• Member Statistics

    16,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    InsulationProsofColorado
    Newest Member
    InsulationProsofColorado
    Joined
Sign in to follow this  
Rtd208

November 2017 Discussions & Observations Thread

Recommended Posts

With a 5 pm reading of 41° at Central Park and the guidance, it appears likely that Central Park will see its first readings of the season in the 30s later this evening or tomorrow. The first such reading on November 7 or 8 would be the latest date for a sub-40° reading since 1994. The first reading below 40° occurred on November 11 in 1994. That temperature was 38°.

Such a late reading does not necessarily indicate that New York City and the surrounding region would see very little snowfall. Snowfall amounts for New York City for winters following the first reading in the 30s on November 7 or later were as follows:

1898 (November 11): 55.9”
1916 (November 12): 50.7”
1938 (November 15): 37.3”
1943 (November 9): 23.8”
1946 (November 13): 30.6” (October mean: 61.7°)
1955 (November 8): 33.5”
1961 (November 9): 18.1” (October mean: 61.1°)
1971 (November 7): 22.9” (October mean: 62.7°)
1977 (November 12): 50.7”
1994 (November 11): 11.8”

 

  • Like 3

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

NYC is on track for its first record low temperature in November since 1976 . Pretty impressive considering how much colder September and October 1976 were than this year. Almost like a November version of the February 2016 record cold following such an historic warm pattern.

 

5a023cc573187_Screenshot2017-11-07at6_04_01PM.png.d0df820c9d8ed92c404e3c7e57d8cee1.png

 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Look at that precip break on the radar currently on the SS, a bad joke. 

Pretty cool to think it’s snowing at the top of 432 park ave at 1396’. The billionaire that owns that pent house probably could give a crap about weather 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

1967 has the record low for the 15th...it hit 20 just before midnight and stayed there for a few hours before rising before dawn...it did not get that cold again until early January when NYC had one of its coldest weeks on record...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

NYC is on track for its first record low temperature in November since 1976 . Pretty impressive considering how much colder September and October 1976 were than this year. Almost like a November version of the February 2016 record cold following such an historic warm pattern.

 

5a023cc573187_Screenshot2017-11-07at6_04_01PM.png.d0df820c9d8ed92c404e3c7e57d8cee1.png

 

 

Amazing how those record lows really drop off after the 15th

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Do you think there is a possibility at a trace of snow at any of the NYC observing stations? I think the temperature is still going down here. It would be cool to have the first trace of snow in NYC so early.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Do you think there is a possibility at a trace of snow at any of the NYC observing stations? I think the temperature is still going down here. It would be cool to have the first trace of snow in NYC so early.

today is the 5 year anniversary of the post-sandy snowstorm.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
5 minutes ago, danstorm said:

If this were a month later, would have been a surprise 4-8" NAM special.  

Maybe 2 or 3 weeks. Anyway, the late NW jog on guidance is something to keep in mind going forward.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, SI Mailman said:
1 hour ago, ThatHurricane said:
Do you think there is a possibility at a trace of snow at any of the NYC observing stations? I think the temperature is still going down here. It would be cool to have the first trace of snow in NYC so early.
 

today is the 5 year anniversary of the post-sandy snowstorm.

Measured 7" here...quite the stretch of weather.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I got 7" where I lived on Staten Island at the time...here is a list of first snows for NYC since 1947...

 

Year.....trace.....0.1"

1947...11/15...12/10

1948...11/29...12/15

1949...11/18...11/27

 

1950...11/21...12/16

1951...11/03...12/15

1952...10/21...10/21

1953...11/06...11/06

1954...11/02...12/21

1955...11/19...11/19

1956...11/23...12/09

1957...11/23...12/03

1958...11/03...12/08

1959...11/29...11/29

 

1960...10/24...12/11

1961...11/09...12/09

1962...10/26...12/09

1963...11/30...12/12

1964...12/06...12/06

1965...10/28...01/20

1966...12/02...12/21

1967...11/07...11/30

1968...11/12...12/15

1969...11/30...12/25

 

1970...12/05...12/15

1971...11/10...01/05

1972...10/18...01/29 latest date for first 0.1"+...

1973...12/11...12/16

1974...11/25...11/25

1975...11/14...12/22

1976...11/29...12/25

1977...11/12...11/27

1978...11/21...11/27

1979...10/10...12/19 earliest date for first trace...

 

1980...11/17...12/15

1981...12/06...12/11

1982...12/11...12/12

1983...11/25...12/22

1984...11/13...12/05

1985...11/16...12/05

1986...11/05...12/09

1987...11/06...11/11

1988...12/10...12/13

1989...11/22...11/22

 

1990...12/05...12/27

1991...11/08...12/05

1992...12/11...12/12

1993...11/20...12/11

1994...11/23...01/11

1995...11/12...11/29

1996...11/14...11/28

1997...11/14...01/18

1998...12/23...12/23

1999...12/27...01/20

 

2000...10/29...12/08

2001...12/17...01/07

2002...10/29...12/05

2003...12/05...12/05

2004...11/13...12/19

2005...11/24...12/04

2006...01/10...01/19 latest date for the first trace...

2007...11/19...12/02

2008...11/20...12/16

2009...12/05...12/19

 

2010...11/08...12/14

2011...10/29...10/29

2012...11/07...11/07

2013...11/12...12/08

2014...11/13...11/26

2015...12/28...01/17

2016...11/20...12/11

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 hour ago, Ericjcrash said:

Maybe 2 or 3 weeks. Anyway, the late NW jog on guidance is something to keep in mind going forward.

Same thing happened early last season, nam went on stretch nailing the first 3-4 light events to start off the season before failing miserably on a learner event, these boundary layer events alsways seem to get picked up well by the nam

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
Sign in to follow this  

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    No registered users viewing this page.