Bostonseminole Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Raul, put the crack pipe down. I have .75". We have QPF Queens, but we also have Mid Level MILFS. Ugh. I'm out of the band. < 2" here. Likely will finish there too. We're cooked. maybe comes back up a bit seems to be moving north a bit Roosta getting some in Arlington again Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 1-2" of blowing sand 8f. Merrimack campus feels like UMaine Orono. Steady light snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DomNH Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Even the QPF progs have blown to this point. Supposed to be a hair over .1'' here NAM/GFS by this point and it's probably about a glorified trace. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I think we may see a very long lull before snow redevelops eastern areas? That band is robbing all of the moisture transport northward. Big time subsidence north of that band. Pretty cool to watch, but it sucks if you're in the shredded dBZ zone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Everyone killed BOX for having 1-3" 48 hours ago, and they were dead on n of town :lol: Two Lessons: 1) Mid levels are important, but NOT an excuse to ignore blatant TRENDS in QPF....not one wiggle in either direction, but a decided trend. 2) Stop b*tching that BOX is not fast enough to react....they know what they are doing. The very reason that they adjust slowly, and deliberately is because models tend to over trend. and subsequently correct backwards...which is a possibility that no one wanted to entertain when I, along with a couple of others bandied the idea about....but it was indeed the case. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sankaty Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I think we may see a very long lull before snow redevelops eastern areas? The new NAM seems to show that. Has .08 even as far west as falling after 6z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 I think we may see a very long lull before snow redevelops eastern areas? HRRR shows that....maybe some addition accums E. CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Nah, don't worry about it....you don't need QPF. Just follow the low track at H7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow is letting up a little. Looks like I may get caught in between the two best pieces of that band as is slides southeast, which would cost me a couple of inches Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
New Englander Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Franklin has turned out to be a good spot for this one. Had my doubts. What a drop off just to the North. Amazing. Snowing steadily. 8 degrees and closing in on 7 inches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KartAnimal29 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 2.1" of new snow with 0.12" of liquid. 17.5 snow:liquid ratio. Is our area done? Kind of sad it's been snowing for 9+ hours and only 2 inches on the ground Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Everyone killed BOX for having 1-3" 48 hours ago, and they were dead on n of town :lol: Two Lessons: 1) Mid levels are important, but NOT an excuse to ignore blatant TRENDS in QPF....not one wiggle in either direction, but a decided trend. 2) Stop b*tching that BOX is not fast enough to react....they know what they are doing. The very reason that they adjust slowly, and deliberately is because models tend to over trend. and subsequently correct backwards...which is a possibility that no one wanted to entertain when I, along with a couple of others bandied the idea about....but it was indeed the case. The over trend NW is very real in American guidance. Has happened every storm so far, even the freaking norlun was supposed to deliver up here from models in the 24/48 hour range to go SE at the last minute into the Boston suburbs. The ECM never bit on that far NW extent either up here and it was correct. If the ECM stays SE it's a flag, reality might still be a bit NW of it but not to the GFS and NAM extent in that 36-54 hour range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Yeah we got bumped good. Just a few miles made a difference...still snowing but the show is over now. On to the next one. ya about 10.75" here in south norwalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Just follow the low track at H7 Every time the this happens to Dendrite, he still gets a rouge deform band 850mi from the low center....when I need it, nothing but air drier than an 80 year old nun's hoo hoo, as they get a 1' 20 mi s of me. I'm sure I'll be far enough s to flip to rain and ip, while Dendrite piles up next month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sn0waddict Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow lightening up here. Kinda shocked considering its only 9pm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Everyone killed BOX for having 1-3" 48 hours ago, and they were dead on n of town :lol: Two Lessons: 1) Mid levels are important, but NOT an excuse to ignore blatant TRENDS in QPF....not one wiggle in either direction, but a decided trend. 