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The Arctic mean temp. N of 80N, helped by a +AO, still didn’t reach freezing as it actually cooled very slightly yesterday! The prior latest on record (back to 1958) to first exceed 0C was June 20th (2013). Will it finally exceed 0C before the end of the month? Time’s running out and the model consensus has BN temps persisting. It had come within 0.35C on June 27th:

The UKMET keeps developing this into a weak TD and then dissipating it well offshore the SE US as it moves SW, WSW, W, and then WNW. I doubt this ever becomes a TD when considering other models: MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 29.06.2026 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 32.5N 72.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 30.06.2026 36 31.5N 71.9W 1012 26 0000UTC 01.07.2026 48 31.1N 72.1W 1011 26 1200UTC 01.07.2026 60 30.8N 73.0W 1012 23 0000UTC 02.07.2026 72 30.8N 74.3W 1013 21 1200UTC 02.07.2026 84 31.1N 75.8W 1015 18 0000UTC 03.07.2026 96 31.8N 77.2W 1016 18 1200UTC 03.07.2026 108 CEASED TRACKING

LOT has seven consecutive days in the 90s starting tomorrow. We’ll see if that pans out, but am concerned about convective activity getting in the way later in the week.

I will gladly step outside during a thunderstorm in this weather.

As it stands now, the NWS point and click has temps not dropping below 75 at KPIT Wednesday/Thursday/Friday. That last happened on three consecutive days in 1917, and never at the airport observing site. I don’t think the highs reach the more absurd levels that some models and forecasts show, and history just doesn’t favor days and days of mid to upper 90s, but consecutive days of very warm lows seems very plausible. Something to watch.

Your area has largely missed out on the most intense summer heat in recent years. Much of that comes down to the large-scale pattern, which has often been influenced by forcing that hasn't favored persistent heat domes or strong upper-level ridges expanding into the central US/Midwest. Meanwhile, both coasts have experienced some of the most significant heat events in history this decade (such as the Pacific Northwest in 2021, the western March heatwave this year, and the upcoming historic heatwave for the East). Even last summer the EC experienced record breaking heat for a time, while we missed out on it. That’s not to say that we haven’t had our fair share of warmth (for many Midwestern cities, 2024 was the warmest year on record after all), but we’ve been lacking these prolonged, extreme, anomalous heat events relatively speaking and instead have quietly accumulated positive temp departures through sustained, slightly to moderately above normal conditions. For instance, last June is the 6th warmest on record for Chicago, yet the temp only maxed out at 95 that month (and for all of summer). Those background patterns won't stay the same forever though, and at some point they'll likely shift in a way that's more favorable for extreme heat reaching your area again, including the return of triple-digit temperatures. Then you also have to take into account CC which has severe implications, but won’t go down that rabbit hole.

I just got it two hours ago and it is very hot. WX/PT

it would be nice to have a winter where NYC had 0.0" snow. perhaps this is the one?

Seems like right now 82-83 would be a focal point and not 97-98,when looking at analogs.97-98 had one of the 3 stronest DMI'S on record the last half centurry.JMA isnt showing this with it and its esembles right now,just one.But who know,DMI peaks into fall,maybe that one will be right..lol

Congrats, post pics

That cell hit a force field as it approached lower bucks. Picked up only .10”

Don’t see any thunderstorms or good rain to break the heat

I’m traveling up to north central PA Saturday for a family Fourth of July. Think they might see storms?

DCA: 98, 99, 99, 98 BWI: 98, 99, 100, 98 IAD: 98, 99, 99, 98 SBY: 96, 96, 97, 97 RIC. 98, 99, 101, 98 QPF: 0.8”

For those that want to cool off.... Advisories One product issued by NWS for: 5 Miles N Deer Lodge MT Winter Storm Warning URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Missoula MT 616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026 MTZ007-280830- /O.CON.KMSO.WS.W.0004.000000T0000Z-260629T1500Z/ Butte/Blackfoot Region- 616 PM MDT Sat Jun 27 2026 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM MDT MONDAY ABOVE 6500 FEET... * WHAT...Heavy wet snow expected above 6500 feet. Total snow accumulations of 4 to 8 inches, with 8 to 16 inches across the Anaconda Pintler Mountains. Snow levels may briefly lower and could produce minor slushy accumulation at Homestake and Macdonald Pass. * WHERE...Georgetown Lake, backcountry and higher elevation areas. * WHEN...Until 9 AM MDT Monday. * IMPACTS...Plan for winter-like conditions in the backcountry and higher elevations. Cold temperatures, wind, and wet snow will elevate the risk of hypothermia. Heavy wet snow may down trees, blocking access to backcountry roadways.

DCA: 99, 100, 103, 101 BWI: 99, 100, 102, 102 IAD: 98, 100, 101, 101 SBY: 98, 100, 100, 100 RIC: 100, 100, 104, 101 Total Rain: 0.2

I don’t think so, and I don’t think it’s even close, but I’m a goober.

Do we think DC ties/breaks its all time record of 106F?

Had another rowdy and loud thunderstorm about an hour ago that put down nearly half an inch of rain. I assume it will just add to the humidity tomorrow.

I went through that phase down here as well when we first moved here. I battled against it until the summer of 2012 where I finally threw my hands up and naturalized my lawn. Now I have oaks and loblolly pines 30-40ft tall covering most of my yard and what grass remains is mostly replaced by moss that stays green all summer, doesn't need mowing or watering. Plus it's a lot cooler with all the shade.

Worcester, PA. .70 rain. Initial shower to our east seemed to stall and backfill west and we got in on it.

Monroe county has been hit or miss with rain. .

Thu and especially Fri look like the days that the coast could really rocket. 850s reach 24-25C on Fri so that should be the peak of the heat. Tue looks like strong onshore flow and maybe even Ambrose Jet. Wed the higher 850 temps over 20 move in but also maybe some storms along the periphery of the ridge. Sat-Sun the ridge looks to weaken and start to break down.

A wall cloud after a storm in North Raleigh interacted with a boundary to become a transient supercell.