aldie 22 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: Looks like I will have to charter a boat, head offshore 150 miles, and drop anchor for a month or so. I think the map is crooked 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: I think the map is crooked Looks right. Someone named Deb drew it. Epically awful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 It's like it is everyone's mission to give Ji a heart attack....leave the poor guy alone.I dont even like snow...I like it on models 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 This has to be the most epic -ao/nao panel i've ever seen. Possible that 09-10 had something similar but holy crap this is an extreme block 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterymix Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Ji said: 30 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: It's like it is everyone's mission to give Ji a heart attack....leave the poor guy alone. I dont even like snow...I like it on models The rich vein of sophisticated humor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowmagnet Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 34 minutes ago, C.A.P.E. said: 4 ft in NC, 3 in central VA. Still around 10" for you tho Nooo!!!! It’s just a control run, right? I’m just gonna blame it on the shutdown. That seems reasonable. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: This has to be the most epic -ao/nao panel i've ever seen. Possible that 09-10 had something similar but holy crap this is an extreme block I find it hard to believe that won’t feature some snow. That’s like movong the North Pole over the MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 9 minutes ago, BristowWx said: Looks right. Someone named Deb drew it. Epically awful. There is just no way that verifies. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, C.A.P.E. said: There is just no way that verifies. No. It won’t if that h5 map verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WhiteoutMD Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 10 minutes ago, Ji said: 36 minutes ago, leesburg 04 said: It's like it is everyone's mission to give Ji a heart attack....leave the poor guy alone. I dont even like snow...I like it on models 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 The Control run is always entertaining. Its the op jacked up on steroids. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
poolz1 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Can already see the pattern breaking down by day 46....uh oh (in Bob's voice) In all seriousness....this was a nice run to come home to. Epic almost doesn't do it justice. The most stable look to the weeklies I have ever seen....in years past even the crap patterns show signs of life somewhere in the run....wall to wall blocking for our meat and potatoes part of met winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 minutes ago, WhiteoutMD said: I think we found a new moderator. Her name is Stormy of course. Has to be. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 hours ago, psuhoffman said: I'm hearing the weeklies have even more blocking. Not sure how that's possible. Last run was almost perfect. Epic patterns are severely overrated. Too much of a good thing is rarely ever a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Ralph Wiggum said: Epic patterns are severely overrated. Too much of a good thing is rarely ever a good thing. Congrats atlanta Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Maestrobjwa Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 16 minutes ago, Bob Chill said: This has to be the most epic -ao/nao panel i've ever seen. Possible that 09-10 had something similar but holy crap this is an extreme block I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scraff Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, Ralph Wiggum said: Epic patterns are severely overrated. Too much of a good thing is rarely ever a good thing. That’s in the Anti-Weenie Book I just read. Only takes......mmmmmmm....about 2 weeks to read it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 4 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) That panel right there would be congrats SC. eta- more like Savannah, GA 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris78 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 3 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) Yes there can be. That's why 2009/2010 was epic down here and the North East missed out on some of the action. If it's too strong it could force the storm track through south/north carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 hour ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) Oh yeah. It happens occasionally. That was one of the big concerns with 09-10. But everything just lined up perfect for our area. That map Bob just posted would most likely mean very cold and dry. The good thing is once that pattern starts breaking down we can get hammered as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) I will take my chances with too much blocking any time. We are too far south to really worry about that on a large scale. Yes we lose to our south but most times north trends and temp issues are way more prevalent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Dear lord you have to stop worrying maestro. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, North Balti Zen said: Dear lord you have to stop worrying maestro. Oh he's just asking questions to learn silly 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 Just now, Chris78 said: Yes there can be. That's why 2009/2010 was epic down here and the North East missed out on some of the action. If it's too strong it could force the storm track through south/north carolina. The stronger El Nino that year also had something to do with it as well I believe. We do better in moderate El Nino, even low end strong I believe. That 46 day snowfall does not concern me. We have some of our best projected indices in the long range, we should score. Not too mention, a possible HA event or too during any phase change. Maybe that even happens a couple times. later Jan and Feb . I will take my chances on a high impact storm. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 12 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said: I hesitate to ask this because ya might troll me for the rest of the season, but because I'm still learning, real question: Have there been winters where there was TOO much blocking? (so that everything was far south? I mean I couldn't tell whether you were serious about that, lol) There was at least 1 in the 70s. Cant remember the exact year. Bay froze over but barely snowed. One of the walking encyclopedias on here can share details. Overall, one of the last things i'm going to worry about is too much blocking. It doesnt even make the worry list honestly 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 This weekend looked like a lock for a rainstorm just a few days ago. It will be interesting to see what happens with the next precip maker in line next week. That is also showing up as rain but has already started to trend colder. Very interesting transition phase we're in. It's pretty rare to go from a stable pac puke pattern right into one with threats on the front side. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 41 minutes ago, winterymix said: The rich vein of sophisticated humor... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 5 minutes ago, frd said: The stronger El Nino that year also had something to do with it as well I believe. We do better in moderate El Nino, even low end strong I believe. That 46 day snowfall does not concern me. We have some of our best projected indices in the long range, we should score. Not too mention, a possible HA event or too during any phase change. Maybe that even happens a couple times. later Jan and Feb . I will take my chances on a high impact storm. The 46 day ens mean is really good. I've never seen back to back 10"+ means on the weeklies unless there is a good event inside of 15 days. The last 2 weekly runs are a the best I've ever seen with pattern and snowfall output. With long rage stuff it's always best to only look at h5 and make educated guesses. I can't imagine not getting at least one substantial storm in Feb if blocking materializes as advertised 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frd Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 1 minute ago, Bob Chill said: The 46 day ens mean is really good. I've never seen back to back 10"+ means on the weeklies unless there is a good event inside of 15 days. The last 2 weekly runs are a the best I've ever seen with pattern and snowfall output. With long rage stuff it's always best to only look at h5 and make educated guesses. I can't imagine not getting at least one substantial storm in Feb if blocking materializes as advertised Thanks, you made my night, coming from you that is a positive! Hopefully we all score, and what a turn of events, right. I know we have nothing to prove for it yet, but honestly about a week ago or more folks were really cancelling winter. If things pan out even close to the weeklies we will remember this late blooming winter for a long time. I agree we have to get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted January 8, 2019 Share Posted January 8, 2019 2 hours ago, AfewUniversesBelowNormal said: For one we can't seem to supress the Hadley Cell in the Pacific 1 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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