2) Stop b*tching that BOX is not fast enough to react....they know what they are doing. The very reason that they adjust slowly, and deliberately is because models tend to over trend. and subsequently correct backwards...which is a possibility that no one wanted to entertain when I, along with a couple of others bandied the idea about....but it was indeed the case. This was one of those times 700mb uvvs was very useful too. The models were fine overall. Gfs is always too widespread. Rgem and euro had this well overall. Likewise if I were box I would be sweating the cape right now. Based on the latest.radar does look good though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow is ending in NYC? ugly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Ray, the only negative thing I said about BOX was that some people were unhappy/surprised about Saturday. I thought they would go up with their totals which they did. And boy did they back down. Even then it was not enough Many mets missed something. Dry air? One area robbing another? But boy did some areas get smoked. Awesome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Many times I have to remind myself of how inexact forecasting chaos can be. Dependency on models. To some degree the atmosphere and resultant weather is just going to do what it damn well pleases. Even at the 11th hour into now-casting some choose to throw-in-the-towel. Big mistake. I'm happy for those that are receiving. It's the chase and always will be for myself as a hobbyist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The over trend NW is very real in American guidance. Has happened every storm so far, even the freaking norlun was supposed to deliver up here from models in the 24/48 hour range to go SE at the last minute into the Boston suburbs. The ECM never bit on that far NW extent either up here and it was correct. If the ECM stays SE it's a flag, reality might still be a bit NW of it but not to the GFS and NAM extent in that 36-54 hour range. Unless its a cutter then we will jackpot Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Every time the this happens to Dendrite, he still gets a rouge deform band 850mi from the low center....when I need it, nothing but air drier than an 80 year old nun's hoo hoo, as they get a 1' 20 mi s of me. I'm sure I'll be far enough s to flip to rain and ip, while Dendrite piles up next month. To be fair the sfc lows usually cross somewhere on the Cape. I'm in a climo favorable spot with coastal huggers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
78Blizzard Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 There seems to be a lack of pressure falls to our south, and the radar returns are heading slowly southeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Every time the this happens to Dendrite, he still gets a rouge deform band 850mi from the low center....when I need it, nothing but air drier than an 80 year old nun's hoo hoo, as they get a 1' 20 mi s of me. I'm sure I'll be far enough s to flip to rain and ip, while Dendrite piles up next month. I can relate, I have seen 2.9" since Jan 3rd of snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 The over trend NW is very real in American guidance. Has happened every storm so far, even the freaking norlun was supposed to deliver up here from models in the 24/48 hour range to go SE at the last minute into the Boston suburbs. The ECM never bit on that far NW extent either up here and it was correct. If the ECM stays SE it's a flag, reality might still be a bit NW of it but not to the GFS and NAM extent in that 36-54 hour range. I'm sure the models won't over trend nw in the sw flow pattern, though. You'll get your's. I mentioned this in one post, but what scared me is that this one had all the makings of an oe shuffle in that the heavy snow haults at Boston. Same thing in 1/2-3, except we were saved by the initial waa surge. That wasn't there this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Nam has like a few hundredths for us through the next 12 hours. Ouch. I do like a bit of redevelopment east later on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 To be fair the sfc lows usually cross somewhere on the Cape. I'm in a climo favorable spot with coastal huggers. Yeah, Same here, Inside the BM over ack or the canal are my areas of choice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
S&P Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 3.75" here, been under lighter echos since about 7PM, better echos returning now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow is ending in NYC? uglymost of the metro got 10+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 Snow lightening up here. Kinda shocked considering its only 9pm. about a 12 hr storm. 7.5 here-maybe another inch or so from the light stuff... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 22, 2014 Share Posted January 22, 2014 To be fair the sfc lows usually cross somewhere on the Cape. I'm in a climo favorable spot with coastal huggers. Ok...why is that I'm on the n edge of the QPF that we apparently don't need, and is always too far s, yet I can't muster an inch. Riddle me that. I kept hearing how the snowgrowth was so great...there won't be a screw job like 1-2...this one is better looking. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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