WinterWolf Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: Back to moderate snow, large flakes...the storm that just won't quit over here. Just measured again after that last burst went through, 3.5 inches in Southington. Nice event here for sure. Wonder if that burst down by you now makes it up this way?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I looked to the west and it looked pretty shredded to me... but it was obvious after you pointed it out that I was looking in the wrong place. We ended up getting a nice burst of heavy snow... I have no problem admitting I messed up on that.. I'll own it... part of the learning process I'm busting. Your area did look good for round 1 though. Good warm advection, nice soundings etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: I looked to the west and it looked pretty shredded to me... but it was obvious after you pointed it out that I was looking in the wrong place. We ended up getting a nice burst of heavy snow... I have no problem admitting I messed up on that.. I'll own it... part of the learning process You don't look at anything other than a cursory glance of snow maps and qpf. You did it on the blizzard and this one. You downplay every single snow event. Never promote or pump or hype and it's just a terrible way to go thru life Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 These quick hitters on very cold days are a recipe for bad road conditions. Greased from the get go today. Understand that there are more smaller events but this data from Wisconsin is pretty evident of why it's not the huge storms we need so much attention on road wise,its these little guys. I hope NWS and DOT really start stressing and laying down the salt for the little ones Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 3 minutes ago, WinterWolf said: Just measured again after that last burst went through, 3.5 inches in Southington. Nice event here for sure. Wonder if that burst down by you now makes it up this way?? It is on the move northeast but weakened a bit, you should see a nice little burst shortly or right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 31, 2017 Share Posted January 31, 2017 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: These quick hitters on very cold days are a recipe for bad road conditions. Greased from the get go today. Understand that there are more smaller events but this data from Wisconsin is pretty evident of why it's not the huge storms we need so much attention on road wise,its these little guys. I hope NWS and DOT really start stressing and laying down the salt for the little ones Makes sense...it's the little ones that catch folks off guard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
geo1 Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 1 hour ago, ORH_wxman said: The precip is basically going to blossom over SNE...you'll see some hints out in NY State, but you can't entirely just extrapolate radar eastward right now. And yes, the IVT is the wildcard...maybe it produces and maybe it doesn't....if it does, someone lucky (prob NE MA or somewhere close) will get a nice surprise overnight. Thanks Will Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWolf Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 6 minutes ago, The 4 Seasons said: It is on the move northeast but weakened a bit, you should see a nice little burst shortly or right now Lol and what do you know..it just started snowing again. Good call 4 Seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: These quick hitters on very cold days are a recipe for bad road conditions. Greased from the get go today. Understand that there are more smaller events but this data from Wisconsin is pretty evident of why it's not the huge storms we need so much attention on road wise,its these little guys. I hope NWS and DOT really start stressing and laying down the salt for the little ones That's not our call. And it's not like this light snow wasn't forecast. But it's definitely the small, untreated events with complacent drivers that do the most damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, OceanStWx said: That's not our call. And it's not like this light snow wasn't forecast. But it's definitely the small, untreated events with complacent drivers that do the most damage. People are dumb. The nws and all their social science stuff can't fix stupid. If some meatball in a F150 wants to do 75 on a snow covered road and cause a 80 car pileup...nothing you can do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MarkO Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 18 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: I'm busting. Your area did look good for round 1 though. Good warm advection, nice soundings etc. Are you the Nor in Norlun? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 4 minutes ago, MarkO said: Are you the Nor in Norlun? My name is, I am not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 In hindsight, I overestimated round 1 at BOS. I thought they would do better than .25" Seems like they'll come in on the low side for this one. Round 2 is looking rather meager at least for now in that area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Seems like 6z RGEM had a great handle from all the 6z runs if one was making a call in the morning. At least through now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: My name is, I am not. WEIr NoguEIra has a better ring to it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Scott it looks like it's going to start to enhance around the coast now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 2 minutes ago, dendrite said: WEIr NoguEIra has a better ring to it Very very clever. I give you credit for not butchering the spelling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 1 minute ago, sbos_wx said: Scott it looks like it's going to start to enhance around the coast now We may see some bands or cellular stuff start over the water and slowly move west. The question is, how does weak low pressure develop? Does it start near BOS and give a quick burst for a couple of hours before moving NE or is it more towards BVY or offshore? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Yeah the RGEM did well with this for the NYC metro. All the other models had this north of NYC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Just now, CoastalWx said: We may see some bands or cellular stuff start over the water and slowly move west. The question is, how does weak low pressure develop? Does it start near BOS and give a quick burst for a couple of hours before moving NE or is it more towards BVY or offshore? Yeah going with a blend of modeling you would expect an inch or two at BOS and 2-4" additional at Cape Ann. I'm leaning toward 101 Seacoast for invt due to trends today on mesos. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Nice blossomer overhead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted February 1, 2017 Author Share Posted February 1, 2017 Just a steady light snow falling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Big bust here. Maybe the later stuff gives us a little somethin somethin but I am not too optimistic. 0.7". Pretty flakes though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spanks45 Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 2.2 inches here with a nice light snow falling at the moment....24.6 degrees Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 2" in Danbury. cant see any more accums just mood snows now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 51 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: You don't look at anything other than a cursory glance of snow maps and qpf. You did it on the blizzard and this one. You downplay every single snow event. Never promote or pump or hype and it's just a terrible way to go thru life That's not really true, but thanks for the input. I prefer not to focus on everything that "could" go right. If that is your preference, fine.. no issues with that. Sometimes it pays to be a little conservative and not always jump to the best case scenario. I felt like today was one of those days..and it worked out fairly well, admittedly I may have been a bit low though. If I remember correctly... the storm In early jan def fell below some expectations... especially out west. This area did well... but overall... I fee like the storm disappointed. and as an aside... is someone being pessimistic every event any different than people who will ride whatever model prints the most snow for them? Both extremes are usually incorrect Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Light snow continues to fall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
8611Blizz Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 34 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: In hindsight, I overestimated round 1 at BOS. I thought they would do better than .25" Seems like they'll come in on the low side for this one. Round 2 is looking rather meager at least for now in that area. This is what really hurts in low snow years, low busts. It's not just that this area is doing badly but in comparison to nearby area's we are falling behind fast and faster. I know nobody here is doing really well but this area has been getting a serious hosing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 3.5" here with a steady light snow still falling. Think we have a shot at 4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted February 1, 2017 Share Posted February 1, 2017 Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said: That's not really true, but thanks for the input. I prefer not to focus on everything that "could" go right. If that is your preference, fine.. no issues with that. Sometimes it pays to be a little conservative and not always jump to the best case scenario. I felt like today was one of those days..and it worked out fairly well, admittedly I may have been a bit low though. If I remember correctly... the storm In early jan def fell below some expectations... especially out west. This area did well... but overall... I fee like the storm disappointed. and as an aside... is someone being pessimistic every event any different than people who will ride whatever model prints the most snow for them? Both extremes are usually incorrect My Outlook $hit the bed in January...unequivocally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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