Maxim

if anything the warm signal is growing stronger for this month.

nope

Surprised it got as warm as it did today with those 850/925 MB temps.

12z EURO had a massive central US ridge developing at the end of its run which will subsequently spread east, but may be slightly muted.

the first part of February wasn't necessarily that much above average in terms of temps and we're still gonna end up with +10 to +12 anomalies, lol. I do think March will end up with similar positive anomalies. Pattern looks very favorable for highly anomalous warmth in the long range.

DCA: +6.5 NYC: +6.0 BOS: +5.0 ORD: +9.5 ATL: +6.0 IAH: +7.5 DEN: +3.5 PHX: +1.0 SEA: -2.0

still thinking around mid month is when it could get pretty torchy again. GFS/GEFS seems to be latching on to this idea as well.

not buying the south shift. there's really nothing stopping this from cutting farther NW. wouldn't make sense to see it cut through Chicago.

^lol

tangible possibility that this Friday ends up being the warmest day of this stretch.

you're the only one who isn't enjoying the beautiful weather, I think. and don't worry, we're gonna torch hard this spring.

I've probably had about 100" of GFS snow this winter.

ORD is gonna finish above +10, lol.

extremely unlikely at this point. Should be a rainer for the vast majority of the subforum with the teleconnections in place and lack of blocking to the north. Would be absolutely shocked to see it track that far SE.

March 2012 was many times more impressive than the nickle and dime winter of 13-14, lol.