f66b2abc4a8b54dedbbff26a4e5352fae67f9d04cb4c28d3f72ad

 

looking south

It’s a big rain producer! Drove through it as it was coming through Haymarket.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.